Red Sox
Patriots
Celtics
Bruins
Revolution
< Back to front page
Text size
–
+
Week 13 Starters & Benchwarmers
Wondering whether or not to start Tom Brady and Calvin Johnson, or to bench Ryan Lindley and Jerome Simpson? The network bozos specialize in that kind of advice. If you’re looking for help with your realstarting lineup conundrums, read on.
Here are my picks to roll, and get rolled, in Week 13 of the 2012 season.
Watch ‘em roll
Matt Stafford, QB, Lions vs. Colts. Coming off his huge Thanksgiving outing against the Texans, keep Stafford in your lineup as the Colts’ mediocre secondary comes to town. Stafford didn’t skip a beat without Titus Young, and he is finally starting to resemble the deadly gunslinger we remember from last season.
Bryce Brown, RB, Eagles at Cowboys. Dallas’ defense is in free-fall, thanks to injuries to several key players. Meanwhile, LeSean McCoy is still in the early stages of recovery from his concussion, leaving the backfield in Brown’s capable hands again. The Eagles have little alternative but to ride the play-making rookie as far as he can carry them.Mikel Leshoure, RB, Lions vs. Colts. With scoring runs in each of his last two games, Leshoure is back on a decent roll. Now facing a lackluster Colts run defense, and blessed with excellent air cover from Stafford & Co., Detroit’s lead back is well-positioned for another good-to-great outing.
Stevie Johnson, WR, Bills vs. Jaguars. He’s reached the end zone just once since Week 3, but Johnson has a good chance to return Sunday against the shoddy Jaguars secondary. Despite his modest production of late, Johnson is still being targeted frequently, so don’t hesitate to trust him.
Brandon Lafell, WR, Panthers at Chiefs. Lafell has scored in back-to-back games, and he has actually been more productive than Steve Smith in recent weeks. Only the Redskins and Raiders have surrendered more passing TDs than the Chiefs.
More thumbs up (excluding the no-brainers): QBs Cam Newton, Matt Schaub, Andy Dalton, Tony Romo; RBs Frank Gore, CJ Spiller, Trent Richardson, Alfred Morris, Jonathan Dwyer; WRs Eric Decker, Wes Welker, Demaryius Thomas, Reggie Wayne, Dez Bryant, Hakeem Nicks, Steve Smith (CAR), Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Pierre Garcon, Cecil Shorts.
Roll ‘em back
Josh Freeman, QB, Buccaneers at Broncos. After a six-game stretch in which he posted a whopping 1,715 passing yards and 16 TDs, Freeman came down to earth against the Falcons in Week 12. He could remain grounded against a stout Denver defense that leads the league in sacks. Go with a safer option.
Stevan Ridley, RB, Patriots at Dolphins. With the rushing workload divided between three, sometimes four, backs, Ridley could have a tough time racking up big stats against the stingy Dolphins run defense. Brady will move the ball at will through the air in this contest, potentially making Ridley a bit player in this matchup.
Darren McFadden, RB, Raiders vs. Browns. RunDMC (ankle) is expected to reclaim his starting job this week, but Marcel Reece has earned a continuing role in the rushing attack going forward, thanks to his strong relief performances. If McFadden sits again, Reece is worth a start. Otherwise, consider benching both backs against a Cleveland run defense that has been playing its best ball of late.Golden Tate, WR, Seahawks at Bears. Tate has been surprisingly effective when healthy; but, like his quarterback, he’s much more productive at home than on the road. Chicago’s secondary presents a formidable challenge, so you’d be wise to avoid the entire Seattle passing attack at Soldier Field this weekend.
Antonio Brown, WR, Steelers at Ravens. Last week, I begged you to sit Mike Wallace due to Ben Roethlisberger’s continued absence. This week, I’m just as concerned about Brown, who is on track to return from a three-week respite due to an ankle injury. Big Ben’s chances of playing are remote, at best, making Brown too risky to start against a Ravens defense that has surrendered just nine passing TDs all season.
More thumbs down: QBs Philip Rivers, Joe Flacco, Mark Sanchez, Russell Wilson, Sam Bradford; RBs James Starks, Knowshon Moreno, Rashad Jennings, Shonn Greene; WRs Mike Wallace, Jeremy Kerley, Greg Jennings, Torrey Smith, Jeremy Maclin, Dwayne Bowe, Sidney Rice, Danny Amendola, James Jones, Mike Williams.
TAKING A FLIER
Michael Bush, RB, Bears vs. Seahawks. While it appears Matt Forte will suit up Sunday, Bush will surely see more touches, if only to reduce the wear-and-tear on the starter’s tender ankle. Miami’s rushers torched Seattle last week, so look for Bush to burst through for at least one score, and plenty of yardage, in this contest.
DON’T BE THE BONEHEAD WHO…sticks with David Akers despite concerns over his pelvis injury. Still owned in 80 percent of fantasy leagues, Akers whiffed on two of three field goal attempts last week. The 49ers are auditioning temporary replacements. You should, too.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Week 12 Heroes & Zeros
This was a great week to start…
QBsRobert Griffin, Jr., Redskins – Passed for 311 yards and 4 TDs, with 1 INT, and ran for 29 more yards.
Cam Newton, Panthers – Threw for 306 yards and 2 TDs, and ran for 52 yards and 2 more scores, with no turnovers.
Tom Brady, Patriots – His 323-yard passing day included a trio of TDs, plus he ran one in.
Tony Romo, Cowboys – Got off to a slow start, but ended with 441 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs.
Matt Stafford, Lions – Passed for 441 yards and a pair of TDs.
Eli Manning, Giants – Finally got off the schnide wih 249 yards and 3 TDs without a turnover.
Andy Dalton, Bengals – Passed for 210 yards and 3 TDs.
RBs
Bryce Brown, Eagles – Welcome to the NFL, rookie. He burst onto the scene with 178 rushing yards and 2 TDs, plus 11 yards on 4 receptions; but he fumbled twice.
Arian Foster, Texans – Ran for 102 yards and a pair of Thanksgiving treats, and caught 5 passes for 15 yards for dessert.
Shane Vereen, Patriots – Rushed for 42 yards, but did his real damage as a receiver, hauling in 2 passes, including an 83-yard TD.
Michael Bush, Bears – Scored twice while running for 60 yards.
Doug Martin, Bucs – Ran for 50 yards and scored 2 TDs, and caught 2 passes for 13 yards.
Beanie Wells, Cardinals – Also found the end zone twice, and ran for 48 yards.
WRs
Dez Bryant, Cowboys – Had 8 catches for 145 yards and 2 TDs. We’ll overlook the fumble.
Julio Jones, Falcons – Caught 6 passes for 147 yards and a score.
Calvin Johnson, Lions – He turned 8 passes into 140 yards and a TD.
Julian Edelman, Patriots – Had another crazy, productive outing with 2 receptions for 64 yards and a TD, and ran in a fumbled kickoff return for another score. He also lost a fumble.
Andre Johnson, Texans – Pulled down 9 receptions for 188 yards.
D/STs
Patriots – Scored on 2 fumble returns, and notched 4 takeaways and 2 sacks.
This was a great week to play against…
QBs
Josh Freeman, Buccaneers – Held without a TD and just 256 yards passing.
Aaron Rodgers, Packers – Any time he’s limited to 219 passing yards, 22 rushing yards and 1 TD, plus 2 turnovers, it’s your lucky day.
RBs
Rashard Mendenhall, Steelers – Actually cost his owners points with a fumble and just 6 rushing yards.Pierre Thomas, Saints – Got nowhere on his only carry.
Ronnie Hillman, Broncos – So much for taking over for Willis McGahee. He only got 3 carries for 9 yards.
DeAngelo Williams, Panthers – Held to 21 rushing yards.
Fred Jackson, Bills – Combined for 24 total yards.
Mark Ingram, Saints – Ran for 27 yards.
Jonathan Dwyer, Steelers – Totaled 28 yards and fumbled.
Jonathan Stewart, Panthers – Just 27 on the ground and 9 through the air.
Matt Forte, Bears – Rushed for 42 yards and lost a fumble.
Vick Ballard, Colts – Ran for 41 yards.
Marshawn Lynch, Seahawks – Only 46 yards on the day.
WRs
Darrius Heyward-Bey, Raiders – Blanked by the Bengals.
Brandon Gibson, Rams – Posted a goose egg.
James Jones, Packers – He did, too.
Mike Wallace, Steelers – Shut down by his QB, and Joe Haden, with one 9-yard catch on the game’s last play.
DeSean Jackson, Eagles – Shut down by his QB, too, with his own 9-yard reception.
Miles Austin, Cowboys – Knocked out early before he could catch a pass.
Brian Hartline, Dolphins – Only 2 catches for 17 yards.
Brandon Lloyd, Patriots – Just 3 receptions for 26 yards.
Michael Crabtree, 49ers – Ditto.
Mike Williams, Bucs – He produced 28 yards on 3 passes.
Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals – His 3 receptions only amounted to 31 yards.
Danny Amendola, Rams – Had a 38-yarder.
TEs
Vernon Davis, 49ers – Blanked. Again.
Antonio Gates, Chargers – Only 13 yards on 2 catches.
Aaron Hernandez, Patriots – Just 2 receptions for 36 yards, but had a TD negated on an offensive PI penalty.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
When must-starts must be stopped
Some “no-brainers” are more equal than others. And no, I’m not referring to the cast of Jersey Shore.
I advised you last week to bench Mike Wallace, who is normally a must-start player, regardless of the matchup. My reasoning was that he was coming off a bad game with Ben Roethlisberger on the sidelines, his backup’s backup (Charlie Batch) was now in charge, and Cleveland’s shutdown corner Joe Haden would be shadowing him everywhere.Sure enough, most of you ignored my advice (not always a crazy idea), and Wallace finished with a single, nine-yard reception on the game’s final play.
Throughout the weekend, I also received dozens of tweets asking if Julio Jones could be trusted, since he, too, was coming off a lousy showing the previous week, most likely related to a lingering ankle injury.
My consistent advice on Jones was this: He’s simply too explosive to bench, especially against the sorry Buccaneers pass defense. Those who heeded my advice love me today.
(This column will focus solely on those recommendations where I was correct. Let’s not quibble over a silly “sit Reggie Bush” call or multiple tweets to trust Ronnie Hillman... Can’t we all just get along?)
So why was it acceptable to bench one must-start wideout (Wallace) while playing the other (Jones)? Haven’t we all memorized the age-old fantasy maxim: “Never bench your studs”?
In this case, the answer is rather simple: Receivers can’t throw themselves the ball! Jones may have been at less-than-100 percent, but Matt Ryan was still in control. With that tandem, there’s just too much upside to ignore.
Meanwhile, Wallace was facing a stingy opponent with Pittsburgh’s third-string quarterback under center. The situation was ripe for disaster.
The same rationale can be applied to Larry Fitzgerald while Ryan Lindley is under center. And to Dwayne Bowe, until the Chiefs find a real quarterback.
FREE AGENT PICKS AND PANS
To win a fantasy championship, it helps to start with a great draft. But filling in your roster throughout the season with the right free agents is also important. Here's a look at players worth considering, and others who would look better in someone else's lineup.
Catch ‘em while you can
Knowshon Moreno, RB, Broncos. So, uh, he’s the guy now? Just when we thought promising rookie Hillman would get his shot, Moreno was yanked off the weekly inactive reports and inserted into Peyton Manning’s backfield. And Mike Shanahan isn’t even coaching in Denver anymore!
Beanie Wells, RB, Cardinals. Once upon a time, I was a Beanie fan. But, every time I started him, or recommended starting him, he broke something, pulled something or just plain stunk up the joint. I won’t be picking him up; but if you’re really desperate, be my guest. Just note that aside from his two TDs (which were nice), he posted just 48 yards (at a 2.8 yards-per-carry clip) and was never thrown to.
Cecil Shorts, WR, Jaguars. I’m clearly a late arrival on the Cecil Shorts Bandwagon; but I’m not alone. Shorts is currently owned in roughly half of all leagues. With 80-plus yards and a TD in each of his last three games, it’s time to give him some respect. Shorts even has another up-and-coming receiver (Justin Blackmon) on the opposite side to keep opposing defenses honest, and a favorable schedule ahead.Don’t be fooled
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Steelers. At this point, I can’t make a case for keeping the veteran on your roster any longer. With two disastrous performances in a row, and three other backs to contend with, he’s unstartable in Week 13, despite the favorable matchup with the Ravens. And the road gets tougher after that, with San Diego and Dallas on deck. Set him free.
Mohamed Sanu, WR, Bengals. The way Andy Dalton has been lighting it up recently, I’d normally be inclined to recommend a wideout that has collected four TDs over his last three games. But Sanu’s season-high in receiving yardage is a mediocre 47 yards, and he’s competing for touches with A.J. Green, Andrew Hawkins, Jermaine Gresham and others. I don’t advocate picking up players I could never imagine starting, and Sanu falls in that category.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Sunday morning scattershooting
Good morning, Fools. I trust you are having a great, long weekend.
Let's see what we need to know for the remaining games of Week 12.
First, on Monday night, we know that both Vick and Shady are out due to their respective concussions, leaving Nick Foles under center (yuck) and Bryce Brown starting at RB (interesting). As I said in Thursday's column, don't expect much from the Eagles receivers. And yes, you gotta love the Panthers defense this week.
It will be interesting to see what rookie Ronnie Hillman and third-stringer Jalen Parmele can do as starting RBs for the Broncos and Jaguars, respectively, today. I'm actually fairly high on both of them.
Both RunDMC (Darren McFadden) and Mike Goodson will sit out with bum ankles, leaving the Raiders backfield in the versatile hands of Marcel Reece. I like his chances today in Cincinnati. Not too high on Oakland's aerial attack in this one, though.
Beanie Wells is returning from his turf toe injury today. I've received a lot of tweets asking about starting him over "so-and-so." So-and-so always gets my vote. I don't trust Beanie when he's fully healthy, much less in his first game back from a seven-week absence. His return is bad news for LaRod Stephens-Howling as well.
We also know that Jay Cutler will start for Chicago, which gives a nice boost to Forte and Marshall -- not that we wouldn't have started them anyway.
Percy Harvin did not travel with the team to Chicago, so I wouldn't expect much from any Viking whose initials aren't A.P.
I don't own Julio Jones (ankle); but if I did, I'd start him against the Bucs' woeful secondary. That is, unless I was completely stocked at WR. But you don't have to go far down the list before you get to a receiver who's no match for Julio at 80-90%. There's just too much upside there to ignore. Word is that the pace of the game will dictate how much action Julio gets. And methinks Michael Turner won't go anywhere against that run D; so passing will be the order of the day.
Antonio Brown claims that he will suit up today, but Pittsburgh's beat writers aren't buying it. I would love to see him get out there and get a game under his belt. But I wouldn't risk him in my starting lineup this weekend.
Don't expect to see Danny Amendola today. His foot injury is expected to sideline him for at least a game. Could be good news for Brandon Gibson, if you're looking for a flier.
Okay, Fools, that's it for the morning updates. Inactive reports are coming now (www.twitter.com/ladd_biro), and then I've gotta scoot for church. I'll answer as many tweets as I can before I roll. Good luck to all!
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Saturday injury updates, and more
Here are a few snippets from yesterday's 4th & Long column, along with some other updates from around the league.
Colin Kaepernick will get another start for the 49ers over Alex Smith, who is essentially being benched since he’s been medically cleared to play. At this stage of the season, I'd hate to start such a green QB; but you can't argue with his favorable matchup against the sieve-like Saints defense. You also have to feel pretty good about Michael Crabtree's and Vernon Davis' chances on Sunday, after Kaepernick's solid start last weekend.Jay Cutler could be back for the Bears on Sunday, which is especially good news for Brandon Marshall's owners. I wouldn’t risk Cutler in my starting lineup – fully healthy or not – but there’s no arguing that his presence is an upgrade for both Marshall and Matt Forte.
If you were toying with dropping Ben Roethlisberger due to the discouraging news that initially surrounded his shoulder injury, don't do it. Word now is that he could return as soon as Week 13. And we’ve seen plenty of evidence in years past that Big Ben can play extremely well when hurt.
Andy Dalton is on a terrific roll, with seven total touchdowns over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, the Raiders have given up 93 points over the same period. Cha-ching!
The way to move the ball against the Bucs is through the air, not on the ground. Michael Turner has had an up-and-down season, but this game has all the trappings of a disaster.
Looks like at least one more week of the Marcel Reece Experiment, as Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson miss another game with their bum ankles. Reece has been a pleasant surprise so far, and he should continue to deliver capably in Cincinnati.
Injuries to his foot and neck are hounding Ahmad Bradshaw this week, and his status for Sunday night’s game could come down to the wire. Given the late start, you’d be wise to go with a safer option in the early games, or have Andre Brown ready in the wings in case Bradshaw can’t go. [UPDATE: Bradshaw should play; but expect significant appearances from both Brown and rookie David Wilson.]
Danny Amendola is in a walking boot, thanks to the foot injury he sustained last weekend. His status is in jeopardy heading into Sunday's late games. Plan accordingly. [UPDATE: Amendola is now officially doubtful. Find a sub.]
Denarius Moore is dealing with a bum hammy, but he should play Sunday. I'm benching him this week due to the injury, the tough matchup, and his lackluster performance in Week 11.
Don't expect to see Percy Harvin (ankle) back this weekend.
Julio Jones will likely give it a go on his ailing ankle; and despite his limited contributions in Week 11, you can’t afford to bench him against the Buccaneers’ hapless secondary.
It sounds like Greg Jennings is nearing a return, finally. Don't expect him back this weekend, but Week 13 is a real possibility. It would be great to let him get a game under his belt before trusting him in the fantasy postseason.
Laurent Robinson has been placed on IR due to his fourth concussion of the season. It’s hard to believe, in this day and age, that he was even given the opportunity to incur a third blow to the head, much less four. Litigation, anyone?
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Happy Thanksgiving, Fools!
Good morning, Fools, from all of us at the Fantasy Fools. (That would be me, myself and I.)
Here's hoping you're with loved ones, enjoying great food, great company and great fantasy success with your Thanksgiving Day starters.
Let's take a quick look at the landscape for today's games...
We already know the inactives for the early game: Boneheaded Titus Young and the Texans' Ben Tate. I don't think either absence should affect your lineup decisions. Wouldn't start any WR other than Megatron against the Texans, and Justin Forsett (Arian Foster's backup) is only a desperation play.
I really like the Cowboys' passing attack today against the bad Redskins secondary. Dez and Miles should both produce well. Kevin Ogletree will not play. Neither will DeMarco Murray, and Fragile Felix Jones is banged up and will be a game-time decision. Lance Dunbar could start, but I wouldn't rely on any Cowboys RBs today. I wouldn't start Pierre Garcon either, in a tough matchup and clearly not back to full strength (based on last week's performance).
You know Gronk is out for tonight's game. Aaron Hernandez is the biggest question mark, but most signs point to him suiting up. Brandon Lloyd is questionable, but will probably play. Don't like him today, though. Wes Welker is a must-start. Don't count on Edelman to repeat last week's heroics.
I'm thankful I don't own any Jets.
In other news, we now know Colin Kaepernick will get another start for the 49ers over the concussed Alex Smith; this time against the lowly Saints defense. At this stage of the season, I'd hate to have to start such a green QB; but you can't argue with his favorable matchup. You also have to feel pretty good about Michael Crabtree's and Vernon Davis' chances on Sunday, after Kaepernick's solid start last weekend.
Jay Cutler could be back for the Bears, which is especially good news for Brandon Marshall's owners.
If you were toying with dropping Big Ben due to his very pessimistic updates, don't do it. Word now is that he could return sooner than expected. Maybe even by Week 13.
It sounds like Michael Vick has a better chance to return from his concussion this weekend than LeSean McCoy. Bryce Brown will be interesting to watch, but wouldn't start him unless your options are really limited. Philly's offense is a mess.
If you're counting on LaRod Stephens-Howling this week -- and I sure hope you're not -- be advised that Beanie Wells is expected to return to his starting job. LSH will revert back to a 3rd-down role, meaning neither RB is a great start this week against the Rams.
Looks like Darren Sproles will be back to play against the 49ers. In a pass-happy offense like the Saints', a 3- or 4-headed backfield sure makes it hard to like anyone. I suppose a fully healthy Sproles would be the most viable candidate, but I still don't like his chances in this tough matchup.Danny Amendola is in a walking boot, thanks to the foot injury he sustained last weekend. His status is in question heading into Sunday's late games. Plan accordingly.
Denarius Moore is dealing with a bum hammy, but he should play. I'm benching him in two leagues this week, due to the injury, the tough matchup, and his lackluster performance in Week 11.
Don't expect to see Percy Harvin back this weekend.
It sounds like Greg Jennings is nearing a return, finally. Don't expect him back this weekend, but Week 13 is a real possibility. It would be great to let him get a game under his belt before trusting him in the fantasy postseason.
Laurent Robinson has been placed on IR due to multiple concussions.
Again, I hope you have a joyous Thanksgiving. Don't ignore your loved ones too much while screaming at the TV... As usual, I'll be tweeting inactives and other late-breaking news throughout the day (www.twitter.com/ladd_biro).
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Week 12 Starters & Benchwarmers
Wondering whether or not to start Doug Martin and Andre Johnson, or to bench Ryan Lindley and Michael Jenkins? The network bozos specialize in that kind of advice. If you’re looking for help with your realstarting lineup conundrums, read on.
Here are my picks to roll, and get rolled, in Week 12 of the 2012 season.
Watch ‘em roll
Tony Romo, QB, Cowboys vs. Redskins. Romo has a history of peaking early, and November is his best month, by far. The NFL’s 30th-ranked pass defense should help him keep that streak alive on Thanksgiving, as will Dez Bryant, who finally seems to be in sync with his quarterback.
C.J. Spiller, RB, Bills at Colts. There’s a decent chance Fred Jackson (concussion) will return to the lineup on Sunday, most likely in a backup, limited-carry role. Spiller is Buffalo’s most dangerous weapon, and he’ll be deployed extensively against a Colts’ run defense that has surrendered the second-most TDs to opposing rushers.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, Bengals vs. Raiders. Look for the Law Firm to build off his first 100-yard game of the season in a matchup with Oakland’s league-worst run defense. With TDs in two of his last three outings, Green-Ellis is also a good bet for another end-zone encore.
Torrey Smith, WR, Ravens at Chargers. The game-breaking speedster’s worst game of the season fittingly came against the NFL’s stingiest pass defense. In San Diego, the coverage gets much softer, and Smith will undoubtedly be a huge part of the game plan. Don’t miss out on his rebound performance.Danario Alexander, WR, Chargers vs. Ravens. We haven’t seen a QB-WR tandem develop such quick chemistry since Romo and Laurent Robinson last season. Alexander has been targeted 18 times over the last two games, amassing 230 yards and 3 TDs along the way. Trust him against the mediocre Baltimore secondary.
More thumbs up (excluding the no-brainers): QBs Josh Freeman, Andy Dalton, Andrew Luck, Matt Ryan; RBs Frank Gore, Marcel Reece, Steven Jackson, Chris Johnson; WRs Dez Bryant, Wes Welker, Reggie Wayne, Stevie Johnson, Randall Cobb, Michael Crabtree, Miles Austin, Nate Washington, Justin Blackmon, Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, Marques Colston, Hakeem Nicks.
Roll ‘em back
Matt Stafford, QB, Lions vs. Texans. Until Chad Henne embarrassed Houston’s secondary in Week 11, this was a matchup to be avoided. And while Calvin Johnson had a huge day last week, Stafford’s stat line was nothing special. Look for the Texans to remind the nation why they are bona fide Super Bowl contenders. Shonn Greene, RB, Jets vs. Patriots. Not only has Bilal Powell staked his claim to a substantial share of the carries, including those at the goal line, but Joe McKnight has also been declared a card-carrying member of the three-man rotation. In a game where the Jets could be forced to abandon the run early, Greene’s opportunities will be very limited.
Reggie Bush, RB, Dolphins vs. Seahawks. Miami has plummeted from contender to pretender in rapid fashion, and Bush has led the free fall. It’s not that Daniel Thomas is playing better; it’s that the entire offense is stuck in a rut. Seattle’s stingy run defense won’t help.
Mike Wallace, WR, Steelers at Browns. Strike one: He’ll be attempting to shag passes from Charlie Batch, Pittsburgh’s third-string quarterback. Strike two: Wallace accumulated a whopping 26 yards with the second-stringer. Strike three: If shutdown corner Joe Haden (oblique) plays, it’s game over.
DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin, WRs, Eagles vs. Panthers. With Nick Foles under center, this duo combined for – wait for it – FIVE receiving yards against the inept Redskins pass defense. Now facing a much more formidable opponent, you simply can’t risk any Eagles receiver in your lineup.
More thumbs down: QBs Joe Flacco, Carson Palmer, Mark Sanchez, Jason Campbell, Chad Henne, Russell Wilson, Ryan Tannehill, Sam Bradford, Nick Foles; RBs Felix Jones, Mikel Leshoure, James Starks, Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram, Michael Turner, Beanie Wells, Fred Jackson, DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart; WRs Larry Fitzgerald, Pierre Garcon, Jeremy Kerley, Dwayne Bowe, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Josh Gordon, Golden Tate.
TAKING A FLIER
Jalen Parmele, RB, Jaguars vs. Titans. I know, I know. I’m recommending a Jag? Only if you’re really hurting at RB. Parmele has stolen the starting job from Rashad Jennings, and the versatile tailback should get plenty of touches against the awful Titans defense. It helps that Jacksonville seems to have found its passing game.
DON’T BE THE BONEHEAD WHO…lets the tryptophan take over and cause you to ignore the Thanksgiving Day inactive reports. Several players – including Aaron Hernandez, Pierre Garcon and Felix Jones – are shaping up to be game-time decisions. You won’t be very thankful if you’re left with a goose egg in your starting lineup.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Week 11 Heroes & Zeros
This was a great week to start…
QBs
Matt Schaub, Texans – Had a monster game, including 527 yards and 5 TDs. Who cares about the 2 INTs?
Chad Henne, Jaguars – Came off the bench to have a career day, with 4 TD passes and 354 yards.
Robert Griffin, Jr., Redskins – Passed for 200 yards and 4 TDs, and ran for 84 more yards.
Tom Brady, Patriots – His 331-yard passing day included a trio of TDs.
Peyton Manning, Broncos – Notched 3 TDs and 270 passing yards, plus a TD.
Drew Brees, Saints – Just another workmanlike day, with 219 yards and 3 TDs, without a turnover.
RBs
Marcel Reece, Raiders – Rumbled for 103 yards and caught 4 passes for 90 more yards.
WRsAndre Johnson, Texans – Pulled down 14 receptions for 273 yards and the winning TD.
Justin Blackmon, Jaguars – His coming-out party included 7 catches for 236 yards and 1 TD.
Dez Bryant, Cowboys – Had a dozen catches for 145 yards and 1 TD.
Calvin Johnson, Lions – He turned 5 passes into 143 yards and a TD, but lost a fumble.
Julian Edelman, Patriots – Caught 5 passes for 58 yards and a TD, ran for 47 yards and returned a punt for another score.
T.Y. Hilton, Colts – His 6 receptions were good for 100 yards and 2 TDs.
Danario Alexander, Chargers – His 7 receptions amounted to 96 yards and a pair of TDs.
Lance Moore, Saints – Turned his only 2 catches into 53 yards and 2 TDs.
TEs
Rob Gronkowski, Patriots – His 7-reception, 137-yard, 2-TD game ended with a broken arm.
Garrett Graham, Texans – Made a name for himself with 8 receptions for 82 yards and a pair of scores.
Ben Watson, Browns – Scored twice on 4 catches for 47 yards.
Marcedes Lewis, Jaguars – His 3 catches went for 40 yards and his own 2 TDs.
D/STs
Patriots – Scored on 2 INT returns and a punt return, and collected 4 turnovers and a sack.
This was a great week to play against…
QBs
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bills – Just 168 passing yards without a score.
Joe Flacco, Ravens – Threw for 164 yards with no TDs.
Matt Ryan, Falcons – Passed for 301 yards, but served up 5 INTs.
RBs
Rashad Jennings, Jaguars – Lost a yard, and probably his starting job, on 3 carries.
Reggie Bush, Dolphins – Just 20 rushing and 15 receiving yards.
DeAngelo Williams, Panthers – Only 18 yards against the Bucs.
Chris Ivory, Saints – Just 37 yards on the ground.
WRs
Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs – Posted a goose egg after leaving with a neck injury.
Jeremy Maclin, Eagles – Blanked.
DeSean Jackson, Eagles – Turned 2 receptions into 5 yards.
Torrey Smith, Ravens – Caught a 7-yarder.
Pierre Garcon, Redskins – It took him 3 catches to make those 5 yards.
Denarius Moore, Raiders – Just a 9-yard reception.
Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals – One 11-yard catch for the day, which was 4 yards more than Andre Roberts had.
Mike Wallace, Steelers – Held to 26 yards on a pair of receptions, and fumbled one.
Mike Williams, Buccaneers – He had only 29 yards on 3 catches.
Julio Jones, Falcons – His 3 receptions turned into 33 yards.
James Jones, Packers – Also produced 33 yards, but on 2 catches.
Titus Young, Lion – Had a 24-yarder.
TEs
Antonio Gates, Chargers – Just 2 receptions for 17 yards.
Heath Miller, Steelers – His pair of catches produced 22 yards.
Tony Gonzales, Falcons – Only 33 yards on 3 catches.
Dennis Pitta, Ravens – Limited to a single 5- yard reception.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Aerial fireworks propel stars, upstarts to rare heights
It’s one thing to run into a Calvin Johnson-Andre Johnson buzz saw, as I did in one league this weekend.
But there’s something very unsettling about getting thrashed by a team featuring Andy Dalton, Marcel Reece, LaRod Stephens-Howling and Danario Alexander. How was I to know I should bench Aaron Rodgers for Matt Schaub? Or give Mike Wallace, Denarius Moore and Antonio Gates the day off? Who told Torrey Smith he could have another bye week?
I love the ups and downs of fantasy football as much as the next guy, but there clearly was a glitch in the matrix in Week 11.
Houston’s Reliant Stadium was the glitch's epicenter.
Do you know how many touchdown passes Schaub amassed in his previous two games against Jacksonville?
Four fewer than he had on Sunday.
It’s no great shock that Andre Johnson posted a career game against the lowly Jaguars; but where does Garrett Graham get off upstaging Owen Daniels (and Arian Foster, for that matter)?
I guess it could have been worse. I could have faced an opponent starting Chad Henne and Justin Blackmon, as they took on the third-best pass defense in the league.Oh wait a minute. Not one of the 25 million-plus starting lineups on Planet Earth included that QB-WR tandem!
Week 11 also produced a fantasy bounty for owners of Julian Edelman, T.Y. Hilton, Ben Watson and Marcedes Lewis.
Raise your hand if you’re one of those owners.
Yeah, that’s what I thought.
I can’t remember a week, especially this deep into the season, when so many no-names stole the spotlight. Be advised: For most of them, the attention will be fleeting.
FREE AGENT PICKS AND PANS
To win a fantasy championship, it helps to start with a great draft. But filling in your roster throughout the season with the right free agents is also important. Here's a look at players worth considering, and others who would look better in someone else's lineup.
Catch ‘em while you can
Bryce Brown, RB, Eagles. The rookie could get his first career start in Week 12 if LeSean McCoy’s concussion proves to be serious. Brown has shown flashes in limited opportunities, but he’s unlikely to match McCoy’s production in the Eagles’ struggling offense. Don’t count on Brown for more than a one-week flex role.
James Starks, RB, Packers. Here we go again. Alex Green couldn’t get the job done, and Cedric Benson isn’t ready to return. Starks is healthy again and has been the Packers’ primary ball carrier for two consecutive games. Hey, a starting RB is a starting RB.
Ronnie Hillman, RB, Broncos. If Willis McGahee’s knee injury grounds him for a game or more, Hillman is the backup to grab. The rookie’s running style has been likened to that of Darren Sproles, but he also offers every-down upside. With Peyton Manning at the controls, he could be a very busy man indeed.
Justin Blackmon, WR, Jaguars. As we head toward the postseason, our benches should be stocked with our top RBs’ handcuffs and receivers with upside. Jacksonville’s prized rookie fits that mold, after his stirring coming-out party. Though Blackmon will struggle to deliver consistent production in this offense, you have to be impressed with a 236-yard, one-TD outing against the mighty Texans. Next up: Tennessee.
Don’t be fooled
Chad Henne, QB, Jaguars. Surely you must be joking.
Bilal Powell, RB, Jets. The second-year rusher just scored his first two career touchdowns, but he’s unlikely to supplant Shonn Greene as the Jets’ starter. Rather, he may have succeeded in creating a committee situation, in which case Greene’s value takes yet another hit. There’s not enough fantasy production in that backfield to split between two players.
Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots. Even with Rob Gronkowski out for several weeks and Aaron Hernandez still hobbling on a bum ankle, Edelman’s role in the Patriots’ offense is too sketchy to rely upon. Take away the punt return score, and the veteran’s 58-yard, one-touchdown afternoon was still his best fantasy production since 2009.Garrett Graham, TE, Texans. I suppose if Matt Schaub has another five-touchdown outing, we might notice Graham again. But, more likely, he’ll return to the shadows until Owen Daniels suffers another injury.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Sunday morning updates -- Week 11
Good morning, Fools. Is it just me, or is it getting a little chillier out there?
Here's what's up around the NFL as we make our last-minute starting lineup decisions...
Alex Smith hasn't yet been cleared to play tomorrow night, but he most likely will be. He's the only one of the concussed QBs from Week 10 (which also includes Jay Cutler and Michael Vick) with a chance to play this week.
Big Ben, as you know, is out. Probably for quite a while. Byron Leftwich takes his place, and faces a soft Ravens pass defense. Don't start him, but don't bench Mike Wallace or Heath Miller either. Antonio Brown (ankle) is not expected back until Week 13, in the best-case scenario.
Darren McFadden and DeMarco Murray are out again. Marcel Reece and Felix Jones are their proxies.
We won't know whether Ryan Mathews is suiting up until the early games have begun, so better make sure you've got another option to fall back on if you're hoping to play him. As mentioned here earlier, I don't like his chances at less-than-100% against the Broncos.
We'll know shortly if Julio Jones (ankle) is a go or not. I'm guessing he'll give it a go.
Plug Jordy Nelson back in your lineup if you own him, and hope he doesn't make another early exit.
We're expecting to see Pierre Garcon back on the field today for the first time in forever. I wouldn't start him unless he's clearly your best option; but he should be a good bet next week barring any set-backs.
That's it for this morning. Follow me on Twitter (www.twitter.com/ladd_biro) for all the inactives and other late-breaking news throughout the day.
Good luck, Fools! Oh, and how 'bout them Baylor Bears?!!! Sic 'em, Bears!
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Saturday injury updates
Here are some snippets from yesterday's 4th & Long column with the Sporting News Fantasy Source.
Scuttlebutt out of Dallas is that DeMarco Murray will most likely sit out through the Thanksgiving Day game in anticipation of going full-speed in Week 13. Looks like more of the Felix Jones Show, which has its moments. But, like most of today's movies, all the good parts can be seen in a 30-second clip.
Don't be surprised if Ryan Mathews sits out the Broncos game with a neck injury. Actually, how could any Mathews owner be surprised if he misses time? This is his, and your, lot in life. [UPDATE 11/17: Mathews returned to practice yesterday and is now questionable to play. I don't like his chances at less-than-100% against Denver's run defense.]
Heads up, Julio Jones owners. The ankle he tweaked last week is still bothering him, and he is shaping up as a game-time decision.Jeremy Maclin is back at practice after sitting out earlier with a back issue. It's hard to say how he'll perform with rookie Nick Foles at QB, but you couldn't ask for a better matchup than the Redskins' league-worst pass defense.
Wes Welker (ankle), Brandon Lloyd (knee) and Rob Gronkowski (hip) have all been limited in practice this week, but none of the above is expected to miss the favorable matchup with the Colts.
When it comes to Aaron Hernandez's balky ankle, we've learned that we'd better pay attention up to the last minute. Despite the optimism we hear during the week -- and it's happening again -- it means nothing until we see the inactive reports. If he's playing, Hernandez should be in your lineup. [UPDATE 11/17: The good vibes on Hernandez are fading again, and he now looks unlikely to suit up this week.]
Other Saturday updates:
Darren McFadden is out for Week 11. Look for more positive returns from Marcel Reece.
Ben Tate has been ruled out. Justin Forsett will continue to backup Arian Foster.
Jordy Nelson is expected to return, and he has a tasty matchup with the porous Lions secondary on Sunday.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Week 11 Starters & Benchwarmers
Wondering whether or not to start Aaron Rodgers and Arian Foster, or to bench Blaine Gabbert and Robert Meachem? The network bozos specialize in that kind of advice. If you’re looking for help with your real starting lineup conundrums, read on.
Here are my picks to roll, and get rolled, in Week 11 of the 2012 season.
Watch ‘em roll
Carson Palmer, QB, Raiders vs. Saints. New Orleans’ defense is tossing out fantasy points like Mardi Gras beads, and Palmer has been blazing hot over his last three games. Outside of the elites, Palmer is as close as anyone to a sure thing for at least 300 yards and 2 TDs.Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Steelers vs. Ravens. He is listed as probable and is expected to start in Sunday’s showdown with the Ravens, who have given up more fantasy points to opposing runners than every team not named the Saints. Jonathan Dwyer and Isaac Redman will get their carries, too; but the steady Mendenhall should be leaned on heavily with a backup QB at the controls.
Steven Jackson, RB, Rams vs. Jets. Admittedly, Jackson’s strong showing against the 49ers last week was a bit of a stunner. Though he’s no sure thing – especially with Daryl Richardson sharing the load – you have to like Jackson’s chances against New York’s 30th-ranked run defense.
Marcel Reece, RB, Raiders vs. Saints. The Saints have surrendered more than 100 yards to each of the last six RBs they’ve faced. With Darren McFadden out again and Taiwan Jones relegated to spot duty, Reece has a great chance to soar, especially in PPR formats.
Steve Smith, WR, Panthers vs. Buccaneers. On the heels of his worst performance since late 2011, Smith’s owners are justifiably concerned with their once-elite receiver’s disappointing season. But redemption awaits against the sieve-like Bucs defense, which is as solid against the run as it is weak against the pass.
More thumbs up (excluding the no-brainers): QBs Josh Freeman, Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Matt Stafford, Robert Griffin III; RBs Trent Richardson, Stevan Ridley; WRs Danny Amendola, Jordy Nelson, Jeremy Maclin, Denarius Moore, Reggie Wayne, Lance Moore, Randall Cobb.
Roll ‘em back
Joe Flacco, QB, Ravens at Steelers. Coming off his first multi-TD game since Week 4, it’s too bad Flacco now must head back to your bench. But against the NFL’s stingiest pass defense, he simply can’t be trusted.
Rashad Jennings, RB, Jaguars at Texans. It’s really this simple: Don’t start any Jaguar whose initials aren’t MJD for the rest of the season. Jennings has been a poor surrogate for Maurice Jones-Drew since assuming the injured starter’s role, and he is only worth keeping on rosters in the deepest of leagues. If you need more ammo, Houston hasn’t allowed a rushing score all season.
Mikel Leshoure, RB, Lions vs. Packers. Aside from his Week 9 outburst against the Jaguars, Leshoure has been fairly pedestrian as the Lions’ starter. Coming off its bye, Green Bay’s above-average run defense will be rested and ready. Detroit’s production will come through the air.Michael Crabtree, WR, 49ers vs. Bears. Even though Alex Smith (concussion) is expected to start, Crabtree is a bad option against the stout Chicago secondary. Though he has scored three of his four TDs this year over the past two games, those highlights came against mediocre opposing secondaries. The Bears don’t fit that profile.
Josh Gordon, WR, Browns at Cowboys. The rookie has slid quite a ways from his midseason highs, and his rookie quarterback is likewise struggling mightily. On Sunday, the pair faces arguably the most-improved secondary in the league. Keep Gordon out of sight.
More thumbs down: QBs Matt Schaub, Nick Foles, Byron Leftwich, Alex Smith, Jason Campbell; RBs DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart, Ryan Mathews, Isaac Redman, Shonn Greene, Alex Green; WRs Emmanuel Sanders, Dez Bryant, Malcom Floyd, Dwayne Bowe, Laurent Robinson, Cecil Shorts.
TAKING A FLIER
Chris Ivory, RB, Saints at Raiders. Even if Darren Sproles (hand) returns, Ivory is bound to get plenty of touches against the pathetic Oakland run defense. Sure, this backfield is a three- or four-headed monster, but Ivory has flashed enough game-breaking prowess to ensure a significant role in this high-scoring offense.
DON’T BE THE BONEHEAD WHO…lets Pierre Garcon remain a free agent any longer. If you’re in need of WR help down the stretch, or can easily make room on your bench for a high-upside player, Garcon is available in nearly half of all leagues. He’s close to returning from his foot injury, and he should immediately reclaim his status as Robert Griffin III’s go-to receiver.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Week 10 Heroes & Zeros
This was a great week to start…
QBs
Joe Flacco, Ravens – Torched the Raiders for 341 yards, 3 TDs and an INT, and ran for a 1-yard score.
Matt Ryan, Falcons – Passed for 411 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.
Drew Brees, Saints – Fell short of Ryan’s stats but won the game with 298 yards, 3 TDs and an INT.
Matt Stafford, Lions – Amassed 329 passing yards, 3 TDs, an INT and 13 passing yards.
Andy Dalton, Bengals – His 199 yards wasn’t impressive, but 4 TDs without a turnover is.
RBs
Adrian Peterson, Vikings – Ran over the Lions for 171 yards and a TD.
Fred Jackson, Bills – Ran for 80 yards and 2 TDs, plus 4 catches for 35 yards, plus a costly fumble.
Danny Woodhead, Patriots – Scored as a rusher and receiver, with 61 combined yards.
WRs
Calvin Johnson, Lions – Pulled down 12 receptions for 207 yards and a TD. We’ll overlook the fumble.
Sidney Rice, Seahawks – Made his only 2 catches count, with 54 yards and 2 TDs.
Torrey Smith, Ravens – So did he, with 67 yards and a pair of TDs.
TEs
Jimmy Graham, Saints – Turned 7 passes into 146 yards and a pair of scores.
Tony Gonzalez, Falcons – Reeled in 11 passes for 122 yards and 2 TDs.
Greg Olsen, Panthers – Scored twice on 9 receptions for 102 yards.
D/STs
Cowboys – Registered 2 sacks, 2 turnovers and 3 scores – on an INT, a fumble and a punt return.
Buccaneers – Amassed 2 sacks, 2 INTs, a blocked punt return TD and an INT return score.
This was a great week to play against…
QBs
Eli Manning, Giants – Threw for 215 yards and 2 INTs.
Jay Cutler, Bears – Knocked out after just 40 passing yards, 37 rushing yards and a pair of INTs.
Mark Sanchez, Jets – Just 124 passing yards, no scores and 2 turnovers.
Ryan Tannehill, Dolphins – Just 217 yards, no TDs and 3 INTs against the lowly Titans.
Matt Schaub, Texans – I just needed him one week, while Rodgers was on bye, and he gave me 95 passing yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs.
Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers – Knocked out after just 84 passing yards and a TD, plus 14 on the ground.
RBs
Michael Turner, Falcons – Just 15 measly yards on 13 carries.
Pierre Thomas, Saints – Came out on the short end of the RB committee, with just 16 total yards.
Taiwan Jones, Raiders – Didn’t get much of an opportunity, running for just 6 yards and catching a 7-yard pass.DeAngelo Williams, Panthers – Collected 6 rushing and 17 receiving yards.
Rashad Jennings, Jaguars – Could only generate 27 yards on the ground.
Reggie Bush, Dolphins – Ran for 21 yards and only one 8-yard reception, and lost a fumble.
Isaac Redman, Steelers – Returned to his mediocre ways with 21 rushing and 18 receiving yards, with a fumble.
Matt Forte, Bears – Only 39 rushing yards on Sunday night.
Mikel Leshoure, Lions – Ran for just 43 yards.
Ahmad Bradshaw, Giants – Ran for 57 yards and caught 3 passes for 14 yards, and lost a fumble before leaving with an injury.
WRs
Devery Henderson, Saints – Posted a goose egg.
Robert Meachem, Chargers – Caught an 8-yard pass.
Eric Decker, Broncos – 2 receptions went for 15 yards.
Steve Smith, Panthers – Caught a 19-yarder.
T.Y. Hilton, Colts – Ran for 30 yards, but didn’t catch a single pass.
Victor Cruz, Giants – His 3 catches were good for just 26 yards.
Emmanuel Sanders – Just 2 catches for 30 yards in his starting role.
Miles Austin, Cowboys – Caught 2 passes for 32 yards.
Andre Johnson, Texans – Just 4 catches for 35 yards.
Kenny Britt, Titans – He got just 36 yards on 2 receptions.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Backup QBs could cause fantasy headaches
Sunday of Week 10 will likely be remembered as the day a trio of starting quarterbacks was knocked out – almost literally – with concussions.
Michael Vick exited first, giving many Philly fans what they’d be asking for – Nick Foles – though presumably not in the manner they intended. With news that Vick’s concussion is of the “significant” variety, and with the direction his franchise appears to be headed, it’s conceivable that the once-elite quarterback has taken his last snap as an Eagle.A continent away, Alex Smith took a shot while scrambling that eventually sent him to the locker room. His concussion appears to be milder than Vick’s, though that doesn’t mean he won’t be held out a game or two for precautionary reasons.
The hit parade continued Sunday night when Jay Cutler was forced from the Texans contest with a concussion all his own. Again, it’s too soon to know his status for Week 11 and beyond, but it would be no surprise if all three passers are spectators next weekend.
Unlike the typical reaction to an injured starting running back, there should be no rush to acquire backups Nick Foles (Eagles), Colin Kaepernick (49ers) or Jason Campbell (Bears). Foles and Kaepernick are simply too green to trust, while Campbell’s best days (such as they were) are well behind him.
The bigger concern is how the players on the other end of the passes will fare with their starting QBs sidelined. Though Vick has struggled all season, both DeSean Jackson and, when healthy, Jeremy Maclin have been fairly reliable receiving options. With rookie Foles at the helm, both will likely take a hit to their value.
The bigger impact could be felt by LeSean McCoy, who will surely draw the lion’s share of opposing defenses’ attention with Vick out of the picture.
The bigger impact could be felt by LeSean McCoy, who will surely draw the lion’s share of opposing defenses’ attention with Vick out of the picture.
The fleet-footed Kaepernick could affect Frank Gore in a different way – by poaching even more of his TD runs. Michael Crabtree was already a borderline starter with Smith under center, so his status is little changed. Vernon Davis is struggling through a four-game slump and can’t be trusted right now anyway.
Perhaps Brandon Marshall’s owners should be most concerned. Campbell, who most recently flamed out in Oakland, is fortunate to still wear an NFL jersey. He’s in for a rude awakening when the Bears head to San Francisco next Monday night. Though Marshall should remain a fixture in every starting lineup, that could be one ugly primetime affair.
FREE AGENT PICKS AND PANS
To win a fantasy championship, it helps to start with a great draft. But filling in your roster throughout the season with the right free agents is also important. Here's a look at players worth considering, and others who would look better in someone else's lineup.
Catch ‘em while you can
Chris Ivory, RB, Saints. If you watched his 56-yard scoring jaunt against the Falcons, you know Ivory has skills. You can bet the Saints know it, too, which is why Pierre Thomas was a bit player on Sunday. While Darren Sproles is sidelined, Ivory will get plenty more chances to soar, even if Mark Ingram gets a majority of the carries.
Danario Alexander, WR, Chargers. The former Ram has good size and speed, but he can’t stay intact. Recently acquired as a free agent, Alexander has quickly vaulted past Robert Meachem in the wideout pecking order. He is developing a good chemistry with Philip Rivers, so more positive returns may be on the horizon, if he can just stay healthy.Greg Olsen, TE, Panthers. You just missed Olsen’s first 100-yard outing and his best fantasy performance since mid-2009. It came against a Broncos defense that has surrendered the second-most fantasy points per game to tight ends, so temper your expectations. But with a very favorable schedule ahead, including Week 11 against Tampa Bay, Olsen offers more red-zone upside.
Don’t be fooled
Jarius Wright, WR, Vikings. The rookie collected 65 yards and a score on three receptions in place of the injured Percy Harvin. Before you invest in Wright’s stock, though, remember that he’s saddled with an inconsistent quarterback, and his targets will be even fewer once Harvin returns, most likely after the team’s Week 11 bye.
Golden Tate, WR, Seahawks. With 3 TDs over the past two weeks, Tate has vaulted onto the fantasy radar. But the Seahawks are heading into their bye, followed by a two-game road trip; and his rookie quarterback, Russell Wilson, has been unable to replicate his homespun heroics on the road. It could be a while before Tate revisits the end zone.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Saturday morning updates -- Week 10
Wow, this season (and year) is flying by. Already we're at Week 10. The postseason isn't far ahead. Let's cover what we need to know to make all the right lineup decisions today.
Darren McFadden and his immediate backup, Mike Goodsen, are both out today. My flier of the week, Taiwan Jones, should be the primary ball-carrier, with FB Marcel Reece also in the picture (though more effective as a receiver). Can't say I'm crazy about either, but Jones is a viable desperation play.
Doesn't look like there's any reason not to start Ahmad Bradshaw, but I'm still worried about Hakeem Nicks, who is also active. He hasn't done diddly in four games; nor has his QB. I'm reserving him; but with a guy like Nicks, he could certainly make me regret it. All I know is I've regretted starting him for the last four weeks...
Percy Harvin is out. The only Viking to trust is AP.
Amendola will play, but he draws a stout 49ers defense. If you're in a PPR league, he's not a terrible option. But I'm still giving him another week to get in shape, and to face a less formidable opponent.
Antonio Brown and Rashard Mendenhall will sit out Monday night's game. Still like Emmanuel Sanders and Isaac Redman in their respective spots. Jonathan Dwyer should backup Redman and could have a decent night too, if only because the Chiefs are so bad.
Both Megatron and Titus Young are active today. Obviously, the former is a must-start. Young, not so much. You probably have more reliable/consistent alternatives.
Updating a previous blog post, Aaron Hernandez will NOT play due to his lingering ankle injury. He and the team have decided not to rush him back early, as they did before. Get him out and find another option. Gronk, Lloyd and Welker are all playing.
Owen Daniels will be a game-time decision tonight. You'd be best served going with someone safer in the earlier games.
Okay, Fools; that's it for the blogging. Inactive reports have begun. Make sure you're following my tweets (www.twitter.com/ladd_biro). Good luck today!
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Injury updates and more from SN column
Here are a few updates from yesterday's 4th & Long column on SportingNews.com:
Jake Locker is expected to return to the starting lineup on Sunday against Miami. I can't say that makes me feel any better or worse about his receivers, or the rest of his pitiful team.
At first, we were told that Darren Sproles could miss up to four weeks after undergoing hand surgery. Now, the team says he could be back as early as Sunday, though that appears to be wishful thinking more than anything. Look for a continued committee approach with Pierre Thomas, Chris Ivory and Mark Ingram all doing just enough to make this a fantasy mess.
By now you believe me that the Cowboys can't run without DeMarco Murray, right? You're going to stop starting Felix Jones (knee) and wishing on a star, right? Murray won't play in Philly, but Week 11 remains a possibility.
Adrian Peterson missed Thursday's practice due to an illness. Obviously, that means you should bench him. (Note: The previous sentence is intended solely for Jason, my opponent this week. Everyone else, don't be ridiculous.)
It looks like Stevie Johnson is in no danger of missing Sunday's contest due to a thigh injury. He is back at practice and claims to be good to go.
I'm going to give Danny Amendola (clavicle) one more week to get in game shape before putting him back in my starting lineup. That decision has as much to do with concerns over his limited practice reps as it does with his opponent, the 49ers.Owen Daniels is dealing with a hip pointer, and the mighty Bears await on Sunday night. He could come down to a game-time call, but given the injury and the opposition, you may be better served going with a safer option this week.
Get Aaron Hernandez (ankle) back in your lineup against the Bills.
Other updates from today:
Percy Harvin is doubtful for Week 10. Don't count on him.
Brandon Bolden has been suspended 4 weeks for using PEDs. If you still have him on your roster, I'll first ask why? Then tell you to punt him.
Darren McFadden already ruled out.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Week 10 Starters & Benchwarmers
Wondering whether or not to start Matt Ryan and Doug Martin, or to bench Christian Ponder and Arrelious Benn? The network bozos specialize in that kind of advice. If you’re looking for help with your real starting lineup conundrums, read on.
Here are my picks to roll, and get rolled, in Week 10 of the 2012 season.
Watch ‘em roll
Matt Stafford, QB, Lions at Vikings. He has performed well over the last two games, and you have to figure Mikel Leshoure won’t steal all the scoring fun two weeks in a row. Stafford has a solid track record against Minnesota, which has coughed up three TD passes without an interception over the past two games to both Russell Wilson and Josh Freeman.
Stevan Ridley, RB, Patriots vs. Bills. Brandon Bolden burst onto the scene the last time these teams met, but he has since faded into the background. Shane Vereen found the spotlight prior to the team’s bye; but the constant throughout has been Ridley, who should continue to flourish against the pathetic Buffalo rush defense.
Isaac Redman, RB, Steelers vs. Chiefs. Jonathan Dwyer is expected to return, and he will surely eat into the veteran’s carries. But Redman is still higher on the depth chart, and he is the most likely candidate to stay “on a roll” after last weekend’s stellar performance against the Giants. Moreover, the woeful Chiefs could conceivably allow both backs to prosper on Monday night.
Brian Hartline, WR, Dolphins vs. Titans. He got back on track with Ryan Tannehill last week, and now the duo draws a Tennessee secondary that has surrendered the most passing scores in the league (20). Hartline is a good bet to top 100 yards and find the end zone at least once in this mismatch.Malcom Floyd, WR, Chargers at Buccaneers. Robert Meachem is completely untrustworthy, and Danario Alexander is still figuring out the offense. That makes Floyd and Antonio Gates the best candidates for fantasy heroism against the league’s worst pass defense.
More thumbs up (excluding the no-brainers): QBs Ryan Tannehill, Ben Roethlisberger, Josh Freeman, Philip Rivers; RBs Michael Turner, Mikel Leshoure, Reggie Bush, Frank Gore, Willis McGahee; WRs Stevie Johnson, Miles Austin, Emmanuel Sanders, Michael Crabtree, Demaryius Thomas.
Roll ‘em back
Matt Schaub, QB, Texans at Bears. Schaub is on a nice two-game roll, but the road gets tougher against the ball-hawking Chicago defense. Don’t be surprised if this game turns into a defensive slugfest, with little excitement in store for either team’s passing attack.
Steven Jackson, RB, Rams at 49ers. No longer the workhorse of the Rams’ offense, Jackson heads into a bad matchup with the 49ers splitting the load with the fresh-legged rookie, Daryl Richardson. Jackson hasn’t scored against San Francisco since 2010, well before he was sharing carries.Ryan Mathews, RB, Chargers at Buccaneers. Tampa Bay boasts the stingiest run defense in the land, while Mathews has been just so-so against weaker competition. He’s a bad bet to score his second TD of the season this weekend, and he should be relegated to your bench if you have a decent alternative.
Hakeem Nicks, WR, Giants at Bengals. Eli Manning is in a four-game funk and Nicks hasn’t practiced all week due to swelling in his knee (again). Nicks insists he will play, but the struggling wideout is in his own four-game slump and carries a great deal of risk.
Dwayne Bowe, WR, Chiefs at Steelers. Though he will surely get his fair share of targets, Bowe will be facing the league’s most-formidable pass defense on the road. Matt Cassel doesn’t stand a chance against a unit that has shut down Eli Manning and Robert Griffin III in consecutive weeks. Find a safer option.
More thumbs down: QBs Michael Vick, Jay Cutler, Cam Newton, Andy Dalton, Jake Locker, Sam Bradford, Mark Sanchez; RBs BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Felix Jones, Shonn Greene, DeAngelo Williams; WRs Danny Amendola, Sidney Rice, Brandon Gibson, DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Kerley.
TAKING A FLIER
Taiwan Jones, RB, Raiders at Ravens. A flier is someone who has done little or nothing to date, but has a chance to soar due to changing circumstances. Jones is the ultimate flier this week, given the ankle injuries to Darren McFadden and primary backup Mike Goodson. Fullback Marcel Reece is a better receiver than runner, leaving Jones as the more likely contender to tote the rock. Whether Oakland’s line can open holes for him is another story, but Baltimore’s run defense is fairly sieve-like.
DON’T BE THE BONEHEAD WHO…gambles on a Vikings wideout not named Percy Harvin. Neither Michael Jenkins nor Jerome Simpson has the talent to overcome the deficiencies of a Christian Ponder-led passing game, and Harvin is highly unlikely to play on his severely sprained ankle.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Week 9 Heroes & Zeros
This was a great week to start…
QBs
Aaron Rodgers, Packers – Passed for 218 yards, 4 TDs and 1 INT, and ran for 33 yards.
Andrew Luck, Colts – Bombed Miami for a rookie record 433 yards and 2 TDs, without a turnover.
Jay Cutler, Bears – Connected on 3 TD passes, plus 229 yards and a fumble.
Carson Palmer, Raiders – Threw 3 picks, but passed for 414 yards and 4 TDs.
RBsDoug Martin, Bucs – Had a monster game with 251 rushing yards and 4 TDs, plus 4 catches for 21 yards for good measure.
Mikel Leshoure, Lions – Rumbled for 70 yards and 3 TDs.
Adrian Peterson, Vikings – Ran over the Seahawks for 182 yards and 2 TDs, adding 3 receptions for 11 yards.
WRs
Brandon Marshall, Bears – Reeled in 9 passes for 122 yars and a TD trifecta.
Eric Decker, Broncos – Scored twice while catching 8 balls for 99 yards.
Randall Cobb, Packers – Caught 3 passes for 37 yards and 2 TDs, and ran for 29 additional yards.
TEs
Brandon Myers, Raiders – Hauled in 8 passes for 59 yards and 2 TDs.
D/STs
Bears – What else is new? Collected 2 sacks and 5 turnovers, and scored on a blocked punt and an interception.
This was a great week to play against…
QBsMatt Stafford, Lions – Passed for a healthy 285 yards without a turnover, but added no scores.
Robert Griffin III, Redskins – Passed for 215 yards and ran for 53, but had no scores.
Eli Manning, Giants – Threw for 125 yards and an INT.
RBs
Donald Brown, Colts – Was active, but barely; with only a 7-yard reception to show for his day.
Darren McFadden, Raiders – Left with an ankle injury after just 17 rushing yards.
Jamaal Charles, Chiefs – Ran for 39 yards and caught 3 passes for 27 more.
Ahmad Bradshaw, Giants – Ran for 48 yards, and that’s it.
Ryan Mathews, Chargers – Just 67 rushing yards plus 2 receptions for 5 yards.
Willis McGahee, Broncos – Ran for 66 yards and caught a 4-yarder.
WRs
Jordy Nelson, Packers – Injured his ankle on his first and only target.
Santana Moss, Redskins – Caught a 2-yard pass.
Hakeem Nicks, Giants – Finished with a 10-yard catch.
Dez Bryant, Cowboys – He had a 15-yarder.
Titus Young, Lions – Only 20 yards on 2 receptions.
Jeremy Maclin, Eagles – Just 2 catches for 28 yards.
Stevie Johnson, Bills – Held to 29 yards on 3 catches.
Percy Harvin, Vikings – Ran for 24 yards but only added 10 receiving yards on 2 catches, and lost a fumble, before exiting with an injury.
Antonio Brown, Steelers – Just 19 yards on 2 catches before leaving with a sprained ankle.
TEs
Jermichael Finley, Packers – After his heart-to-heart with Rodgers, he was rewarded with a 6-yard catch.
Jared Cook, Titans – Identical results as Finley, without the heart-to-heart.
Brandon Pettigrew, Lions – Only an 11-yarder for the day.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Fantasy football need not be unfair
Did you notice what happened when Darren McFadden left in the second quarter Sunday with an ankle injury? Oakland sent out Mike Goodson to carry the ball.
When Jordy Nelson’s day ended after his first target against the Cardinals, the Packers offense wasn’t forced to finish out the game with ten players.Crazy, isn’t it? A player gets hurt during an NFL game, and another one steps right in and takes over.
So why is it that once McFadden left yesterday, my fantasy team was stuck with zippo thereafter? (Truth be told, RunDMC had delivered virtually nothing before his injury either; but at least there was hope for more.) And why were Nelson’s owners forced to take a goose egg when a perfectly healthy receiver was surely sitting on their bench twiddling his thumbs?
I was similarly burned in Week 7 when Maurice Jones-Drew pulled up lame after his second carry of the day. My top RB left me hamstrung at the worst possible time, and gave my opponent an undeserved advantage that cost me the matchup.
I know you have felt my pain in similar circumstances.
Fantasy football was never intended to operate like real football (the operative word being “fantasy”). Most of us relish the challenge of selecting our starting lineups each week, even though it sometimes means leaving Mikel Leshoure’s three-TD breakout game on our bench.
So while I can appreciate the less-stressful aspects of playing in one of those rare leagues where one’s optimal starting lineup is determined after the fact, I’m not a proponent of that approach.
Rather, I propose a simpler solution to address the unfair aspects of the early-injury exit: If a player at any position is injured in the first half of his game and does not return, that player’s owner may substitute one bench player of his choosing at the same position into his starting lineup.
Rather, I propose a simpler solution to address the unfair aspects of the early-injury exit: If a player at any position is injured in the first half of his game and does not return, that player’s owner may substitute one bench player of his choosing at the same position into his starting lineup.
As it turns out, I won my matchup in spite of McFadden’s ill-timed departure; but the rule would have turned my Week 7 loss into a victory. And I’ll bet it would have saved many a Jordy Nelson owner this weekend as well.
Would that have been unfair to their competitors? Only if you think it’s fair that they won with one receiver tied behind their opponent’s back.
I’ll be appealing to our commissioner for this rule change next summer. Who’s with me?
FREE AGENT PICKS AND PANS
To win a fantasy championship, it helps to start with a great draft. But filling in your roster throughout the season with the right free agents is also important. Here's a look at players worth considering, and others who would look better in someone else's lineup.
Catch ‘em while you can
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Dolphins. He won’t carry you to the Promised Land, but the rookie could see you through the last week or two of byes. Miami faces the awful Tennessee and Buffalo secondaries over the next two weeks, and Tannehill exhibited no signs of his knee injury in Sunday’s shootout with the Colts.Isaac Redman, RB, Steelers. If you didn’t grab him prior to Sunday’s outing, you may have missed out on Redman’s best performance of the season. But with all the instability in the Steelers’ backfield, he’s worth picking up anyway. He could get another start if Rashard Mendenhall and/or Jonathan Dwyer aren’t ready to return in Week 10, and you’ve gotta love the Monday night matchup with the Chiefs.
Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Steelers. Antonio Brown’s owners may want to scoop up Sanders as insurance, in case Brown’s ankle injury costs him a game or more. Sanders would be a decent flex play in that tantalizing Monday nighter. And no, I’m not interested in Jerricho Cotchery.
Don’t be fooled
Marcel Reece, RB, Raiders. Well, we can’t say we weren’t warned. The knock on McFadden has always been his fragility, and the injury bug bit again on Sunday. Though X-rays on RunDMC’s ankle were negative, initial reports are that he may have incurred a high ankle sprain. In the meantime, his backup situation is somewhat unclear, though Reece may be the strongest candidate simply due to his pass-catching skills. Oft-injured Mike Goodson (who also hurt his ankle Sunday) and Taiwan Jones are also in the mix. This backfield quacks like a committee, and the Raiders weren’t exactly tearing it up on the ground with a healthy McFadden. T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts. The rookie was all the rage after his Week 3 outburst against the Jaguars. We cautioned then that his 113-yard, one-TD performance was likely an aberration and, as expected, he was virtually invisible over the next four games. Expect a similar falloff in the weeks ahead, as Hilton and his fellow rookie quarterback continue to mature.
Jermichael Finley, TE, Packers. I reluctantly dropped Finley last week to make room for another player, then agonized over whether his little “chat” with Aaron Rodgers would make me look like an idiot. So far, so good. As Green Bay heads into its bye, feel free to eject Finley as well. If he can’t prosper with Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson out of the picture – and Tom Crabtree can – there’s something seriously wrong.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Sunday morning updates -- Week 9
Good morning, Fools. I'm reporting from San Antonio this morning, and it's a beautiful day.
Let's canvass the NFL for the latest news as we prepare for another glorious afternoon and evening of football.
There's all sorts of speculation about who will benefit from Darren Sproles' absence due to hand surgery (expected to be out 4-6 weeks). Chris Ivory is getting lots of love, but the more logical result is more touches for Pierre Thomas (first), then Mark Ingram. Thomas should be a solid start Monday night, with Ingram a decent flier. I wouldn't mess with Ivory until we see what this game holds.
Donald Brown had some swelling in his knee yesterday and is now questionable for today's game. We'll keep an eye on this, as Vick Ballard would be a decent start if Brown is out. If Brown plays, they're both bad bets. Miami's run defense is strong, and there certainly won't be enough fantasy production for two RBs.
Megatron will be a game-time call, and speculation is that he will be limited to third-down situations if he's active. I'm not buying that (if he's active, he'll play more than that, even if only as a decoy). In any event, he's a risk; but I'd still start him if I owned him. Titus Young should get more attention either way, and he's a decent play for those in need of help at WR.
Jordy Nelson is a game-time call as well. Start him if he's active; but either way, Cobb and James Jones are nice plays.
There's a good chance Ryan Tannehill will start, which is good news for Brian Hartline. I wouldn't start the rookie QB, who could exit at any time if he struggles with his injured knee; but Hartline is due for a rebound and Indy is a favorable opponent for the job.
Looks like Jimmy Graham has gotten the worst of his ankle injury behind him. Don't hesitate to cement him in your starting lineup.
OK, that's it for now. I'll be tweeting soon with the day's inactives (www.twitter.com/ladd_biro). Have a great day, and good fantasy luck, Fools!
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
Wondering whether or not to start Peyton Manning and Vincent Jackson, or to bench Tim Tebow and Jabar Gaffney? The network bozos specialize in that kind of advice. If you’re looking for help with your real starting lineup conundrums, read on.
Here are my picks to roll, and get rolled, in Week 9 of the 2012 season.
Watch ‘em roll
Michael Vick, QB, Eagles at Saints. Sure, Vick is on an extremely short leash, but the Saints offer a wealth of opportunities to opposing passers. Keep in mind, Atlanta didn’t force a single turnover from Vick last week, and New Orleans doesn’t force them from anybody. Redemption awaits in the Big Easy, for at least one Monday night.Jonathan Stewart, RB, Panthers at Redskins. DeAngelo Williams isn’t just being phased out; he may be heading out of town completely, if recent trade rumors are true. It’s all good news for Stewart, who faces a strong, though hardly airtight, run defense in Washington.
Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Steelers at Giants. Though dealing with a sore quad, Dwyer is still the only back in the Steelers’ stable to trust this weekend. He has exceeded expectations over the past two games, and the team clearly trusts him with a heavy load. Barring any further setbacks in practice, look for more positive returns against the so-so New York defense, even though Isaac Redman (ankle) is on track to return in a change-of-pace role.
Mike Williams, WR, Buccaneers at Raiders. With 332 yards and 2 TDs over the last four games, Williams has reemerged as a potent weapon in Tampa Bay’s newly explosive offensive attack. Oakland’s mediocre secondary will have their hands full with Vincent Jackson, leaving Williams open for plenty of targets.
Andre Roberts, WR, Cardinals at Packers. Since John Skelton returned as the starting quarterback two games ago, Roberts has more receptions for more yards than Larry Fitzgerald, along with the lone TD. Facing a soft Packers secondary missing starting CB Sam Shields, Roberts should continue to prosper.
More thumbs up (excluding the no-brainers): QBs Cam Newton, Matt Stafford, Matt Schaub, Jay Cutler, Ben Roethlisberger; RBs Trent Richardson, Willis McGahee, Reggie Bush, Doug Martin, Alfred Morris; WRs Steve Smith, Lance Moore, Denarius Moore, Jeremy Maclin, Eric Decker, Demaryius Thomas, Antonio Brown, Randall Cobb, James Jones.
Roll ‘em back
Eli Manning, QB, Giants vs. Steelers. With just 3 TDs (and 3 INTs) over the past three weeks, Manning is officially in a fantasy slump. It will be tough to break out against the league’s top-ranked pass defense.
C.J. Spiller, RB, Bills at Texans. If it was just Fred Jackson, or just Spiller, I’d like their chances, even against the stout Houston run defense. But when they unilaterally halve their own production, and face a unit that has yet to allowing a rushing score, you have to think twice.
Chris Johnson, RB, Titans vs. Bears. Now that Johnson is finally on a tear, it’s hard to put him back on your bench. But if you have safer options, consider it. Chicago sports the league’s stingiest run defense, while Johnson’s resurgence has come against the likes of Buffalo and Indy.
Torrey Smith, WR, Ravens at Browns. Baltimore’s most dangerous receiver will likely draw coverage from Joe Haden, who is leading Cleveland’s secondary back to respectability. The Browns haven’t given up a passing TD over the last two weeks, while Joe Flacco has just three scoring connections in four weeks.Dez Bryant, WR, Cowboys at Falcons. The Dallas offense is under intense heat, and Bryant is its primary lightning rod. The uber-talented, yet boneheaded, wideout is dealing with a bum hip, and he’ll be facing a stingy secondary on Sunday. He’s also had his punt return duties stripped.
More thumbs down: QBs Ryan Fitzpatrick, Joe Flacco, Tony Romo; RBs BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Felix Jones, LaRod Stephens-Howling, DeAngelo Williams, Donald Brown, Vick Ballard; WRs Kenny Britt, Doug Baldwin, Brandon Lafell, Jerome Simpson.
TAKING A FLIER
Greg Olsen, TE, Panthers at Redskins. On top of its other failings, Washington’s defense has given up the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. With Brandon Lafell likely to sit out due to concussion symptoms, Olsen should be a very busy man on Sunday.
DON’T BE THE BONEHEAD WHO…fails to check the game-day weather reports before finalizing your starting roster. In case you’ve been living under a rock, it’s that time again, when wicked winds and rain can wreak havoc on passing and kicking games. Inclement weather doesn’t necessarily mean you should sit your studs; but it can be the tipping point between two otherwise-equal options.
Originally published on the blog Fantasy Fools.
About the author
Ladd Biro was named 2010 "Football Writer of the Year" by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Ladd's nationally syndicated columns have appeared in more than 20 publications -- including the Dallas Morning News, San Francisco Chronicle, Philadelphia Inquirer, Chicago Sun-Times and Sporting News magazine -- since 2003. During the NFL season, he can be heard nationwide on Sporting News Radio as host of the weekly "Fantasy Files" program, dispensing his unique blend of wit and wisdom. Since 2009, all his written fantasy content can be found on the Fantasy Fools blog.
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
