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Obama leads in battlegrounds

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor October 15, 2008 12:20 PM

The newest slew of battleground state polls show Barack Obama ahead in Colorado, Florida, and Virginia -- states that if he won on Nov. 4 would likely guarantee him the presidency.

John McCain leads in Georgia, and the two are tied in Missouri, according to the CNN/Opinion Research Corp. surveys released this afternoon.

In Colorado, Obama leads 51 percent to 46 percent among registered voters. In Florida, he leads 52 percent to 44 percent. And in Virginia, he leads 53 percent to 43 percent. The leads are slightly smaller among likely voters.

McCain is ahead 51 percent to 47 percent among registered voters in Georgia, and has a larger lead among likely voters.

In Missouri, Obama has 50 percent and McCain 47 percent among registered voters, while McCain has 49 percent and Obama 48 percent among likely voters.

While likely voters are determined by how often they have voted in the past, Obama has attracted millions of new voters during the primaries.

The polls were conducted Saturday through Tuesday and have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

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CNN is never trusted they only poll few democrats to manipulate us all.Mccain/Palin will prevail and will win because they look honest and can be trusted with our lives and our properties.John Mccain is a great example of a true American with his military services and public services as well.He fights for America and Americans in the battlefields,in the sky,in Prison and in Congress and what did Obama fight for is corrupted and fraudulent ACORN stealing votes.

Posted by skmj October 15, 08 12:48 PM
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A large percentage of woman in our strictly democratic state are not voting for Obama. This will change many of the states that are close in this race.

Economic problems will be long past us in 6 months and everyone is looking forward to the security of this country.

Posted by Susan October 15, 08 01:07 PM
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It is my sincere hope that this country finally is about to change. McCain/Palin only represent the failed policies of the past 8 years. If they win, it will be a catastrophe for us all. But I see hope in the poll numbers. The only good news this Fall will be when Obama/Biden win, the Democrats secure both houses of Congress, and then soon after the Supreme Court is rescued from the dead legal minds of the past.

Change is on the way! Celebrate!!!

Posted by ChuckC October 15, 08 01:34 PM
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The problem with polling is that they are asking people who are dumb enough to answer the "Restricted" or "Unknown" caller ID calls. It's like the long standing joke if you are accused of a crime.."Do you really want your fate decided by 12 people that couldn't get out of Jury duty?"
It is not a real good indicator of the potential margins. Even "day of" exit polls are notoriously shaky. Wait until midnight of election day, and no matter who you support VOTE.

Posted by Bryan October 15, 08 01:35 PM
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"Economic problems will be long past us in 6 months"? You're joking, right? It's taken a long time to get us into this mess and it's not going to get better any time soon.

The great majority of women I know in this state are voting for Obama, because they are tired of the smears coming from the McCain camp. Many (including myself) have changed their vote from McCain to Obama in the last two months. My guess is this is the trend in many parts of the country.

Posted by A October 15, 08 01:54 PM
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Mccain and Obama both of them are true american. they don't need any certificate from any body.

But look before 4 years when people voted for Mr. Bush with a false hope from the republican party line. Mr. McCain will be same wrong choice for usa,

So USA need a real change in the terms of age, policy, philosophy like Mr. Obama. USA can not take any other chances.

Posted by johnNY October 15, 08 01:56 PM
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"Economic problems will be long past us in 6 months!?" Is that what you can see from YOUR front porch? Dream on, Susan! While you're dreaming you can contribute your own nightmare (and ours) by voting for four more years of the "leadership" that has brought us to our present pretty pass.

Sarah Palin or John McCain anywhere near the levers of power? If that doesn't freeze your blood ice-cold in your veins, nothing will.

As for skmj, the only thing that McCain is fighting for now is an increasingly desperate battle for his own political survival, putting it far, far ahead of "Country," stoking fear, hatred and threats of violence.

Posted by j0646 October 15, 08 02:02 PM
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Though it took a while to sink in, millions of Americans are finally waking up to the idea that Obama is a far better candidate. A vote for McCain is a vote for continuing the disasterous economic policies of Bush which have brought this country to its knees. We are running the highest deficits ever records by any nation in history. McCain's advisors are on the same page as those of Bush. They support further weakening of business regulation, tax breaks for the wealthy, and weakening of union protections. McCain will simply perpetuate the current economic disaster.

I used to think that McCain might be better for foreign policy but now I prefer Obama. McCain supported getting us into this unnecessary and disasterous war in Iraq. Thousands of American soldiers have been killed for no good reason at all. McCain may claim that "the surge is working" but it is more likely that the Iraqis finally realized that the US is going to have to get out fairly soon and that is what made the Iraq government begin to take some more responsibility for fighting their own civil war. What the surge really amounted to was a corrective action to partially remedy some of the stupidity of the Bush administrations' (and McCain's) initial plan which led us to jump in and start the war without adequate manpower and equipment. Even assuming that the war was a good idea, which it was not, we did not have to start the war precisely when we did. Rumsfeld's idea that "you go to war with the Army that you have" is ridiculous because we chose the date the war started. We weren't attacked by Iraq. We could have waited to build up adequate resources. McCain, among many others, was a little bit ahead of the major part of the Bush inner circle in that he eventually realized that we were undermanned. But it didn't take brilliance to figure that out. It just took someone a little less stupid than the rest of the Bush team. McCain was and is a part of the team that got us in this mess in the first place and the fact that he was a little less stupid than Bush in some ways is not a very high recommendation.

Now that I've had a chance to see McCain in action during this campaign, I definitely do not want him to be our leader. He is erratic. He jumps from one idea to the other with little or no logic behind his changes of mind. Looking back, I think that is mainly what his "maverick" reputation was built on. He was a guy who occasionally bucked the Republican leadership when certain subjects picqued his interest. In itself there is nothing wrong with that but I would rather have a leader with a more consistently thoughtful approach. His status 40 years ago as a POW doesn't qualify him for leadership. You can call his suffering heroic if you want to. Actually he's more of a victim than a hero. Yes, a hero can be someone who fails in his mission and suffers nobly after he is caught. But if that's the only kind of heroes we have then we are in trouble. It better to have heroes who earn their medals by the successful actions (John Kerry comes to mind). Regardless of whether you consider McCain more of a victim or more of a hero, his unfortunate experience seems to have distorted his judgement. I don't want a President who believes that we should have stayed longer in Vietnam and bombed more. I don't want a President reliving the past either from the ultra right wing view point (and the idea that we should have bombed and won is ultra right wing) or from the ultra left wing. Vietnam is a part of our history now. I think the major lesson it teaches is that there are limits to power and it can be very dangerous to intervene or participate in another country's civil war regardless of good intentions. But I do not want a leader obsessed on that past. McCain is obsessed with that past. That in itself makes him a very poor choice for a leader going forward.

Obama is a forward looking man who has many good idea for this country. He is winning and I hope and pray that he gets in.

Posted by steve October 15, 08 02:12 PM
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Its time to unite and celebrate. We cannot stand another four years of lies and deceit. McCain/Palin will not prevail, they try to lie to get your votes..

Im independent and this will be the first time i will be voting, negative ads does not help the Republican Party.

Obama/Biden all the way!!!

Posted by Ray S. October 15, 08 02:17 PM
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Suburban women are leaning toward Obama---and will vote for Obama--They don't but Palin's beauty pageant schtick--Remember real women are above that--this is not 1950--it is 2008--women are educated, smart and fighters for their personal rights--remember? We dont need some dude and oblivious pageant queen overseeing what personal choices we as women make.

Posted by tina October 15, 08 02:24 PM
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Many blacks are not supporting Obama because as they claim he is a white man,and whats that mean for the Obama folks is don't count on African American to bail him out.He is not all that welcome to the black community and it is the same within the white community.So in the end Barrack Hussein Obama got stuck in the middle of nowhere hoping for luck.But luck is very hard to come by because of his association with TERRORISTS and ACCORN plus his INEXPERIENCE.

Posted by skmj October 15, 08 02:25 PM
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obama will win, no question.

Posted by god October 15, 08 02:29 PM
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Hey Susan,

Guess you only talk to your small circle of women friends. Like all 3 of them.

The vast majority of women voters will vote for Obama, because they find McCain to be to negative and to erratic to lead.

Posted by IndependentsforObama08 October 15, 08 02:29 PM
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It is time for change in this 21st century! We must look forward not backward, we must progress not regress! We are looking for a shift away from the old and tried and tired ways and looking forward and toward a new day, a new way, a new idea for America and the world... Obama/Biden 08!

Posted by Marc, Boston, MA October 15, 08 02:40 PM
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skmj is an absolute moron. take that persons keyboard away!

Posted by lihp October 15, 08 03:22 PM
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Obama's 2 top financial advisors are the banks that got us into the economic mess we are in right now. I love how everyone who backs him has no idea about this and they think he is going to "change" everything and get our economy back up. Are you serious???

Vote McCain/Palin to get us out of this mess.......

Posted by Meech October 15, 08 03:23 PM
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skmj wrote: "Many blacks are not supporting Obama because as they claim he is a white man,and whats that mean for the Obama folks is don't count on African American to bail him out."

Your getting into some dangerous water buddy. I would like to know where you are getting your information from.

Posted by benjamin sorter October 15, 08 03:36 PM
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Democrats sling more bad news about wall street everyday, making the fear
factor more intense. This will propell Obama into office by manipulating the public fear on economic issues causing more consumer cut backs and prolonging this
market down turn.

Posted by Rod October 15, 08 03:51 PM
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I'm made nervous by the line:
"The leads are slightly smaller among likely voters" -ie those who have voted in the past.

The people who have found reason to skip voting in the past are exactly the type to view an Obama lead in the polls as reason to NOT vote. "If he's gonna win anyway, why bother showing up?" they reason. Maybe I'm stuck in '00 and '04 but this isn't over until the 5th... at least....

I'm not even gonna start on my peers [18-24]

Posted by ben October 15, 08 04:20 PM
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#17 benjamin sorter

I got my information from TV reports so if you don't get it sorry you miss out as for me in dangerous water,well not so.keep up with the news.

Posted by skmj October 15, 08 04:25 PM
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SKMJ, what are you looking at or listening to? I don't care how distorted the poll numbers probably are. So far they consistently show more than 90% of African americans will be voting for Obama. Keep in mind that the polls are only looking at previous voters for the most part. Even if these numbers are off by 10 or 15% it still gives an overwhelming majority to Obama. You cannot possibly believe that 15 or 20% of the African American Population will end up voting for McCain/Palin. Not even close. Unfortunately, you/we can look at it as reverse discrimination, or racial bias which is another story, & could be just as harmful for the progress of America as pre-civil rights. Either way you look at it, An Obama/Biden Administration will be better for this country's future than McCain/Palin. Maybe you were just trying to be provocative, although in a stupid way. there is absolutely no basis for your comments

Posted by Dave Z October 15, 08 05:58 PM
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CNN's polls are from the top three polling sites and averaged together.

Posted by carolo October 16, 08 08:37 AM
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skmj is trying to plant an idea into the minds of those minorities who cannot afford an education, but even they would laugh in her RED face. African Americans think what? skmj whoever you are you sound just like your other friend who stated that Obama was an Arab. Shame on you - you need to read more (well, I'm assuming that you have the capacity to understand what you read). You should know better that to take what you hear on Fox as objective and truthful.

Posted by suzy October 16, 08 01:44 PM
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Obama supporters act as if the polls are a true reflection of what's going to happen on November 4th. When you don't have an actual record to run on ... and all you can do is point out problems, and blame others, as Obama has, you have to rely on gimmicks that have nothing to do with your actual ability to lead ... like accusations of racism ad nauseam ... like early voting ...busing and indoctrinating homeless people on the way to the polls ... photo ops with big crowds ... spending 4 to 1 on advertising ... having the media in the tank ... having Hollywood in the tank, having Acorn in the tank ... and, having 98% of all black voters in the tank. But, all of these things are nothing more than a fabricated perception. They have nothing to do with a person's experience, or ability to lead. They just reveal a candidate who will say, or do anything to get elected. That's why the Obamabots are so worried. That's why Obama is telling his disciples not to get over confident. That's why the Obama campaign tries real hard to make it look like Obama has already won ... just like they did in the run against Hillary in the primaries. I happen to believe there are legions of people who are going to vote for McCain on November 4th ... unlike the 'in your face' Obama supporters, November 4th is when the McCain supporters will express themselves. Keep America safe and strong, elect McCain/Palin on November 4th.

Posted by Howard October 22, 08 03:07 PM
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