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Simulation engine predicts Bruins will win Stanley Cup

Posted by Eric Wilbur, Boston.com Staff  April 13, 2011 01:02 PM

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After simulating the 2011 NHL Playoffs 1,001 times using current rosters and statistics, whatifsports.com is predicting that the Boston Bruins will win the 2011 Stanley Cup by beating the Vancouver Canucks in a seven-game final series.

According to the simulations, the Bruins won their opening-round matchup against the Canadiens 96.3 percent of the time. In the second round, Boston won 78.12 percent of the time, and 58.74 percent of the time in the conference finals. Boston and Vancouver both won by similar rates in the Stanley Cup Finals, with the Bruins being just a shade better.

The Bruins get past the Penguins four games to one in the conference semifinals, according to most of the simulations, and enact sweet revenge on the Flyers in a six-game conference final series.

Before you get too giddy, please note that the whatifsports.com system picked the Washington Capitals to win the Cup last year. Of course, they fell to the Canadiens in a first-round upset. Also, the simulation does not take coaching into account. Just pointing that out.

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About the Author

Eric Wilbur is a Boston.com sports columnist who is still in awe of what Dana Kiecker pulled off that one time in Toronto. He lives in the Boston area with his wife and three children. Comments and suggestions for the best Buffalo wing spots are encouraged.

Contact Eric Wilbur by e-mail or follow him on Twitter.

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