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Football Notes

Super minds are minding their own business

By Albert R. Breer
October 25, 2009

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An observer raises the names to Bill Belichick.

Jon Gruden. Mike Shanahan. Mike Holmgren. Tony Dungy.

And rather than answering the question, the Patriots coach starts thinking, and thinking, and then commences adding to the list: Brian Billick, Marty Schottenheimer, Jim Fassel.

Never in recent memory has there been such a murderer’s row of coaches spending a season without a headset and playsheet. In some cases, it’s by choice (Holmgren, Dungy). In others, it’s not (Gruden, Shanahan).

In any case, it’s strange for Belichick to see so many of his peers - many of whom have taken the same championship stage that he has - out of the game.

“You see all of them on TV, and you do think it’s unusual,’’ Belichick told the Globe. “You kind of feel like something’s not right, like they should be on the sideline.’’

Of the 32 sideline leaders in the NFL, only Belichick, Tom Coughlin, and Mike Tomlin have won Super Bowls as head coaches.

Dungy, Bill Cowher, Gruden, Billick, Shanahan, and Holmgren have all won championships within the last 13 seasons, and only Holmgren, 61, is older than 57. All have left the door open for a return, some more than others.

But all remain on the sideline as games are being played.

“That part’s hard,’’ Gruden said. “For most of us, you’ve been in this routine for 25 years. Some longer than that. But I’ve got a great job [at ESPN]. To be honest with you, I like what I’m doing, I’m having fun.’’

The desire to return is a question with the coaches; the opportunity probably will be less of a problem. The league is rife with bottom-feeding teams, this year more than ever.

Some of those teams (Kansas City, Cleveland, St. Louis, Detroit) are under new regimes, and thus are undergoing massive rebuilding projects that require patience. In other places (Washington, Dallas, Oakland), patience is running thin.

It’s highly unlikely that there will be double-digit openings again, after 11 teams made changes last offseason. But it’s pretty clear that the Holmgrens and Cowhers and Grudens and Shanahans will have opportunities to get involved in the market.

Gruden, for one, has used the time off to study, and expand his view of the game. Gruden said he and broadcast partner Ron Jaworski “spent time studying the spread option, Oregon, Appalachian State, Florida.’’

The big names bring advantages, to be sure. They can ignite a fan base, gain immediate credibility in the locker room, and mitigate risk by bringing a proven track record.

But it’s not all positive. Here, culled from various sources, are three “M’s’’ for owners to consider before making the splash hire.

■ Money. It’s clear at this point that the owners are spoiling for a fight on the labor front, and have been claiming financial troubles for some time. With the battle about to be joined, it wouldn’t exactly look right for them to be tossing around the kind of money - $5 million-per-year range - to land a celebrity coach.

One NFL executive said the owners are “circling the wagons, and going to their CFOs and COOs, finding ways to tighten the belt, and talking themselves into believing they’re in bad situations.’’

Tomlin has said repeatedly that one reason so many young coaches and personnel chiefs are being hired is that they represent “cheap labor.’’

■ Malleability. Shanahan had his greatest success in the late 1990s. Holmgren, too. Gruden won biggest at the start of this decade. And if you’ve won with a formula that could be dated and have been given absolute power, which many of these coaches will require, change can be hard.

Gruden’s year off spent studying is a good sign that he’s adaptable, but he allowed the roster in Tampa to age, and continued to add older players because of his past success with veterans.

Shanahan captured his two titles in an era when many hadn’t figured out the machinations of the new economic system. Eventually, with some questionable cap management, the Broncos roster became top-heavy in salaries and unbalanced on the field.

■ Making nice. The number of draftable seniors has declined, down roughly 150 this year, although the number of quality underclassmen has steadily increased. That has meant more players from the “Generation Y’’ set emerging. It has become a necessity to know how to handle these guys and harness their talent. A set-in-his-ways coach may be less equipped than a young, rising coach to do that.

The bottom line: Proven coaches bring a lot to table. But in today’s NFL, nothing comes without risk.

LATER FOR SOONER?
QB Bradford has to weigh pros and cons
Sam Bradford’s decision to return to Oklahoma for a fourth year on campus and third year on the field has become something of a cautionary tale.

He was considered by many a contender to be the first pick in the 2009 draft, had he come out to reap the kind of spoils Matthew Stafford got from Detroit ($41.7 million guaranteed) after the Lions selected him at the top. Then Bradford (above) separated his shoulder in the Sooners’ season opener and aggravated the injury last week.

What has that done to his draft stock? Depends on whom you ask.

“He doesn’t fall out of early consideration,’’ said an NFC general manager. “Maybe [Washington quarterback Jake] Locker moves in front of him, because there’s the question of not seeing him this season. But he’s a hell of a football player. He has a maturity level for a younger player, he’s got the skill level to make serious throws, and he has leadership ability.’’

But one AFC scout saw something else - a player whose slight frame was already a red flag now showing durability issues.

“He’s a pocket passer, and those guys are going to take hits in our league,’’ the scout said of the 6-foot-5-inch, 213-pound Bradford. “He’s a lean-built guy anyway, and now that he’s been hurt more than once, that’s a big concern. It’s not helping him.

“I personally think that had he come out after his sophomore year, he would’ve been a late first-round guy. I know what people say, but I didn’t see a top 10 pick; teams aren’t overly enamored of the guy. They think he’s a safe pick. Not a home run type.’’

One area of agreement was on what Bradford should do now: undergo surgery, then forgo his final year of eligibility.

The NFC GM said he normally would advise any quarterback to exhaust his eligibility, but “if he gets injured again, that’s where it gets complicated. That’s a serious concern.’’

If he plays the season out, then gets surgery, it would also complicate matters, and the durability questions wouldn’t subside.

Having surgery and missing the rest of year “would hurt him initially,’’ the AFC scout said. “But to have the opportunity to be medically cleared by doctors and work out for scouts would be invaluable. He can still be a first-round pick if he’s cleared and has a hell of a workout.’’

STRIKING GOLD
49ers mine new talent to help turn it around
The 49ers are 3-2 heading into this afternoon’s clash with the Texans in Houston. They’re 3-0 in NFC West games, scoring a road win over the NFC champion Cardinals, and they also took the unbeaten Vikings to the wire in Minneapolis.

Pretty good for the once-proud franchise that lost at least 11 games three times between 2004 and ’07, and has posted six straight losing seasons.

And they’ve done it without a lot of big names, beyond Patrick Willis, Nate Clements, Vernon Davis, and Frank Gore. Yet coach Mike Singletary swears, “Some of these guys will be household names by the time the year’s out. You’ll figure that out.’’

In an effort to do just that, the Globe asked 49ers general manager Scot McCloughan. Here are three:

CB Shawnte Spencer: “He’s coming back after a knee injury last year, and really, he’s come in and been our most consistent competitor out there. As a cover corner, he’s been very, very impressive. If he were a bigger name, he’d be seen as a Pro Bowler. Teams are staying away from throwing at Shawnte.’’

S Dashon Goldston: “It’s been a matter of staying healthy for him, but there aren’t too many guys out there playing as well as he is. He’s got range, toughness, speed, and big-play ability against the run and the pass. You see him growing here in his first year as a starter. He’s making more big plays and getting more comfortable.’’

FB Moran Norris: “We had him two years ago, he went to Detroit, and he’s back with us. He’s so valuable as a lead blocker, and he’s getting touches now. We need to run the football, and he’s key to that. Having a guy like that, it lets you play powerful football. It was important for us to re-sign him.’’

ETC.
Titans have gotten restless about Young
Vince Young’s standing as the Titans’ “quarterback of the future’’ was on shaky ground the minute he was yanked from the lineup in the 2008 opener. The endgame might be near. While owner Bud Adams - like Young (above), a Houston native - maintains hope that the third overall pick in the 2006 draft can factor into the club’s future, the consensus in the Tennessee front office is they already have their answer on whether Young can play, and it’s not the one No. 10 is hoping for. Adams said to the Tennessean, “I just think we need to find out how well he can do.’’ Young’s $14.2 million cap number will make him nearly impossible to keep as a backup in 2010. Of course, this is the least of the Titans’ problems now. Coach Jeff Fisher may be forced into tough decisions in the offseason over his coordinators’ employment. Offensive coordinator Mike Heimerdinger’s handling of Kerry Collins is in question, and players clearly lack the confidence in Chuck Cecil they had in Jim Schwartz.

Crabtree planted
All it took was a bye week for Michael Crabtree to nab Josh Morgan’s starting spot at wide receiver for the 49ers. After a 72-day holdout, he’ll debut today, having put the proverbial weight vest on for an uphill climb by sitting out as long as he did. Rookie receivers usually struggle to produce anyway; Pittsburgh’s Mike Wallace leads the neophytes with 296 receiving yards (38th in NFL). And no less an authority than his coach at Texas Tech, Mike Leach, believes growing pains are coming for Crabtree. “It’s going to take time for him to adjust, because with rare exceptions, every receiver takes time,’’ Leach said. “With Jerry Rice, it took about two years, and people spent those years talking about how he was a horrible pick, and then he became Jerry Rice. There will be an adjustment period. I hope there’s not, but if there is, he’ll still eventually become Michael Crabtree in the NFL.’’ Leach also disputed Crabtree’s diva reputation, saying, “He’s incredibly dedicated and focused,’’ adding that his self-confidence could shorten the learning curve.

No horsing around
The fast start to the Josh McDaniels Era in Denver has more to do with finishing strong than anything else. Through six weeks, the Broncos have outscored their opponents, 76-10, in the second half and overtime. The defense last allowed a second-half touchdown on a last-minute Bengals drive, piloted by Carson Palmer, in the season opener. The once-maligned unit then pitched four consecutive second-half shutouts before ceding a third-quarter field goal to San Diego. “We just know what we need to do as a defense, whether it’s understanding the situation we just came out of, missing tackles, and buckling down in that respect,’’ said safety Brian Dawkins, perhaps the league’s highest-impact free agent addition of 2009. “We come out in the second half and do our thing.’’

Watching Cable
Raiders coach Tom Cable’s case could provide a powerful precedent for the NFL, and expect players to watch closely for any double standards on discipline. The Napa County District Attorney’s office announced last week it would not charge Cable in connection with ex-assistant Randy Hanson’s allegations of assault. NFL commissioner Roger Goodell said at this month’s owners meetings that he would reserve the right to levy a punishment in this scenario. “We’ve specifically identified in our policy workplace violence,’’ Goodell said. “That’s something that’s very important to us.’’

Power Sanders
From the As If They Needed Help Dept., we bring you this: Colts coach Jim Caldwell announced Friday that all-world (when he’s healthy) safety Bob Sanders will start in St. Louis. Without Sanders for its first five games, Indianapolis yielded just 14.2 points per contest, which, if it stood up all year, would be the Colts’ best figure of the Peyton Manning Era. What could a healthy Sanders add? Consider this: From 2005-08, he started 39 games and sat out 25. In his 39 starts, the Colts went 33-6 and allowed 16.5 points per game. In his 25 scratches, they were 18-7 and gave up 20.9 points per game.

McCoy for real
Donovan McNabb may remain the biggest name on Philadelphia’s offense, but for a long time, Brian Westbrook has been the Eagle skill player putting the most fear into opposing defensive coordinators. But since Westbrook returned from an ankle injury, he’s been sharing the load with rookie LeSean McCoy. Westbrook had 23 touches from scrimmage the last two weeks, while McCoy got 13. Westbrook told reporters Friday that he expects his opportunities to increase as the season goes on, but the coaches have stuck with McCoy, even as he’s struggled of late.

Both sides now
It’s still early, but this stat is eye-opening: Seven clubs rank in the top 10 in both total offense and defense: the Saints (1 in offense, 9 in defense), Colts (2/7), Patriots (4/6), Steelers (5/3), Giants (6/1), Broncos (9/2), and Packers (10/8). What’s amazing is that just one Super Bowl champion this decade - the 2004 Patriots - has finished among the top 10 on both sides of the ball. Seven of the nine titlists, in fact, were 16th or worse on offense, while seven were in the top nine on defense, which could illustrate what’s more important. Either way, this early development speaks to the growing gulf between good and bad in today’s NFL.

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