9. IndiansLast year: 80-82
They'll win if: young stars Asdrubal Cabrera (pictured) and Carlos Santana continue to improve and have big seasons. Also, they'll win if Ubaldo Jimenez can pitch close to as well as he pitched in Colorado two years ago.
They'll lose if: Grady Sizemore never gets healthy. He's still just 29, but hasn't played close to a full season since 2008.