A newcomer will get hurt
Speculating on who may get injured isn’t exactly our favorite exercise, but the reality is that a player or two each spring will have a setback that delays the start of their season. (Bailey being Exhibit A from last spring.) Skepticism of Mike Napoli’s condition makes sense at least until we actually see him swinging the bat. Stephen Drew might seem like another candidate, but he was rather durable (especially by Drew family standards) before suffering a broken ankle in 2011.