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Obama leads in key swing states

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor October 23, 2008 10:17 AM

Democrat Barack Obama holds sizable leads in the key swing states of Ohio and Pennsylvania, and is hanging on to a narrower edge in Florida, according to new polls released this morning.

They give the latest sign of Obama's surge during the economic crisis that could -- unless Republican John McCain mounts a significant comeback -- result in an electoral landslide on Nov. 4.

The Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in Florida shows Obama leading 49 percent to 44 percent, a slightly smaller lead than the 8-percentage-point edge he had in the same survey last month.

In Ohio, the Quinnipiac poll gives Obama a 52 percent to 38 percent lead, up from 8 percentage points last month.

And in Pennsylvania, Obama leads 53 percent to 40 percent, a slightly smaller gap than the 15-percentage-point lead he held in the poll last month.

The new Big Ten Battleground Poll, released this morning, also showed Obama with clear leads in Ohio and Pennsylvania, as well as eight other key Midwestern states.

Obama leads in Ohio 53 percent to 41 percent and in Pennsylvania 52 percent to 41 percent.

In other states:

Illinois, Obama 61 percent, McCain 32 percent
Indiana, Obama 51 percent, McCain 41 percent
Iowa, Obama 52 percent, McCain 39 percent
Michigan, Obama 58 percent, McCain 36 percent
Minnesota, Obama 57 percent, McCain 38 percent
Wisconsin, Obama 53 percent, McCain 40 percent

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I think it's just the elite liberal media and the regular liberal media at work here. :) As an Obama supporter, I believe that the release of this polling data only serves to give false comfort in a much tighter election than these numbers show. The race factor will be played out within the privacy of a voting booth. The disparate numbers in the polls might buoy republicans to get out the vote for McCain, as they are best able to do, and to keep complacent democratic voters, who see this election as a done deal, at home. This race is MUCH tighter than those numbers suggest. No one should be counting either of the candidates out at this point.

Posted by Peter S. October 23, 08 11:29 AM
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Great! Here comes Jimmy Carter Part 2!

Posted by Keith October 23, 08 11:56 AM
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The Big Ten Poll is new and fairly untested. This is, I believe, only the second set of polling data they've ever released. The other set showed Obama doing much more poorly than other polls, and this set has him doing much better than other polls. I think they tweaked something in their method and maybe overcompensated.

Posted by SJB October 23, 08 12:03 PM
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Not This Time, no matter how big the lead is People will go vote. This is a very important election, we all see what happen when we don't have the right person to lead this great nation. I know we want change and I get feel it....Just 11 more day to go.

Posted by kien October 23, 08 12:04 PM
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Quinnipiac?? Good grief liberal media you should know this poll is meaningless. Boston Globe et. al - in the bag for Obama.

Posted by John October 23, 08 12:15 PM
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So I wonder if after Obama wins the wingnuts on here will just go ahead and blame the damn pinko liberal voters?

Posted by LM October 23, 08 12:19 PM
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I think the issues will finally serve to overcome race as an issue in this election. I am baffled at how close this race is given the poor republican track record over the last 4 years. What are people thinking?

Posted by kevinjgsalem October 23, 08 12:22 PM
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According to the article, McCain supporters should stay home...
not so fast my liberal friends...

In the last paragraph in Allentown, PA's Morning call, Gov. (slippery) Eddy Rendell sent 2 memos recently asking the Obama campaign to come to PA in the last week of the campaign. They are nervous about this "sizable lead.."

Barack goes down, media goes down.

Posted by Ryan October 23, 08 12:23 PM
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To Keith (Poster #2):

Jimmy Carter? Carter would look like a combination George Washington, Abe Lincoln, Teddy and Franklin Roosevelt, and JFK rolled into one when compared to the 8 years of the clown we just had in that office.

An empty chair couldn't be worse. Hell, it would probably be BETTER!

Posted by Matt Talvi October 23, 08 12:25 PM
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Where is the results of the AP poll that just came out?

come on b-globe!

Posted by Ryan October 23, 08 12:25 PM
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Being an Obama supporter I am not going to believe it until I see it. I love America but I am really tired of living in a country where people are willfully ignorant on almost every issue and vote against their own best interests. I hope this election changes some of that.

Posted by steve irwin October 23, 08 12:29 PM
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At a campaign rally yesterday, McCain said this (severely down in the polls, and watching battleground states turn blue) is right where he wants to be. Well, that's great, because it is right where I want him as well! His negative campaign, sleazy tactics, and insulting VP pick got him there! Looks like the "American" and the liberal, elite, "unAmerican" states are lining up for a real leader in Obama!

Posted by Marbar October 23, 08 12:30 PM
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Obama is going to win and by a greater margin then we believe or the polls say. He is going to take this country on a path that WILL rebuild the economy as Democrats have proven before. He will rebuild the workforce as the Democrats have proven before. I also would like to add you are underestimating the basis od a grass roots campaign they are relentless I volunteer and they call me twice a week to remind me to vote. The other reason is that the republican party has been falling apart in the last eight years due to their connection with one said George Bush I mean it every Deocrat is running his or her campaign on the basis the are not like George Buysh Just look at any campaign slogan they are all about change. It is over for the party and thats that John McCain is a Maverick yeah and I am the Dali lama that is the best the party has going for it come on.

Posted by Joseph Mcintire October 23, 08 02:42 PM
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It is obvious now that McCain is losing because of his choice of Sarah Palin for VP. This surge in the polls comes after Colin Powell's endorsement of Obama. Just today the former republican governor of Minnesota has endorsed Obama too! It is shaping up to be a landslide for Obama.

Posted by Tet68 October 23, 08 03:29 PM
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Regarding the "Liberal Media" Comments:
I live in a small town outside of San Antonio, Tx. I point that out, because when the San Antonio Spurs have won the NBA Championship, it's been bad news for the media. Ratings, thus revenue, actually go South. In this race, the media, be it Liberal or Conservative, have much to lose by prematurely declaring this race a "landslide", and much to gain by depicting this to be a very tight race.

Obama will win, and he will win big. He may be only a freshman Senator, but his campaign has operated like a well oiled machine. McCain is a relic from the past, lacks the vision to building a new future.

Queen Sarah, along with her $150,000 threads, has been a tremendous blessing and a real asset.... to the Obama campaign!!

Posted by William October 23, 08 04:30 PM
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Yeah, the AP poll is fascinating. Just who are they polling, anyway (assuming that all the other polls are accurate)? It's difficult to believe that they know something nobody else knows.

On the other hand. . .

Still, I expect that Obama will win in a landslide.

Posted by Mark October 23, 08 05:59 PM
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Want the real numbers? Go to fivethrityeight.com. Obama in a landslide!

Posted by Crash608 October 26, 08 12:24 AM
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