Look closely at a team’s numbers on the court rather than its win-loss record.
It’s pretty easy to get impressed with a team’s overall record. But there are a lot of factors that may impact a team’s record. This year, Gonzaga cruised to a 31-2 mark, but consider that they played in the WCC, which isn’t exactly the strongest conference in college basketball (though, that said, Gonzaga has a very good chance of making the title game).
On the other end of things, a team may have a lackluster record by losing a collection of close games and be one of the better teams in the tourney. Just look at the 2002 Indiana Hoosiers, who sported a 20-11 record yet made the Finals.