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Freezing rain, possible flooding and wind all in the forecast

Posted by David Epstein  January 10, 2014 05:00 PM

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After the morning snow, the evening commute will be completed under cloudy skies with no precipitation beyond some light mist or drizzle. The overnight is going to be mainly dry, but some icing can occur simply from the high levels of moisture in the air.

It only takes a few flakes to really foul up a commute. The double entendre is not lost on most of you and this morning was a perfect example. Barely a dusting of snow occurred at the wrong time and another commute became memorable for some of you. If you asked me one of my goals for retirement (years away), it would be to not have to drive on another major highway during a commute to work.

This morning's snow was the first of two weather events over the next couple days. I am looking at the models for the upcoming rain and a couple of things are showing up. First, as the next area of moisture moves northward overnight, a few pockets of freezing drizzle could occur, mostly over northern Worcester County. By Saturday morning, the air will have warmed enough so the threat of any icing will be over.

There is enough concern for freezing rain so an advisory has been issued for areas north and west of Route 495 as well as the about western half of southern New England on a line roughly from Hartford, CT to Worcester, MA. If you are traveling later tonight, be aware of changing road conditions.

As the warmer wind picks up Saturday rain is going to push across the area and while showery at first, this rain is poised to become heavy for the afternoon and evening. There is a lot of tropical moisture riding northward into the system. This means you can expect big puddles on the roads tomorrow evening if you are headed out for a movie or dinner.

If you are going to be at the Patriots game, this is one of those games to bring out the waterproof gear.

The radar image below shows how things are forecast around 7PM tomorrow. Notice the heavy pockets of rain. These areas will continue to pulse northward for the first half of the night bringing copious amounts of rain to the region. I am forecasting 1 to 2 inches of rain with this system.
rain patriots.jpg

This amount of rain can cause water issues. Street flooding is almost a definite tomorrow night with the normal susceptible spots likely to flood. Small streams and basements could also see some issue from the heavy rain tomorrow night. There is a flood watch up for areas mostly west of Route 128, but all areas could see issues.
flood watch.jpg

The air is going to be very mild this weekend. Once we rise above freezing later today, most areas will say above this mark through the weekend. Tomorrow highs will easily get into the 50s and with a gusty southerly flow, it’s going to feel like a wet spring day.

Sunday is my pick for the weekend, which should be somewhat obvious after a soaking Saturday. Skies will clear early in the morning leaving us with a bright and sunny sky and mild air. Highs won’t be quite as warm as they will be tomorrow, but still range from 45-52 north to south, not a bad temperature range in mid-January.

I’ll be updating my forecast on Twitter @growingwisdom, please follow me there.

This blog is not written or edited by Boston.com or the Boston Globe.
The author is solely responsible for the content.

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About the author

David Epstein has been a professional meteorologist and horticulturalist for three decades. David spent 16 years at WCVB in Boston and currently freelances for WGME in Portland, ME. In 2006, More »
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