Projecting Gonzalez at Fenway Park

This may cause you to lose your mind a little.

The Katron.org web site has a database that allows you to look at the balls a player hit at a certain park and see where they were wound have wound up at a different park.

So, let’s take a look at the balls Adrian Gonzalez hit at Petco Park last season and see where they would have landed at Fenway:


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It’s important to keep in mind that there are dozens of variables that this chart can’t account for — pitchers, game situations, weather, etc. — but it does show that Gonzalez’s ability to hit the ball the other way should lead to a marked increase in production at home for him.

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It appears as though Gonzalez hit roughly 15 balls at Petco that would have been hits at Fenway and most of those would have been for extra bases.

Yikes.