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McCain losing favor with voters, poll says

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor October 17, 2008 10:18 AM

A new national poll out this morning shows the challenge facing John McCain in the waning days of the presidential campaign.

To try to make up ground, the self-described underdog has attacked Democratic rival Barack Obama -- but that tack appears to be backfiring with voters, according to the Associated Press-Yahoo News poll.

McCain has lost favor in how he is viewed over the last month, while perceptions of Obama have improved or remained steady.

Some key findings:

-- McCain is viewed favorably by 52 percent of likely voters, but viewed unfavorably by 47 percent. That gap was 21 percentage points in his favor in mid-September.

-- Obama is seen favorably by 57 percent, and the gap with his unfavorable number grew from 5 percentage points to 15.

-- 46 percent consider McCain hot-tempered, compared to 13 percent who say so about Obama.

-- Obama is viewed as more trustworthy to deal with the economy, by far the most important issue for voters, by 54 percent to 44 percent, to handle the financial crisis by 53 percent to 46 percent, and to understand how it affects people by 56 percent to 41 percent.

The AP-Yahoo News poll was conducted Oct. 3-13 and has an overall margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

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Cmon - say it - the AP poll has McCain 2 points behind

The race is even and McCain is surging like the comeback Kings - the Boston Red Sox
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Posted by Pater Familias October 17, 08 10:51 AM
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What was the result of who would you vote for in this survey ?

Posted by Steve Miata October 17, 08 10:58 AM
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Obama/Biden is the obvious choice for leadership of the country. Why don't they garner 75% of the vote? So puzzling. They have better family values, better educations, higher intelligence, more realistic policies that will actually help the country.
McCain's tax plan is like fixing a pyramid scheme. There's no money at the bottom to support the top, so McCain will just dump more money on top. Trickle down? Hasn't ever worked, won't work now.

Posted by rjbunny October 17, 08 11:05 AM
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What about Zogby? What about Rasmussen and Gallup? Are you telling me, as the Deputy National Political Editor, that these 3 pollsters are completely inaccurate? Come on...the race IS tightening up.

If you are going to post results from one "poll" (please note the quotation marks), post the results from others as well, especially the big 3. You are the media after all, and it's still YOUR responsibility to relay the news regardless of which candidate you are endorsing...

Posted by Christine October 17, 08 11:09 AM
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Nice unbiased story here-- this poll shows that McCain has closed the gap to only 2 points and you don't even mention it! The Boston Globe is a shill.

Posted by John Henry October 17, 08 11:33 AM
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silly steve. they left that out for a reason. capice? wonder what those numbers were? ok, they arent there. meaning, mccain is gaining, and fast. here's the deal dude......its ALWAYS the stuff they leave OUT....that is most important. in every MSM report. not just this one. this one's so dramatically representative. but every single one has a BIG missing piece. very one. every time. every day. the good news: they just about dead. suicide of course. death by liberal bias. tragic.

good riddance

Posted by fred October 17, 08 11:34 AM
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Oh Pater Familias. You are very confused and lost!

McCain is behind in the polls and hopefully stays that way. With Palin by his side I am sure he will slip even more.

They are a sad ticket in this race. More poor decisions McCain has made and will most likely cost him the election

Posted by MPM October 17, 08 11:35 AM
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How about a story on TWO polls (Gallup and AP/Yahoo) showing that the face has TIGHTENED to a 2 point differential? When the race tightened after the Palin bounce, gee, the whole entire world knew that Obama had gained some ground. When it tightens for McCain, you need to dig around for a story about it. Standard operating procedure for the drive-bye media...

Posted by steve October 17, 08 11:50 AM
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Used to be for Obama, but with the financial troubles he has shown nothing but more lies and more greed - the things that got us here. How can you keep on taking all of this money avertising on games, internet, tv, radio and in "adult" publications. This is not a presidental type of thing. With his constant talk of pulling out of one war starting another in Pakistan all these things show me the change will be more of what I don't want.
Looking at the fact checks from the last debate just further sickened me that I was thinking of voting for this candidate. Lies, greed, cocky - all things we do not need right now.

Former Obama supporter for McCain

Posted by No thank you October 17, 08 11:53 AM
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'Cmon - say it - the AP poll has McCain 2 points behind

The race is even and McCain is surging like the comeback Kings - the Boston Red Sox
1'

Lol - er, yeah. We'll just see how long that lasts, shall we? When push comes to shove, voters are gonna flock to Obama. I predict an Obama landslide. Not necessarily because everybody will vote for him, but because nobody will vote for McCain. Even his own hardline supporters are unenthused. And when people are unenthused, they don't rush to the voting booth. Remember, small numbers of people actually vote - and only the most enthusiastic actually do.

Posted by Lisa October 17, 08 11:58 AM
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WHAT? Can the Globe actually report that MCCAIN is surging?
McCain is within the margin of error in TWO MAJOR Polls.
Obama is failing at convincing Americans he is better than McCain.
Globe will you report the McCain surge?
Yes? Or are you so blinded by the need to put Obama in the White House?

Posted by Country First October 17, 08 11:59 AM
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AP/YAHOO Poll of 873 Democrats; 650 Republicans shows OBAMA 44%, MCCAIN 42%. THAT's THE STORY. "MCCAIN SURGES IN LATEST POLL"
Do you need new headline writers? How about journalists who report the facts?

Posted by John Weston October 17, 08 12:13 PM
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Thank you, #12 and others who reported the whole truth. Boston Globe is our shame.

Posted by mk October 17, 08 12:25 PM
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It is a traditional poll it only accounts for 50-55 percent of likely voters it has been around that margin since the race started. It is a model based on a poll not an actual poll. The gallup likely voter is still +6 and registered is +7 you goofballs learn how to read. If you can't read don't vote, and if you make under 100k a year your kicking yourself in the ass by voting republican. This election is between a giant douche and a terd sandwitch, why not try something new and vote 3rd party they may not have the money to flood the airwaves with ads but they also don't lie to us.

Posted by Doug October 17, 08 12:28 PM
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Okay, it's official, the Media is completely in the tank for Obama. It is time I Finally cancel my Boston Globe subscription since they essentially publish AP Rags and NY Times shrill.

Posted by CountryFirst2 October 17, 08 12:44 PM
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Read the fine print on the AP/YAHOO poll. It was an internet based poll spanning 2 weeks in time and does not screen for likely voters. I suppose that in the wake of three debate defeats, McCain supporters need to try to generate some momentum. It is a shame that they are misrepresenting out of date poll results for this purpose.

Posted by Concerned Citizen October 17, 08 12:54 PM
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WOW. None of you can read at all. No where in the article does it mention who someone would actually vote for. Just favorable and trust to handle economy. Unfortunatly there is no real place to find the whole untanted truth, especially regarding polls. But realclearpolitics.com seems to do the best job I have found. non partisan collection of as many polls; national, local, gallup and all kinds of others combined to get a better although admitedly not perfect glimpse of the feel of the country. I still have yet to find mccain behind by only two points. of course polls are polls and people trust them too much.

Posted by bob October 17, 08 12:56 PM
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Over the next few days, McCain's poll numbers will surge ahead for two reasons.

The first reason is that people are getting used to the bad economy and are beginning to see McCain as something other than Bush - whether he is really different is not important here. As this getting-used happens, whites will regroup around McCain because they identify with him.

The second reason is that as November approaches, whites will feel increasingly uncomfortable with the notion that a black man will be their president. The Bradley effect is not what people think it is. Whites are not lying when they say one thing to pollsters and then do something else. What happens is that racists impulses begin to emerge into consciousness when decision time arrives. They emerge in the form of fear of uncertainty. McCain offers the certainty of familiarity, while Obama is the picture of mistrust cemented by centuries of cultural history.

If this analysis is correct, on election day there will be a massive move towards McCain, just as it happened in New Hampshire with Hillary Clinton.

Posted by Domingo Tavella October 17, 08 01:04 PM
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Polls vary drastically depending on the source taking them and the population polled...but realclearpolitics.com averages over a dozen polls...and Obama is still more than six points ahead.

Honestly, what does McCain have to offer that Bush didn't?

Posted by Ellen October 17, 08 01:36 PM
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A 2-point gain is within the margin of error. This means that, basically, the Obama lead is the same. A fluctuation within the margin of error is expected from day to day.

Of course the McCain faithful are looking for anything - anything at all - to hang their hat on, since their candidate is getting pummeled.

Remember the "Reagan Mandate" in the 1980s? The "Obama Mandate" will be as thorough and undeniable, if not more so.

Posted by Rocky Oliver October 17, 08 01:44 PM
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CNN Poll of Polls shows McCain picked up 2 points Oct 13-15, this doesn't include any Debate bump or reflect the working stiff's connection with Joe the Plumber that the Bloggers are trying to destroy. Obama will be up 2 more points by next week and then its a statistical tie. We know what happens in close Obama elections, he doesn't win for multiple reasons/effects; Bradley, Clinton, bitter people, the joe's of the world, the elederly who always vote......etc.

Posted by moderatejoe October 17, 08 02:12 PM
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The country is in severe crisis- I vote age and experience over wit, glibness, looks and YOUTH. It is that simple.

Posted by pete October 17, 08 02:24 PM
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Today McCain moved to within 2% of likely voters based on Gallup. Boston Globe sucks.

Posted by Casual Observer October 17, 08 02:48 PM
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It does my heart good to read the comments here and see how many can see through the media manipulation these days.

Posted by ed_bernays October 17, 08 04:31 PM
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This AP-Yahoo poll is beyond flawed. First, it was conducted over 10 days when all manner of things were happening. It missed the final debate. Every other poll conducted recently, including some that indicate McCain gaining, were done in a much tighter time period. McCain supporters looking for solace in polling should look somewhere else, because this poll doesn't meet the standards of quality polling.

Posted by Rainman October 17, 08 05:07 PM
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I have a serious problem with the polls with year; that traditional polling techniques might not be that accurate this year due to larger turnout. A flood of new registrations (many questionable but majority will be found to be legit), a likely huge turnout by Black voters (which does not traditionally happen), a much larger number of Hispanic voters and possibly a much larger number of women voters. A lot if these polls don't poll cell phone users...which is somewhere between 10-15% and majority is believed to be for Obama (but no one is absolutely positive). Then you also either have the so-called "Bradley effect" (polls overstating Obama's actual vote total due to race as an issue) or a "reverse Bradley effect" (polls understating Obama's actual vote total due to race as an issue). Everyone pretty much believe that this will be a close election,

Posted by Just an American October 17, 08 07:34 PM
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to borrow a line ......"when is McCain (and his friends here) going to admit it......Obama's surge is working!"
check ALL the polls and ALL the state by state polls...there are independent websites that do that(ie.pollster.com).....the gap is or surge is working, for Obama!

Posted by Brian October 17, 08 07:44 PM
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What in the world are some of you saying?! The only national poll that shows a 2 point spread between the candidates is the Gallup (traditional). Otherwise, the rest of the national polls show an average spread of 6.5 points in Obama's favor. Learn to research before you type something utterly foolish.
Here's a sampling:
Gallup (traditional) obama +2%
IBD/TIPP obama +7%
Rasmussen - obama +5%
USA Today/Gallup (expanded) obama +7%

Posted by Raymond October 19, 08 04:06 AM
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Poll questions have always been manipulated to give the desired answer. The only "poll" that will count comes in November.

Posted by Kathy October 19, 08 07:52 AM
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Economics is the issue...8 yrs. of Bush ineptitude (with McCain's wholehearted support) has brought the U.S. to the brink of fiscal meltdown. If you really think that some goldplated old geezer whose close ties to bloodsucking corporate leeches, combined with a backwoods bubblehead (who avoids ANY and ALL news interviews since she can't halt her hoof in mouth replies), then by all means vote for the almighty Republican Fraud Squad. Just keep an ECONOMY size supply of Prozac on hand when reality hits with a crash on Nov. 4th.

Posted by Victoria Eyes Open October 20, 08 04:25 AM
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Obama wants to rid washington of corruption while being corrupt...

Obama says a lot but reveils nothing at all (He's the double speak king)

Posted by McCain's the man October 27, 08 06:15 PM
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