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Indian summer here, Rafael may become a hurricane

Posted by David Epstein  October 15, 2012 08:30 AM

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You might have noticed how mild it became yesterday as a warm front pushed north of the area. Low temperatures this morning were 30F degrees milder than 48 hours earlier when the first killing frost and freeze of the season hit much of New England. A cold front will cross the area later today but before that happens temperatures will reach for and even surpass the 70F mark. You might even feel some humidity in the air throughout the day. Early this evening a few showers can accompany the passage of the front. Once the front has moved by skies will clear and Tuesday looks to be a nice day. Highs tomorrow will be nearing 60F in the afternoon. Much of the rest of the work week looks to be favorable with sunshine and temperatures in well into the 60s.Have you tried twitter? It's a great way to ask me questions and get the inside scoop on weather and gardening find me on Twitter at @growingwisdom

October rather cloudy
Thus far I have been disappointed in our weather this month. Numerous cloud days, drizzle and even steady rain have been the case for 9 of the first 14 days. (today will end up being 10 of 15) Normally October is a drier and sunnier month. I am hoping the next week will more in line with what we expect for the first full month of fall.
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Mild weather
Today is a warm day, let's call it Indian summer. If you do some research on the term you will find it has been around for nearly 200 years. The definition for Indian summer does vary a bit but most of them require a period of cold, with freezing temperatures, followed by a period of warm weather. One definition about Indian summer I read required a heat wave, but the chances of three 90 degree days in October are pretty much zero so I'll skip that requirement.

Daily weather
The map above shows a cold front to our west this morning. This front will push through this evening with a few showers. The air today is warm and even a bit muggy ahead of the front. Behind the front temperatures will still be mild and most of the overall week will have great weather. As mentioned, I do see showers this evening but then we should make it until the weekend before we see any more rain. There may be a a few showers Saturday but right now I am not expecting significant rain. Lots can change in the forecast over the next 5 days so keep your weekend plans in tact for now and stay tuned.

How warm?
After today's 70s each afternoon this week will feature highs in the 60F to 70F degree range. Tomorrow will be on the lower end of that range and then we will gain about 6-8 degrees for Wednesday. Temperatures will remain in the upper 60s to near 70F into Friday.

Hurricane season is still going
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Tropical storm Rafael continues to churn in the south Atlantic and is forecast to become a minimal hurricane this week. I expect the storm to stay well off the Atlantic coast but it could end up being a problem for Bermuda and eventually parts of extreme eastern Canada.



Gardening tips

This time of year one of the great perennials in the garden are the ornamental grasses. Ornamental grass gives the garden a different texture and brings movement to the garden. The flowers of the grasses come in a variety of shapes, color and textures. Check out the video to learn more about these great plants.

I'd love to hear your thoughts on this blog or any others. Please follow me on Twitter at @growingwisdom and check out my latest videos at GrowingWisdom.com

This blog is not written or edited by Boston.com or the Boston Globe.
The author is solely responsible for the content.

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About the author

David Epstein has been a professional meteorologist and horticulturalist for three decades. David spent 16 years at WCVB in Boston and currently freelances for WGME in Portland, ME. In 2006, More »
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