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Rent prices on the rise

Posted by Stacey Myers October 29, 2008 11:00 AM

Rising rents in the Boston area are forcing families to spend a higher portion of their income on housing costs, according to the Boston Foundation’s Housing Report Card, which was released yesterday.

Globe reporter Kimberly Blanton writes about the foundation report and rent prices in the city in today’s Business section.

At the same time, renter incomes have declined, placing even more pressure on low-income renters, the foundation said.

Families put on average about 38 percent of their monthly income toward rent in 2007 and 2008, because of rent increases and declining income levels, according to the foundation report. Just seven years earlier, families were paying an average of 28 percent of their income for rent. Rent is considered affordable when it takes up 30 percent or less of a family’s monthly income.

The housing market downturn is largely to blame for rising rents, because more families are losing their homes to foreclosure and must then look for rental units, according to the report. As demand for rentals increases, so do the rents. Though not all areas of the state are seeing the same rent increase.

In the Boston area, rents were up 4.2 percent over the past year, according to an analysis by New York research firm Reis Inc., which Blanton also wrote about. The average monthly rent in Boston-area apartment buildings with at least 40 units was $1,659 in the third quarter, compared with $1,592 in the same period of 2007. The Boston area rent increase was slightly higher than the average national increase of 3.5 percent, according to Reis.

Has your rent been eating up more of your take-home pay? How concerned are you about this trend? Do you think you might have to move to another town, another state?

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21 comments so far...
  1. Nope. My rent is about 11% of my income and my rent has not gone up in 3 years. Meanwhile I'm socking away almost 35% of my income into my 401K and non-retirement investment account. But, you know I'm just one of those dumb, bitter renters who is throwing money away. Yeah, I sure do wish I could spend 50% of my income on a home that is plunging in value.

    Posted by John October 29, 08 12:27 PM
  1. Before anyone freeks out about this report, do yourself and everyone a favor and take a peek at Craigslist rental listings ... there is a glut of places for rent in several towns that I look at (Lexington, Belmont, Arlington). Hmmm... how long will it be before supply exceeds demand and prices start coming down? Three months? Six months?

    Posted by arlingtonmom October 29, 08 02:02 PM
  1. I admit, my hubby and I could rent in Lexington, Arlington, and Newton.
    But buy...psssfffff....in our dreams.

    Posted by A.B.-G. October 29, 08 03:32 PM
  1. Gee, my rent went up a whole 1%. Less than inflation.

    I'd like to see the methodology behind this report. Did they control for an increase in luxury units? Larger units? A rise in vacancies in low-income areas?

    Bottom line is, rents are limited by income, because you can't get a subprime loan to pay your rent. And incomes aren't going up; they're falling due to the recession. A family that lost a house in foreclosure is in no position to get into a rental bidding war. Advocacy groups and landlords can believe what they want, but the simple facts of the economic collapse means rents are headed down, not up.

    Posted by Marcus October 29, 08 04:36 PM
  1. The poster above who is proud of putting all that money in his 401K might want to avoid looking at his statement for the next 10 years or so.

    Posted by myneighborhoodisimmune October 29, 08 06:13 PM
  1. Sorry myneighbor but I will not be touching my 401K for at least 30 years, so I could care less what it looks like in 10 years. And unlike most investors, I like buying low and selling high. Will the market keep falling? I can just about guarantee it. We might see DOW 5000 before this downturn runs it's course. Again, I like to buy low and sell high.

    Posted by John October 29, 08 09:46 PM
  1. My 401 K is up 2% this year.

    If you didn't see a crash coming and change to all cash or other safe investments then shame on you........

    Maybe you were reading the Glode and thought everything was fine

    Posted by chmarcus October 30, 08 12:44 PM
  1. Way to ignore the facts Marcus.

    More anecdotes, my rent in Brookline increased about 5% year-to-year, when I moved out instead of paying that much more, my landlord increased the rent by 20% for the person moving in after me. Friends of mine in Brighton had their rent increase by 7-8%, so they moved to a cheaper apartment father from the city.

    Posted by anonymous October 30, 08 01:31 PM
  1. I agree with "arlingtonmom". We are in Belmont and rents are going down not up. Inventory is high. We were given rent reduction recently. Things are wery different from two-three years ago. I have no idea where Boston Globe learned that rents are rising. I would say it is opposite.

    Posted by belmontma October 30, 08 02:47 PM
  1. A most interesting article, although I must say that as a real estate professional (I am one of the owners of The Roommate Connection in Boston), I have not noticed an increase in rents. I have, however, noticed a tremendous increase in the number of people either registering with our agency or inquiring about our services specifically because of their mortgage issues and/or concerns. In addition, we've experienced a noticeable increase in the 50-something and 60-something year old categories.

    Gone are the days when living with a roommate = student.

    Posted by Mark Wm Smith October 30, 08 03:47 PM
  1. As a landlord with 10 units in the eastern half of Cambridge, I have definitely been able to up my rents substantially the last couple years with each vacancy. I never increase the rent of a good tenant.

    One example in 2004 a couple 2-bed units I acquired it was a lot of work to get them rented for $1650. This year after I got them both rented for $2100 to the first people that saw them. I've seen similar trends with my other units.

    Posted by Jesus October 30, 08 06:18 PM
  1. Temporarily rents should go up, as there is more demand.

    Longer term, they will go down, as the market gets flooded with rentals that used to be owned homes where the owner couldn't sell them, and renters are able to buy newly cheap housing.

    Pretty much what happened 89-96 in other words - nothing new.

    My rent probably went up 3% or so. A lot less than I'd be losing on a place I owned right now....

    Posted by charles October 30, 08 09:51 PM
  1. My old place in Allston went up 9%, hence my moving--it was really unjustified given the condition of the place. But hey, some undergrads rented it.

    My new place is new...its high for Lower Mills. But there's other developments (one just opened up this month). If I renew, I'll move if its raised....I can do better down the street with the same price, but utilities included and more amenities, better location on the River.

    Posted by A.B.-G. October 31, 08 09:25 AM
  1. charles, could you explain your scenario in a bit more detail? So short term there is more demand because people aren't buying. Ok.

    And long term the market will get flooded with rentals because people moved on and couldn't sell their place? At the same time renters will be able to buy new, cheap housing? That seems contradictory: if housing is cheap and renters are buying, then couldn't people also sell their places? Also, how do most people move on to a new house without selling the old one? Where does the (these days substantial) downpayment come from?

    Posted by accidental landlord October 31, 08 09:37 AM
  1. ok, was a bit too unexplained.

    Short term - more demand for rentals because of former owners of foreclosures looking for rentals, and renters who would otherwise become owners staying as renters to avoid losing money.

    Demand up, Supply stable, = rents up.

    Medium term - foreclosures go from being unoccupied, to either occupied or rented out by investors as housing prices reset. These lower prices for housing also draw people like ABG and myself into buying. Demand for rentals thus drops, while supply goes up - result rents down. This is what happened in the early 90s.

    Long term - housing market resets, rents start rising again. Newspapers print articles on subject of massive rent raises. Prices reflect underlying fundamentals rather than "temporary" supply/demand dislocations.

    Basically, we have a dislocation one way, then a swing the other, and then it steadies back to the fundamentals. Does that make sense? I don't have enough coffee in me to judge my level of clarity I fear.

    Posted by charles October 31, 08 12:02 PM
  1. The price to rent and and the price to own will go up and down independently in the short that is the randomness of the economy, but in the long run they will move together. Rents are now in a period of catching up with property values.

    Now I currently I figure I can get about 4% return on investment assuming property values stay stagnant. Not good as a CD is easier and safer.

    Posted by Jesus October 31, 08 12:55 PM
  1. For what I've noticed, I really think that rents are always going to go up in a neighborhood like Allston. My apartment before the one I had went up 14%!

    Renters in Allston will always pay more. They want to be near their schools and near their friends. I'll never forget one summer where I was out on my porch and this student (an incoming grad student) wanted to know about Units in my building that were turning over. She had an amazing deal to rent in Newton but she felt it was too far away from other students.

    I told her to take the place in Newton. But it just goes to show you that there really is no limit to rents there---parents will just fork over the money.

    Posted by A.B-G. October 31, 08 08:07 PM
  1. Jesus - one way to reset those ratios is for rents to go up. Another is for prices to go down. I tend to think the latter.

    Though I agree with you that it makes less than no financial sense to be a landlord in Massachusetts now. The rules are punitive, and the profits slim.

    Posted by charles November 3, 08 10:08 AM
  1. charles, yes thanks that makes more sense.

    Posted by accidental landlord November 4, 08 08:41 AM
  1. Charles, I agree property prices are going down as well. As a landlord I only really notice the rent increases. If property prices go down much more then there will eventually be rent decreases. In Cambridge, where I own, this has happened yet and I don't see it happening. In the end it's about the local economy.

    I'm doing much better with my real estate holdings then my mutual fund holdings. I don't know of any punitive rules and it's a great tax shelter as I get to depreciate and reduce my income tax owed. I would say being a landlord makes no sense for anyone looking for short term gain. In the long run, who knows. Finding a good investment hasn't been easy the last 8 years or so. I'm not disappointed with how my real estate holding have performed. If I invested in Dorchester, I'd probably be saying something else.

    I've done better with my properties then I have with mutual funds.

    Posted by Jesus November 5, 08 05:25 AM
  1. I recently renewed my lease, which I knew had a 60 day notification requirement if I want to break the lease (which seems generous). However, typed into the lease was an additional $500 penalty fee for breaking the lease. I thought I remembered reading on this site that such a fee is illegal but my searches have not been successful. Except for sucking up electricity like a vampire, it is a great apartment so I am not planning to move - but you never know what it might be necessary. What would be my recourse if they tried to withhold the $500 from my deposit? Thanks.

    Posted by Lillian November 10, 08 11:59 PM
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About boston real estate now
Scott Van Voorhis is a freelance writer who specializes in real estate and business issues.
Rona Fischman is a buyer's agent who provides a look at the local housing scene, from basements to attics.
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