A ream of new battleground state polls released today show Democrat Barack Obama poised to pull off an electoral landslide by winning traditionally Republican states, and Republican rival John McCain with a huge hill to climb in six days and even in trouble in his home state.
The AP-GfK surveys show Obama up by 18 percentage points among likely voters in New Hampshire, by 12 in Pennsylvania, by 12 in Nevada, by 9 in Colorado, and by 7 in both Ohio and Virginia. Obama is tied with McCain in North Carolina and Florida, according to the AP-GfK polling,
Those surveys were conducted Oct. 22-26 in the eight states and have margins of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points in Colorado and Nevada, and 4 points in the other states.
Quinnipiac University, meanwhile, had Obama leading 47 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in Florida, 51 percent to 42 percent in Ohio, and 53 percent to 41 percent in Pennsylvania. The surveys were conducted Oct. 22-26 and have a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points in Florida and Ohio and 2.7 points in Pennsylvania.
UPDATE: In CNN/Opinion Research Corp. surveys released this afternoon, Obama leads 53 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in Colorado, 51 percent to 47 percent in Florida, and 53 percent to 44 percent in Virginia.
Meanwhile, McCain leads 52 percent to 47 percent among likely voters in Georgia, and 50 percent to 48 percent in Missouri.
Those polls were conducted Oct. 23-28 and have margins of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Finally, McCain is statistically tied with Obama in Arizona, 46 percent to 44 percent, according to a poll done for the Arizona Republic, after having comfortable leads for months.
About Political Intelligence
Glen Johnson is Politics Editor at boston.com and lead blogger for "Political Intelligence." He moved to Massachusetts in the fourth grade, and has covered local, state, and national politics for over 25 years. E-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow him on Twitter @globeglen.