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Thunderstorms pushing east, but weakening a bit heading towards Boston

Posted by David Epstein  October 7, 2013 05:50 PM

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A strong to severe line of thunderstorms is currently pushing eastward through New England. The storms should be off the coast by midnight. The air ahead of the storm is very humid, but will turn drier late at night. There are severe watches and warnings for the area and these will expire as soon as the line moves past your town. Some storms within the line are stronger than others. Areas of red and orange on the radar represent the strongest and most severe weather. The storms are getting weaker as they push east and although we will see some downpours later this evening in the metro Boston area, I am not expecting severe weather.
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Currently, the line of storms is located across eastern New York where there have been several occurrences of severe weather and a tornado watch is in effect right to the New England border of Vermont, Massachusetts and Connecticut.

There is a wind advisory up for much of the area until 8pm and a severe thunderstorm watch west of Boston. The map below shows the current situation as of 3:30 PM Unfortunately, these winds are taking down a bit of the foliage. With Columbus Day weekend ahead, we don't want any big storms to strip the leaves off the trees prematurely.
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The cold front that is causing all the weather today is actually part of the same system that gave the wild amounts of snow to the Dakotas a few days ago. As the front pushes east, it's running into all this warm air and storms are firing up along the boundary.

As the front pushes eastward overnight the showers will end and skies will clear. Humidity levels will drop rapidly behind the front and the air will return to feeling like October by morning.

On Tuesday, as high pressure builds in from Canada, sunshine will dominate along with a breeze from the west. Temperatures will be only in the 60s and with the air very dry it will feel much cooler than today.

The dry and seasonable conditions continue through Thursday with highs in the 60s and lows in the upper 30s to 40s a general rule.

The holiday weekend is bringing a forecast challenge that could impact some of the three days. The basic issue is a storm will form along the coast of the Carolinas and then slowly begin to move north.

The questions I have for the weekend are if there will be rain and if there is what is the timing of it? Right now it appears there will be two areas of rain to watch. The first moves north Friday followed by another area later Monday or Tuesday of next week.
Between these chances of rain, skies will be partly to mostly sunny with seasonable temperatures. My initial thinking is the Friday rain skirts the south coast, but never makes it very far north. Then the next area comes closer sometime Monday or Tuesday. Obviously with the holiday Monday, the timing is critical, more on this as the week progresses.

If you didn't read my article on climate change over the weekend you can click here to read more about how I see the latest United Nations IPCC report.

Gardening this week

Deer are an issue for gardeners any time of the year, but as we approach winter, they can become a particular problem.  If you are a hunter, I know how you will say we should take care of the deer, but short of that, there are ways to keep them out of your yard.  Check out this week's gardening video below.

If you want to discuss weather, climate or gardening or even education please find me on Twitter at @growingwisdom Please follow me there. Feel free to comment or ask questions too.

This blog is not written or edited by Boston.com or the Boston Globe.
The author is solely responsible for the content.

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About the author

David Epstein has been a professional meteorologist and horticulturalist for three decades. David spent 16 years at WCVB in Boston and currently freelances for WGME in Portland, ME. In 2006, More »
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