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More light snow Tuesday, but most falls between the commutes

Posted by David Epstein  December 9, 2013 08:13 PM

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Cloudy and damp overnight with some refreezing of the slush and moisture causing scattered areas of black ice towards morning. Temperatures will fall to about 32F in Boston, remain above freezing south of the city and fall below freezing in many of the suburbs.

I would not be surprised if several towns need to send out sanders again overnight to prepare for the Tuesday morning commute.

I'll be updating the forecast as it changes on Twitter at @growingwisdom Please follow me there. Feel free to comment or ask questions too.

Another small snow event
A small storm will ride northeast along the coastline Tuesday. This storm will nick our area with a few hours of steady snow. The snow will be heaviest and last longest across the southwestern suburbs of Boston heading back through parts of Rhode Island and Connecticut. To the north of the Massachusetts turnpike there will not be much in the way of steady snow.

What could change
If the track of the low tomorrow is 50 miles further south and east, there will be little or now snow in Boston, if the storm tracks further north, a few inches of snow could fall as far north as the New Hampshire border. As of now, the most likely accumulation scenario is outlined below.

The morning commute will not be affected, (unless you leave very late) as the snow will begin during the mid-morning hours between 9 and 11 AM.radar tyes.png It may even start as a bit of rain along the coast, but change to snow during the afternoon. The snow will wind down quickly and be over by 5PM. The projected radar for 2 PM tomorrow already shows the snow exiting the area with the back edge pushing towards Boston.

The most likely spots to receive the most accumulating snow will be south shore communities just away from the warmth of the water. Until the air cools a bit, snow can fall, but not be sticking well on the roads. Along and north of the Massachusetts Turnpike snowfall will be less, trailing off to just a few flurries. If this weather system moves slightly further north or south then the amounts will end up reflecting this change. I will update the forecast later this evening and of course tomorrow morning.
Snow Tuesday.jpg

Wednesday and Thursday will be cold and dry days with highs in the lower 30s Wednesday but only near 20F on Thursday. There will be brisk wind for the middle of the week making it feel very cold. Thursday is looking like a particularly cold and blustery day.

Friday remains dry and slightly less cold, but still atypical for the first part of December.

Next weekend shows a moderation in temperature, but still readings will be quite below normal. November averaged 2 degrees below normal and thus far the first week plus of December is also averaging quite a bit below average. I still feel that towards the end of the month the pattern will shift again and milder air will ensue. This doesn't mean winter will be over of course, but since we started with the cold so early, it's likely that a break will happen later this month and into January.

On Saturday, another storm will affect the region. This looks to start as a wintry mix and then change to rain. However, the event is still so far away the exact timing and details of amounts are both still very questionable.

Outdoor project this weekend
In this video I show you a project you can do this weekend and bring the kids along too.

This blog is not written or edited by Boston.com or the Boston Globe.
The author is solely responsible for the content.

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About the author

David Epstein has been a professional meteorologist and horticulturalist for three decades. David spent 16 years at WCVB in Boston and currently freelances for WGME in Portland, ME. In 2006, More »
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