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Gambling on the Raiders is like trying to buy a loaf of bread at the post office. What’s the point?
Obviously, I speak from experience. I’m not proud that I’ve already wasted two wagers this year on Oakland (0-2 in the standings and 0-2 against the spread), but it feels good to admit my mistakes. What doesn’t feel good is starting the season in a hole, and for that, there’s only one cure.
Examine the board and find some winners.
Worth noting: Including Thursday night’s Giants-Panthers game, an An astounding eight home underdogs were listed for Week 3. Home dogs had gone 8-3 against the number in 2012 (5-1 during Week 2), a surprising record considering that they typically come in at a clip just over 50 percent. Expect that record to correct itself over the next few weeks, if not sooner.
This week’s picks (home team in caps):
New England (+3) over BALTIMORE: Block your ears, cover your eyes, and keep things simple. The Patriots are getting points. How often is that going to happen this season? Risking $110 to win $100.
SAN DIEGO (-3) over Atlanta: Both are 2-0 in the standings and against the spread, but the Chargers have the favorable matchup. Atlanta is on a short week, it must travel across the country, and its starting running back was arrested after Monday’s win. Risking $110 to win $100.
Philadelphia (-4) over ARIZONA: The Eagles have survived (two wins by a total of 2 points), while Arizona has admirably slugged its way to a pair of victories. Despite its record, Philadelphia has yet to cover, but that will change at University of Phoenix Stadium. The Cardinals have a terrible offense, and the Eagles are capable of pouncing on that weakness. Risking $110 to win $100.
MINNESOTA (+7) over San Francisco: With eight home underdogs to choose from this weekend, I’m wagering on the one playing arguably the best team in the NFL. And going back to the beginning of the 2011 season, the 49ers are 15-4-1 against the spread. Minnesota, however, has enough balance to attempt the upset. This is San Francisco’s first game of the year on turf and in a dome, while the Vikings will be playing their third straight under those conditions. Risking $110 to win $100.
Last week: 2-3, minus $128. Season: 3-6, minus $413.