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A can't-lose situation?

Posted by Chris Forsberg, Boston.com Staff October 18, 2008 01:46 PM

For those Sox fans who take comfort in statistical patterns that suggest a Boston victory, we offer this tidbit from the Sox' PR staff in their notes before tonight's Game 6 of the American League Championship Series:

SERIES AT 2-3: This is the eighth time that the Red Sox have dropped three of the first five games in a best-of-seven or best-of-nine postseason series. On the seven previous occasions, Boston is 7-0 in Game 6.

SeriesOpponentResultSeries result
1903/WS Pittsburgh Won on Road Won in 8
1967/WS St. Louis Won at Home Lost in 7
1975/WS Cincinnati Won at Home Lost in 7
1986/LCS California Won at Home Won in 7
2003/LCS New York Won on Road Lost in 7
2004/LCS New York Won on Road Won in 7
2007/LCS Cleveland Won at Home Won in 7

As the chart suggests, the Red Sox are slightly better than a flip of the coin to win the series, but they're a virtual lock to win Game 6, if history holds true.

Overall, the Sox are 8-3 lifetime in the sixth game of a playoff series, winning the last three since a certain loss to the Mets in Game 6 of the 1986 World Series. But why bring up bad memories?

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10 comments so far...

  1. er.... you might wanna toss in an explanation for that ought-three result.

    Posted by Mister Snitch October 18, 08 02:08 PM

  1. OK, I see you mentioned that earlier series were once best-of-nine. Missed it, and I read it twice, too. Never mind...

    Posted by Mister Snitch October 18, 08 02:10 PM

  1. Methinks this is good...

    Posted by DanielShays October 18, 08 03:24 PM

  1. Methinks this is good...

    Posted by DanielShays October 18, 08 03:50 PM

  1. No matter what happens now--The Red Sox have given us a season to remember. We were at the Texas miracle -19-17. The very best game we have ever attended-talk about an emotional rollercoaster!

    I have to admit turning off the game the other night with two out in the 7th inning, and the score 7-0 TB. It was the worst mistake that I ever made. However, both my wife and son watched the entire ending. I will not forgive them for NOT waking me up.

    If Beckett is on his game-they will win tonight, and it will come down to a one game playoff.

    Posted by Stephen Clark October 18, 08 04:03 PM

  1. "No matter what happens now--The Red Sox have given us a season to remember."

    Agreed. That's what matters.

    Posted by Mister Snitch October 18, 08 04:31 PM

  1. Good to see they were using the old math in 1903.

    Posted by TJ October 18, 08 07:18 PM

  1. Sorry fellas. A season to remember is nice. I want a championship.

    Posted by Bob Litvak October 18, 08 07:29 PM

  1. the red soxs played a GREAT season, fuck manny lil bitch ugh , sorry off topic, beckett will be on his game and i kno game 5 was SAD.. but hey we won game 6 i see another CHAMPIONSHIP !!

    Posted by jenn October 19, 08 12:56 AM

  1. i want to see another championship!

    Posted by Andri kleinman October 22, 08 03:54 PM
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