A can’t-lose situation?

For those Sox fans who take comfort in statistical patterns that suggest a Boston victory, we offer this tidbit from the Sox’ PR staff in their notes before tonight’s Game 6 of the American League Championship Series:

SERIES AT 2-3: This is the eighth time that the Red Sox have dropped three of the first five games in a best-of-seven or best-of-nine postseason series. On the seven previous occasions, Boston is 7-0 in Game 6.

Series Opponent Result Series result
1903/WS Pittsburgh Won on Road Won in 8
1967/WS St. Louis Won at Home Lost in 7
1975/WS Cincinnati Won at Home Lost in 7
1986/LCS California Won at Home Won in 7
2003/LCS New York Won on Road Lost in 7
2004/LCS New York Won on Road Won in 7
2007/LCS Cleveland Won at Home Won in 7

As the chart suggests, the Red Sox are slightly better than a flip of the coin to win the series, but they’re a virtual lock to win Game 6, if history holds true.

Overall, the Sox are 8-3 lifetime in the sixth game of a playoff series, winning the last three since a certain loss to the Mets in Game 6 of the 1986 World Series. But why bring up bad memories?

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