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Feeling more like spring today

Posted by David Epstein  April 4, 2013 08:30 AM

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This afternoon is going to feel more like what you would expect for early April with temperatures getting back into the 50s and that gusty wind no longer a factor. Although there will still be a breeze, today’s breeze is going to be coming from a southwest direction and since the air to our southwest is milder so too will be temperatures. Abundant sunshine will make this a pleasant day all around. The map below gives a good idea of temperatures around 2PM today.
highs today.png

I'll be updating the forecast on Twitter at @growingwisdom please follow me there. Feel free to comment or ask questions too.

Tomorrow a large ocean storm, with quite a bit of rain, will pass south of Nantucket. The air over us is very dry and the rain shield will have a hard time moving northward into the state. I do expect a period of showers to develop across Cape Cod and the Islands, but not make it much further north than Plymouth. Across our south coast up to half an inch of rain could fall, while in Boston a quick shower in the afternoon might dbarely wet the ground. I will keep an eye to the radar to notice any trends that might increase the chance of rain in northern areas or if the storm moves further out to sea, lessen the amounts over Cape Cod.

The weekend forecast
As the storm moves further east Friday night a gusty and chilly wind will follow. Saturday, if there are clouds early they will quickly move east leaving a mostly sunny, but again breezy afternoon. It will not be very cold with highs reaching the lower 50s in the afternoon. This time of the year sea breezes can occur along the coast. Saturday, after 2 PM or 3 PM, coastal areas from Cape Ann to Cape Cod, including Boston, may experience temperatures falling into the 40s as the winds blows cool air off the ocean.

Sunday a weather system to the north will bring more cloudiness to the area, but it will remain dry. Highs will reach the lower and middle 50s On Monday, a surge of warmer air will try to push into New England. Monday afternoon under partly sunny skies highs should easily reach the 60s and it will feel similar to last Monday when we had our warmest day in about 5 months.

Battle of the models
The forecast turns quite interesting for Tuesday and Wednesday. The picture below shows two maps. The map on the right is the GFS and it has warm air surging into New England Tuesday and Wednesday next week. Temperatures would reach the 70F mark in much of southern New England if this is correct. However, the Euro has the warm air not making into New England and temperatures would be as much as 30F degree colder remaining in the 40s.

euro vs gfs.png
Spring warmth is very difficult to accurately predict 5 or 6 days ahead in time. The front that would cross our area to bring that taste of very warm air could easily get stuck around the Mid-Atlantic States and leave us on the chilly side. The trends of each model during the upcoming weekend should give us a better idea of exactly what will happen early next week.


I'll be updating gardening tips and weather information on Twitter at @growingwisdom please follow me there. Feel free to comment or ask questions too.

Gardening this week
Many of you have ornamemental grasses in your yard. These grasses are quite beautiful in the summer and fall, look horrible this time of the year. There are a few things you can do right now to help get those grasses looking good early in the season.

This blog is not written or edited by Boston.com or the Boston Globe.
The author is solely responsible for the content.

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About the author

David Epstein has been a professional meteorologist and horticulturalist for three decades. David spent 16 years at WCVB in Boston and currently freelances for WGME in Portland, ME. In 2006, More »
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