2. Someone other than Andrew Bailey will lead the Red Sox in saves. OK, maybe this isn't the most daring prediction considering Bailey, Jonathan Papelbon's successor as the Red Sox' closer, may require surgery on his injured right thumb. So you'll have to take our word for it that there was concern about the righthander's durability despite his 75 saves in three seasons in Oakland. The bet here is that Bailey pitches enough to earn around 20 saves -- just not quite as many as either Mark Melancon or Alfredo Aceves, depending upon who replaces him.