Close races in big swing states
The latest round of swing state polls show Barack Obama gaining in Ohio, John McCain lengthening his lead in Florida, and a tightening race in Pennsylvania.
In Ohio, Obama leads McCain 49 percent to 44 percent in the Quinnipiac University survey released this morning. In the same poll last month, they were tied. Obama is holding his own among women, with a 10-percentage-point edge.
In Florida, McCain is ahead 50 percent to 43 percent, up from a 4-percentage-point edge last month, according to Quinnipiac. McCain is getting a boost from his pick of Sarah Palin as running mate -- about 60 percent of likely voters say she was a good choice -- and from former backers of Hillary Clinton, 25 percent of whom are supporting him, up from 14 percent last month.
And in Pennsylvania, Obama's lead of 48 percent to 45 percent is within the margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. Obama had a 49 percent to 42 percent lead last month. A Strategic Vision survey released today gave Obama a 47 percent to 45 percent edge in the state.
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>> McCain is getting a boost from his pick of Sarah Palin as running mate -- about 60 percent of likely voters say she was a good choice -- and from former backers of Hillary Clinton, 25 percent of whom are supporting him, up from 14 percent last month.
This is whats wrong with this country. These women are so bitter about their candidate losing the primary that they're going to abandon what the stand for and believe in just to side with the woman. I hope Florida gets knocked off the map by the next hurricane... The Spanish can have it back...
Strange how Ohio and Pennsylvania don't mind voting for Obama who thinks they are stupid, gun totting, religious clinging white rubes..Guess they don't care he sat in a racist church, or has associations with unrepentant terrorist like Ayes, the radical Muslim Farrakhan, supports late term abortion, leaving a downs syndrome child to die in a filthy closet like garbage thrown out. Has the worst record of education in his Chicago district. Thinks his change won't cost them a dime. Personally, I gave them more credit, they are following the pied piper to their dismay.
You can't report these small percentage differences as a reading of who is in the lead of the race. When they are within the statistical error it’s considered a wash and you cannot declare who is truly leading. Also, not reporting what the error is in the poll is very dishonest and misleading. Quit confusing people that have never studied statistics
You can't report these small percentage differences as a reading of who is in the lead of the race. When they are within the statistical error it’s considered a wash and you cannot declare who is truly leading. Also, not reporting what the error is in the poll is very dishonest and misleading. Quit confusing people that have never studied statistics
If you really what 2 people in the White House, who do not understand the economy and prefer the 'Shoot First, Ask Questions Later' approach to politics... by all means, vote McCain-Palin.
I am neither democrate nor republic but I think if voters in swing state would have favored democrrates in 2004, lat four years would have been better for whole America. Votesr in swing states carry more responsibility to decide...
I don't buy the Quinnipiac Poll whatsoever! According to the latest Rasmussen Poll numbers dated 9/11/08, "The latest Rasmussen Reports survey in Ohio finds John McCain out in front of Barack Obama 51% to 44%. McCain is viewed favorably by 63% of Ohio voters and unfavorably by 35%. Obama’s ratings are 50% favorable, 48% unfavorable. McCain enjoys a solid 58% to 32% among unaffiliated voters in Ohio. That is a major improvement from the five-point deficit the Republican received from this demographic a month ago. Among men, McCain leads 59% to 36%, but the Republican trails among women 50% to 45%. As for the Vice Presidential nominees, Sarah Palin is more popular than Joe Biden. The GOP running mate is viewed favorably by 59% and unfavorably by 36%. in Ohio. The numbers for the Democratic running mate are 50% favorable, 46% unfavorable. The latest numbers also show that overall, McCain is trusted more than Obama by a 54% to 41% margin. In addition, the plurality of voters (42%) say they would not be comfortable at all with Obama as president. Just 25% say that about McCain. If voters were faced with the toughest decision of their lives, 54% say they would rather ask McCain for advice, while 38% would choose Obama."
Sarah Palin is a relgious fanatic who has no place in our government....she belives its "gods will" that a pipeline be built in alaska....some how i doubt god would want such beautiful land to be destroyed......and sorry but why in the USA evolution is still a debate? She really should be taking care of the child she decided to have....and McCain....come on he's calling people who make $5 million a year middle class....that makes a whole lotta sence....McCain Palin=4 more years of right wing failed bull shit.......
Obama Biden '08
dragonfly777 - you are a racist person. The American people are fed up with the lies and dishonesty from McPainful. The same people who are running our government now are running McPainful's campaign. The American people are not stupid (except you). Enough is Enough. President Obama 2008
BIG D - You, and people like you are what is going to ultimately sink Obama. Comments like yours about Florida are exactly what the Republicans count on. No American should ever say such horrible things. Also, why shouldn't women vote for a woman without regard to qualifications? What do you call 91% of the black voters voting for Obama? I think if you painted a pig black that would be enough for them.
F-U BigD --- These numbers mean nothing... A large percentage of Hispanics are voting for Obama.. and that does not reflect on these polls....
Big D- did you ever stop to think that these women might have supported Clinton NOT because she is a woman but because she was a more QUALIFIED candidate? Some Democrats (like me) are more in the middle between the 2 parties. She offered us the strong foreign policy with the domestic issues that I believe in. I am supporting McCain, not because he picked a woman but because he is the more QUALIFIED candidate left in the race. Give us women more credit please.
Whoever wins two of Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida will be the next President of the US.
Hey Ben, calling a pig a pig is honesty. Live with it as you bend over!
I'm one of those Republican that will vote for Obama this time. I'm upset that McCain pick Sarah Palin a mother of five with one sick child and one 17 years old pregnant unwed daughter. She should be home take care of her family. The family values of the Republican have gone downhill.
I'm one of those Republican that will vote for Obama this time. I'm upset that McCain pick Sarah Palin a mother of five with one sick child and one 17 years old pregnant unwed daughter. She should be home take care of her family. The family values of the Republican have gone downhill.
The Presidential "choice" for a lot of people is more an emotional one than anbody wants to really talk about. We imagine that everyone votes for "issues" or "policy". They don't.
The problem Obama has, is that even if he's as popular as Elvis Presley, Sarah Palin is The Beatles. No one is cutting away from news stories to watch Obama exit an airplane. I don't think anyone is going to be able to stop this Palinmania. (maybe she'll come out with a lunchbox)
Why does Obama compare him self to Palin? and not to Mc Cain, is it because He cant compare his record to McCain. Maybe Obama should have run for Vice Presidant of the Democratic party.
I can envision a scenario in which Obama loses the electoral vote, but wins the meaningless popular vote.
If the Solid South remains solidly Republican, but by slim popular majorities in those Southern states, Obama could get "Gored".
Since the Democratic Establishment elected to maintain the electoral status quo, after the fiasco in 2000, as opposed demanding electoral reform, in some sense, they deserve to be ripped off again.
As long as the GOP is the beneficiary of the Electoral College anachronism, don't expect them to reform the flawed system.
The current selection process for determining the vice presidential candidates is a dangerously undemocratic undertaking. The public has no input; this choice is left to the personal whim of the presidential candidate.
The present system is conducive to electing popular demagogues, lobbyists and/or partisan hacks to the vice presidential office. For the record, about 20% of all US vice presidents went on to become US president.
Folks, this is not democracy, this is democracy-lite. We can and should demand something better than this.
I'm one of those Republican that will vote for Obama this time. I'm upset that McCain pick Sarah Palin a mother of five with one sick child and one 17 years old pregnant unwed daughter. She should be home take care of her family. The family values of the Republican have gone downhill.
Boy, Dragonfly, if anybody believed the vitriol you were spewing you might be dangerous... good thing nobody does. As has been stated other places, what it boils down to is whether or not you believe the country is on the right path. If you believe Bush has done a good job, think the economy is basically in good shape, like the status quo for education and health care, support the war in Iraq, and are comfortable with our current standing with the rest of the world, by all means vote for McCain. Or I suppose if you absolutely feel that it is vital to have a female in the White House, regardless of her opinions, positions, or political history, vote for McCain. However, if you think it is high time things were done a bit differently, and find yourself longing for a return to a time when the U.S. was not only a superpower but was respected as a defender of freedom, justice, and truth, then I say vote for Obama. Just one voters humble opinion...
education is a paramount issue, i dont see how sarah palin who floundered through 5 mediocre colleges get a BA degree and her husband the first dude as she calls him with no degree can inspire youth into education. the point is that education is important, and the high paying high technology jobs in america require advanced engineering and science degrees if the US wants to stay competitive, - is Sarah Palins argument going to be - we need highly educated people here in the US to get high paying jobs and building cutting edge product but OH NO! dont follow my and my husband stupid disregard for education. Sarah Palin candidacy whether we like it or not is a salute to averageness in this country when we need cleverness and know how to be competitive in the world economy
Boy, Dragonfly, if anybody believed the vitriol you were spewing you might be dangerous... good thing nobody does. As has been stated other places, what it boils down to is whether or not you believe the country is on the right path. If you believe Bush has done a good job, think the economy is basically in good shape, like the status quo for education and health care, support the war in Iraq, and are comfortable with our current standing with the rest of the world, by all means vote for McCain. Or I suppose if you absolutely feel that it is vital to have a female in the White House, regardless of her opinions, positions, or political history, vote for McCain. However, if you think it is high time things were done a bit differently, and find yourself longing for a return to a time when the U.S. was not only a superpower but was respected as a defender of freedom, justice, and truth, then I say vote for Obama. Just one voters humble opinion...
What the dem's do not get is They are the good old boys trying to shove a new, fresh-faced Washington outsider under a huge snow pile. Hey, guys, she lives in the snow and will not only suvive but come up dry, smiling, ready to fight nature and the good old boys. Get over it.
it is amazing that the very people who are losing their homes because of the republicans allowing the business interests to make obscene profits from immoral business practices are willing to vote for them again. even though the facts show that the democratic tax proposals will help the poor and middle class and the republican tax proposal will help the wealthy people still vote against their interests
when people need health care for their loved ones the democrats will try to offer it the republicans will save money by denying average people health care as the corporations rake it in. voting for the republicans in this election is the equivalent of eating junk food. we will get what we deserve.
To Mohan Sunnyvale -
Obama floundered through Columbia University as an undergrad (BA in Political Science without honors) and got into Harvard Law based on their affirmative action plan. He had transferred to Columbia from Occidental College in order to "be around more black folks in big cities". What a nice racist way to choose your college.
You're right, Obama is "clever". Too clever for his own good and he'll swiftboat himself right out of this election.
Wake up America!! Wake up women!!
do we really want four more years of the last __AWFUL__Eight?? NO!!
sarah palin is george bushes puppet!! with her and mccain in the white house he remains in control,, Get it??
Obama/ Biden 08
I would like to take a look at Quinnipiac U sample group. I'm from Ohio and Ohio is still a red state, especially outside of the urban areas. It has been my observation that the Repulican base has been fired up with Sarah Palin added to the ticket. Nobody here was very excited about the chances for the repulicans this fall but that has changed and conservatives and moderates alike are energized. The only way i see this result happening here is if the sample was skewed in some way toward the blue part of the state. Besides this does not seem to be in line with other surveys.
Vote with Farrakhan. Vote Obama.