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What's fair to expect from Moss?

Posted by Albert Breer  May 10, 2010 01:32 PM

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Now, if you look at Wes Welker -- who's going to catch a higher percentage because he sees more higher-percentage throws -- a similar pattern comes up.

He caught 112 of the 145 balls coming his way in 2007 (77.2 percent), 111 of 149 in 2008 (74.5 percent) and 123 of 162 in 2009 (75.9 percent). See? Great in 2007, not quite as good in 2008, and in between in 2009.

That pattern, of course, follows like this: Record-breaking offense in 2007; franchise quarterback out in 2008; quarterback returns in 2009, but offense is less consistent.

One thing I would say is interesting in the scout.com findings, though, is that the rest of the Top 10 in targets (in order: Andre Johnson, Roddy White, Welker, Steve Smith, Brandon Marshall, Larry Fitzgerald, Reggie Wayne and Santonio Holmes are the top eight, with Holmes tied with Moss for eighth) had fewer than 14.3 percent of the throws to them deemed uncatchable. With some it's more surprising (White, Smith) than others (Welker, Marshall, Wayne). But again, that could speak to the roles that those players are employed in.
News, analysis and commentary from Boston.com's staff writers and contributors, including Zuri Berry and Erik Frenz.

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