Record: 88-67, 1.5 games behind
Remaining schedule: Blue Jays (2), Red Sox (3), Rays (3)
Since the All-Star break, the Orioles are 43-27 while the Yankees are 37-32. While the Yankees have led the division for more days than the Orioles this month, the Orioles have proved their ability to win the close ones, winning 15 straight extra-inning games. They have a slightly tougher remaining schedule than the Yankees, but the Orioles are playing better baseball and their first division crown since 1997 could be in sight.
Prediction: Win division