Projection: 188.3 innings (ZiPS)
Comment: Over. Well that's an impressively specific projection– right down to 1/3d of an inning. Of course, if it comes true, something has gone wrong during Lester's bid for a bounceback season after a disheartening 2012. From 2008-12, Lester's lowest single-season innings total is 191.2 in 2011, and in the other four seasons he exceeded 200. The 29-year-old lefthander is the Red Sox ace in title if not recent production, and they need him to take on the requisite workload of at least 200 innings.