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Grading on a curve

Posted by Chad Finn, Globe Staff  May 25, 2010 05:10 PM

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STARTING PITCHING
Jon Lester: The annual ugly April behind him, he's again among the truly elite pitchers in the American League, and you bet I'm sticking to my sunny spring training prediction: He'll have to clear a place on his mantel for the 2010 AL Cy Young Award. B

Clay Buchholz: First, I'll apologize for once predicting that Justin Masterson would be the better pitcher. Gah. And then I'll keep it simple: Where would they be without him? A

John Lackey: Optimistically, you hope he'll keep a good thing going and become the Sox pitcher who can actually outduel Matt Garza. But . . . his command is off, his velocity is down, and my skeptical self just can't help but wonder if he gets a Theo-prescribed two-week vacation at Club DL once Beckett is back. D

Josh Beckett: Nice Kevin Jarvis tribute, Tex. F

Daisuke Matsuzaka: His ERA for 2010, 5.76, is exactly the same as his ERA during the abysmal and lost '09 season. But this feels completely different, doesn't it? Maybe it's the lingering good feelings from the near no-hitter, but I still say he wins double figures this season. C-

Tim Wakefield: He may not be thrilled about it, but the role he's filling right now is exactly why he was welcomed back for a 15th season. For some reason, it seems appropriate that his adjusted ERA is 100. B

BULLPEN

Jonathan Papelbon: We tend to forget what it's like to have a mediocre closer around here, so whenever Papelbon (11 saves, 1.19 WHIP) has a hiccup, well, "IT'S A CRISIS, BIG-O! MAKE BAAHHHD THE CLOSAHHHH!!" The reality is that there is some cause for concern, but it's subtler than getting shamed by Marcus Thames. His command, once so precise that he could get away with throwing little more than a straight 95 mph fastball, has comparably gone on the fritz since he suspiciously tweaked his mechanics before last season. He's walked 11 in 21 innings this year after permitting just eight bases on balls in 69.1 innings in 2008. I miss the old mechanics. B

Daniel Bard: He's been everything you'd hoped he be in his first full season as the righthanded setup man, striking out 27 in 24 innings with a WHIP of 0.958. And he lights up radar guns to the point that in the giddier moments, it sometimes feels like a budding Wetteland/Rivera situation. Now, if they could just stop using him so often (23 appearances, 24 innings in 47 games). A

Hideki Okajima The ol' Okey-Dokey hasn't been much of a mystery this season, with a Fossas-like 4.60 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Considering he struggled in the second half last year (.639 OPS against in the first half, .809 in the second), there's at least some cause for concern. C

Ramon Ramirez: He's averaging 13.7 baserunners per nine innings, and his K-rate (6.3) is far and away the worst of his career since he's been established in the bigs. The more you consider it, the more you realize Theo Epstein will likely be searching for a bullpen reinforcement or two well before the July 31 deadline. D

Manny Delcarmen: What a strange season it has been. He's allowing less than a hit per two innings (10 H, 21 IP), yet he's walked more (12) than he he has whiffed (11). Tito clearly didn't trust him earlier in the season, but he got three big outs last night, and face it, the Sox are going to need him. C+

BENCH
Jason Varitek:
The captain is everything a backup catcher is supposed to be, and then some. (A 1.055 OPS? Are you kidding me?) Here's hoping the temptation (or the necessity) to overwork him can be resisted, because he's absolutely perfect in his current role, and he deserves a tremendous amount of credit for taking to it so unselfishly. A

Jeremy Hermida: His numbers are surprisingly subpar, actually -- .222/.280/.389, and that on-base percentage is lower than Bill Hall's, who is batting .188. I say surprisingly subpar because the former Marlin has made his hits count -- he has 18 RBIs and a .953 OPS with two outs -- and he helped turn things around with his double off Mariano Rivera the weekend before last. C+

Bill Hall: Save for the occasional homer, he's a pretty brutal offensive player (his adjusted OPS annually since 2007: 89, 81, 58, and so far this year, 63). But he can play a lot of positions adequately, which somewhat justifies his roster spot. C-

Mike Lowell: He can still hit a little -- anecdotally, it seems like he's been better than his .698 OPS. He can still help a team in need of a 3B/DH. Here's hoping he gets his chance. I wonder if there was any temptation to DFA him rather than Darnell McDonald. B-

Darnell McDonald: An enjoyable example of a replacement level player contributing to the cause. We wish him wel . . . HEY, LOOK WHO'S BACK! D-MAC LIVES! WE THOUGHT YOU WERE GONE, MAN! (Loved Tito's quote about McDonald's brush with being DFA'd: "We got Mac on the phone, told him we were thrilled with the adjustments he made while he was gone, come on back." Classic Francona.) B

NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCE:
RP Joe Nelson, RP Scott Atchison, OF/LHP Jonathan Van Every, OF Josh Reddick, SS Angel Sanchez.

* * *

As for today's Completely Random Baseball Card:

52510rico.jpg

Because you can never go wrong with Rico, that's why.

(Quick note: File this under things sports writers argue about, but a good friend of mine always thought the '76 set was Topps' most beautiful. I never got it -- I'm partial to '78 myself -- until one day, he told me he was color blind. Only then did it make sense.)

About Touching All The Bases

Irreverence and insight from Chad Finn, a Globe/Boston.com sports writer and media columnist. A winner of several national and regional writing awards, he is the founder and sole contributor to the TATB blog, which launched in December 2004. Yes, he realizes how lucky he is.

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