Baseball’s winter meetings get under way in Indianapolis tomorrow, and if things align right, a few interesting players could change uniforms. If they fall wrong, we’ll be left with erroneous reports, maddening agentspeak, and denials of trades gone bad.
Over the next few days, at least these 10 issues will be raised: 1. Will Roy Halladay be dealt? 2. Will the Padres deal Adrian Gonzalez? 3. Where will John Lackey end up? 4. Will the Tigers really deal Miguel Cabrera? 5. How will first-time general managers Alex Anthopoulos and Jed Hoyer do at their first winter meetings? 6. Will Matt Holliday or Jason Bay emerge as the highest-paid free agent? 7. Will the world champion Yankees continue to spend? 8. Will John Henry’s replacement revenue-sharing plan (with a payroll tax) catch on? 9. Will the McCourt divorce affect the offseason moves by the Dodgers? 10. Will the free agent market continue to be slow, igniting more collusion charges?
A look at what each team is trying to get done:
Baltimore
Is this the time to start thinking about being competitive? Or should the Orioles save their shekels for the 2011 season, when their young pitching begins to emerge? Needs are aplenty. Start with first and third base.
Josh Bell (third) and
Brandon Snyder (first) will be there a year from now, so they’re really looking for temps. They will look for a veteran starting pitcher and could use a closer, though
Chris Ray,
Jim Johnson, and
Koji Uehara will vie for the role if the Orioles elect not to spend. Last year, they made overtures for hometown boy
Mark Teixeira, and they have the players to deal for a Gonzalez or a Cabrera.
Boston
With
Marco Scutaro in tow, the Red Sox now look for a starting pitcher (Halladay, Lackey,
Rich Harden,
Erik Bedard) and a set-up type reliever (
Fernando Rodney,
Rafael Soriano). They will look to tie up Bay or acquire a facsimile (Holliday,
Xavier Nady,
Josh Willingham) and must figure out whether they can make the big deal for Gonzalez or Cabrera.
Casey Kelly and
Daniel Bard appear to be the untouchables, along with
Ryan Westmoreland. But the Sox could deal
Casey Kotchman,
Manny Delcarmen, and possibly
Clay Buchholz in a big trade.
New York
The Yankees are taking their typical methodical approach to the offseason before they pounce on their prey. If they don’t sign their own free agents, they can take almost $40 million off the books, which would allow them to load up on Lackey and/or Holliday, and Halladay. Nothing should surprise anyone here. They are looking for a left fielder and a starting pitcher. Seems they would deal
Jesus Montero and
Phil Hughes/
Joba Chamberlain if they could get Halladay. There are indications they would bring back
Johnny Damon if he considered a two-year deal at around $20 million.
Tampa Bay
Their attention must be on relief pitching, preferably a closer. Of course, we’re hearing the “no money’’ mantra, so they will likely think outside the box.
Ben Zobrist is playing either second base or right field, so they need to fill whichever position Zobrist doesn’t. They would obviously love to move DH
Pat Burrell and are reportedly still contemplating a
Milton Bradley-Burrell swap.
Dioner Navarro is available in trade, and there’s a possibility that
Dan Wheeler and his $3.5 million price tag could be available. There’s intrigue about what might happen with left fielder
Carl Crawford ($10 million option) or even first baseman
Carlos Pena. They will likely stay, but would the Rays listen to offers? Probably.
Toronto
If they lower their expectations on a Halladay trade, that could get the Sox and Yankees involved again, and you always want the Sox and Yankees involved. So far, they’ve focused on shortstop, signing both
John McDonald and
Alex Gonzalez. The Jays will try to get a catcher in any deal for Halladay, unless they bring back
Rod Barajas. They are looking for a taker for
Lyle Overbay and his $7.95 million deal so they can move
Adam Lind to first.
Chicago
The White Sox need a leadoff batter (
Coco Crisp? Damon?), a backup catcher, and a lefthanded reliever. While they unloaded good pitching talent for
Jake Peavy in August, they still could move pitching prospect
Lucas Harrell. The White Sox will likely keep closer
Bobby Jenks and hope he takes his conditioning seriously this winter. Utility player
Brent Lillibridge and reliever
Scott Linebrink could be had.
Cleveland
The Indians are rebuilding, to say the least. They’d like to get a utility infielder, a cheap rehab starting pitcher, and a first baseman (preferable one who hits righthanded). They have begun to retool their farm system with the deals involving
Mark DeRosa and
Victor Martinez, but they don’t have much to give up unless you want
Andy Marte,
Jeremy Sowers, or
Kerry Wood. Boy, would they love to dump the three years and $40 million remaining on
Travis Hafner’s contract.
Detroit
One person in the organization said that while owner
Mike Ilitch wants to reduce payroll, he doesn’t want the Tigers winding up in the basement, either.
Edwin Jackson is likely the most realistic chip, but they will listen on
Curtis Granderson, Cabrera, and
Brandon Inge. They’re letting Rodney and
Brandon Lyon depart as free agents, so they could use relief help. The decision to allow
Magglio Ordonez’s $18 million option to kick in seems even odder now.
Kansas City
Catching help is high atop the Royals’ list, as they’ve soured on the
Miguel Olivo-
John Buck tandem. With Crisp a free agent, they need a center fielder, a lefty starter, and a reliever. They’re dangling second baseman
Alberto Callaspo, who hit .300 last season, as his defense leaves a lot to be desired. The Royals want to find a sucker for
Jose Guillen’s $12 million salary and would pay some of it if they get something decent in return. You could pry outfielder
David DeJesus away. Also, starting pitchers
Brian Bannister and
Kyle Davies could be thrown into a deal.
Minnesota
They really need to get
Carl Pavano or someone of his ilk signed. They’re considering Harden and
Jarrod Washburn as well. They need an upgrade at second base, as
Nick Punto simply doesn’t hit enough. At third base, they’re going to look at
Joe Crede again if his latest back surgery turns out OK. Don’t rule out DeRosa being a third base candidate. The Twins do have a bunch of fifth-starter types available in deals:
Glen Perkins,
Francisco Liriano,
Brian Duensing,
Anthony Swarzak,
Boof Bonser.
Los Angeles
The Angels always say they won’t spend crazy and then they pop a
Torii Hunter on you. Which is why they’re back in on Lackey.
Brandon Wood is out of options and could be a replacement for
Chone Figgins, who signed Friday with Seattle. Wood also could be used as a chip in a Halladay deal if Lackey signs elsewhere. They’d love to move
Gary Matthews, likely won’t re-sign
Vladimir Guerrero, and could use one of their catchers (
Mike Napoli or
Jeff Mathis) in a deal for Halladay. Another nice trade chip is
Maicer Izturis. The Angels need relief help, perhaps even someone who can close or co-close with
Brian “Heart Attack’’
Fuentes.
Oakland
The A’s are looking for hitting. They like their rotation and bullpen, but while
Billy Beane obtained
Jake Fox from the Cubs, he’s still looking for a third baseman who can replace
Eric Chavez once and for all.
Brett Wallace, acquired from the Cardinals in the Holliday deal, isn’t quite ready to start at third.
Seattle
“All over the map,’’ is how a National League GM described the Mariners’ plans. GM
Jack Zduriencik already has landed Figgins and is thinking big on Bay. Don’t count them out on Gonzalez, and DeRosa is also in the mix. They may move
Jose Lopez to first if they don’t re-sign
Russell Branyan. They’d like to upgrade at catcher.
Texas
The Rangers are telling teams they won’t deal
Kevin Millwood, but most aren’t buying it. Millwood would interest a lot of teams . . . Baltimore, Milwaukee, Seattle, you name it. There are quiet concerns about
Josh Hamilton and there’s a void without
Marlon Byrd. Jarrod Saltalamacchia is hurt again, so they may need another catcher. There’s talk about
Nelson Cruz being dealt for pitching. They could consider
Miguel Tejada for a DH/3B/backup SS role.
Atlanta
Stacked with starting pitching, the Braves would love to move
Derek Lowe or
Javier Vazquez for an impact hitter (Cruz?). Otherwise, they might consider guys like Willingham (in trade),
Jermaine Dye, and
Nick Johnson. They could use second baseman
Kelly Johnson as trade bait. The Braves struck quickly in replacing relievers
Rafael Soriano and
Mike Gonzalez with the Sox tandem of
Takashi Saito and
Billy Wagner.
Florida
The Marlins could deal second baseman
Dan Uggla or third baseman
Jorge Cantu; both are in demand. The Giants are very interested in Uggla.
Josh Johnson and
Ricky Nolasco are locks for the rotation, and while they have six pitchers vying for the three other spots, they wouldn’t mind adding another veteran to the mix. They also need a young reliever or two and a lefthanded hitter who can come off the bench. The Marlins don’t spend a lot of their revenue-sharing money, so they’re always looking to dump.
New York
The Mets need starting pitching, and while the perfect guy would be Lackey, they have not shown that they’re willing to pay for him. Therefore, think
Joel Pineiro, Pavano, Harden,
Randy Wolf. The Mets will likely be in the market for a second baseman once they trade
Luis Castillo, and
Orlando Hudson could be a target. They also need a first baseman, but with
Ike Davis not far off, they might need only a temporary solution. The Mets signed a pair of backup catchers in
Chris Coste and
Henry Blanco but have their eyes on
Bengie Molina.
Philadelphia
The Phillies could always make a splash with a Halladay, but GM
Ruben Amaro Jr. has done a lot already, signing
Placido Polanco for third base, backup catcher
Brian Schneider, and backup infielder
Eric Bruntlett. They have some interest in
John Smoltz for the No. 5 spot or the bullpen. Outfield prospect
Michael Taylor could be part of a Halladay package, but they won’t trade righthanded pitching prospect
Kyle Drabek or outfield prospect
Dominic Brown. They also are looking to deepen their bullpen with at least two relievers.
Washington
The Nationals have some money, and they’d love to spend it on two veteran starting pitchers. Don’t be shocked to see them in on Lackey or even inquire about Halladay. They seem to have an inside track on Smoltz, who could help their young pitchers. They could use a second baseman, a couple of relievers, and a veteran catcher. Willingham’s name is most mentioned as trade bait, and they’d like to rid themselves of
Cristian Guzman’s $8 million contract.
Chicago
Can I interest you in Milton Bradley? Slam! Good luck trying to move him, unless the Rays swap Burrell for him. The Cubs could use a center fielder (Crisp?) so they can move
Kosuke Fukudome to right. They need a couple of bullpen arms alongside
Carlos Marmol and
Angel Guzman. They could deal one of their shortstop prospects (
Starlin Castro and
Hak-Ju Lee) and would like to relocate second baseman
Mike Fontenot. They relish the thought of moving
Alfonso Soriano or
Carlos Zambrano.
Cincinnati
GM
Walt Jocketty has told the media he’ll likely return with the same roster, so don’t expect much. There’s a possibility he would entertain offers for
Bronson Arroyo, who had a fabulous second half, and
Aaron Harang. He’d try to get an inexpensive hitter, but don’t expect a blockbuster here.
Houston
New manager
Brad Mills needs an infield, a catcher, starting pitchers, and a bullpen. Other than that, congratulations on your new job.
Carlos Lee and
Lance Berkman love Houston so much they would never waive their no-trade clauses. So good luck, Brad, while your payroll is cut from $105 million to $92 million.
Milwaukee
The Brewers acquired
Gregg Zaun to be their primary catcher, but they obviously need two starting pitchers, at least. The rehabbing
Mark Mulder is on their radar, along with Pavano,
Doug Davis, Harden, and Wolf. They could use right fielder
Corey Hart as trade bait for a pitcher and switch third baseman
Mat Gamel to right field. Teams will ask about
Prince Fielder, but the Brewers won’t listen.
Pittsburgh
The Pirates, entering Year 18 of being under .500, are looking to obtain a lefthanded-hitting first baseman (Nick Johnson?) or an outfielder with power, a long-term shortstop, bullpen help in general and a lefty reliever in particular. If you have any of those, they might make closer
Matt Capps available to you, or you could even pry away lefthanders
Zach Duke and
Paul Maholm and catcher
Ryan Doumit.
St. Louis
The Cardinals would like to re-sign Holliday and DeRosa. They may also go after a significant starter like Halladay if they don’t spend all their money trying to sign Holliday. They could use a good bat off the bench.
Ryan Ludwick would be available in a deal for pitching.
Arizona
The Diamondbacks will be searching for a No. 4 starter, a veteran middle reliever, and a utilityman. They would trade catcher
Chris Snyder and would certainly love to be rid of outfielder
Eric Byrnes, who makes $11 million. They turned down a Snyder-for-Overbay deal in November.
Colorado
The Rockies are looking for a righthanded hitter who can be a backup at first and third and play the outfield. Hudson remains on their wish list; they could sign him and move
Clint Barmes into a super backup role. They will pursue a backup catcher and could reconsider
Yorvit Torrealba.
LaTroy Hawkins is on their radar if
Rafael Betancourt doesn’t accept arbitration.
Ryan Spilborghs’s name has come up in trade talks.
Los Angeles
The priorities are a third baseman and an end-of-the-rotation starter to replace Wolf. With nine arbitration-eligible players, the Dodgers may not do much, but
Juan Pierre is trade bait.
San Diego
Will Gonzalez be traded? Hoyer could wait, though right now he has the Red Sox and Mets, two big-market teams, who would pull the trigger. Hoyer needs a righthanded-hitting outfielder (
Reed Johnson, maybe Crisp), a starting pitcher, lots of bullpen help, a backup catcher, and a backup infielder (hello,
Nick Green). Besides Gonzalez, Hoyer holds another big chip in closer
Heath Bell, who would be in demand. He could deal righty
Chris Young or third baseman
Kevin Kouzmanoff.
San Francisco
Bats. At least two big ones for the middle of the order. Anyone and anything is possible. With Molina likely to depart, the Giants want a veteran to nurture rookie
Buster Posey (
Pudge Rodriguez?), one back-end starter, and some bullpen help. Pitching prospect
Jonathan Sanchez could be dangled for the right bat.
Nick Cafardo can be reached at cafardo@globe.com. 
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