Importance of big stat differences
It gets pretty difficult to pick those 7-10 and 8-9 games because they usually feature teams that are pretty equal to each other across the board. So it’s important to try and look for big statistical differences to help you navigate these decisions.
On the surface, the Pitt and Wichita State matchup looks pretty close, as you have a 24-8 team squaring off against a 26-8. But consider that Pitt has a +14.2 scoring margin, creates nearly ten additional possessions each game, and has a top ten scoring defense. These stats make it much easier to make picks.