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Sunshine for Columbus Day and much of the week

Posted by David Epstein  October 13, 2013 09:45 PM

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Columbus Day means October is about ½ over and the second half of the 10th month can bring a winter chill and even some snow to the region depending on the year. Fall 2013 has been dry and mild thus far with above normal temperatures and only about 50% of the typical rainfall since September 1st.

If you want to discuss weather, climate or gardening or even education please find me on Twitter at @growingwisdom Please follow me there. Feel free to comment or ask questions too.

The long weekend hasn’t been great weather-wise as clouds keep backing in off the water. Just when it appears the sun will win out, clouds take over. At least it hasn’t been wet.

Monday should end up being the best day of the three day weekend, which isn’t much consolation to those of you heading back to work. I am expecting a lot of sunshine during the day and although there will be some cloudiness, the blue should outweigh the grey.

Temperatures will start quite cool Monday, but rebound into the 60s. A gentle wind will flip onshore across south facing beaches in the afternoon knocking temperatures back a few degrees.

Tuesday appears to be a very mild day as highs near 70F once again. This time of the year our temperatures are most often between about 57 and 64, so hitting 70 is certainly out of the norm.

Wednesday brings a chance of a few showers as a front crosses the region. The showers don’t look to be widespread, long-lasting or produce much rainfall. The end of the week continues mild with afternoon temperatures remaining in the 60s to near 70F. A brief shower might occur Friday, but dry weather predominates.

The upcoming weekend brings a blend of clouds and sunshine and still not cold air. This will mean most of coastal and southern New England will make it through three weeks of October frost free.

The final 10 days of the month bring a change in the pattern with a better shot of some shower activity and a two chances of frost. The first chance comes around 23th and the other around Halloween. When trying predicting a frost this far in advance I look at the long range patter and try to see any signs of a consistent flow of air from Canada.

The European model indicates that sometime in the waning days of October a couple of shots of cold air will move south and this is the bases for my frost forecast. Even if we end up turning colder, it doesn’t look like the cold will be prolonged and for now, wintery weather and any snow will stay over western parts of the country.
Gardening This Week
This is a great time of year to remove some of the invasive plants in your garden. In this week's video, I head to the New England Wild Flower Society to learn about some of the worst plant offenders in the garden.

If you want to discuss weather, climate or gardening or even education please find me on Twitter at @growingwisdom Please follow me there. Feel free to comment or ask questions too.

This blog is not written or edited by Boston.com or the Boston Globe.
The author is solely responsible for the content.

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About the author

David Epstein has been a professional meteorologist and horticulturalist for three decades. David spent 16 years at WCVB in Boston and currently freelances for WGME in Portland, ME. In 2006, More »
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