Projection: 12 wins (Bill James)
Comment: Over. The Baseball Info Solutions formula that offers projections for the Bill James Handbook tends to offer conservative victory totals for starting pitchers ... yet the dozen wins it attributes to Buchholz is the highest win projection we could find for the Red Sox righthander. (Baseball Prospectus's PECOTA system, for instance, gives him an 8-9 record in '13.) Buchholz has had durability issues, but he did win 17 games three years ago and 11 for last year's lousy team. We're putting him down for 14, minimum.