Donald Trump is not winning the millennial vote, new Harvard poll finds

And it's not particularly close.

A supporter points to Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump as speaks at a campaign rally Monday, April 25, 2016, in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. (AP Photo/Mel Evans)
A rare millennial supporter of Donald Trump. –Mel Evans / AP

Not that general election polls have been kind toward Donald Trump.

But a new poll Monday from Harvard’s Institute of Politics shows the Republican front-runner’s prospects among the nation’s 18- to 29-year-old voters are particularly poor.

Among that cohort of likely voters, 61 percent say they would vote for Hillary Clinton compared to 25 percent for Trump, if the two primary race leaders went head-to-head in a presidential election that day. Fourteen percent said they didn’t know who they would vote for.

The 36-point margin is four times the lead Clinton holds against Trump among voters of all ages, according to RealClearPolitics’s recent average of hypothetical general election polls.


More than anything, the results of Harvard’s poll underline the deep unfavorable reputation Trump has among 18- to 29-year-olds.

Among those polled, Trump was viewed favorably by 17 percent and unfavorably by 74 percent. Among Republicans polled, he had a net unfavorable rating of 20 percentage points (37 percent to 57 percent).

Clinton is viewed favorably by 37 percent of millennials, compared to 53 percent who view the former secretary of state unfavorably.

Yet since Harvard’s last spring poll, which was released April 29, 2015, the number of people who would rather see the Democratic Party take the White House rather than the Republican Party has increased dramatically.

Since last year, the number of respondents that said they wanted a Democrat to win the 2016 presidential election increased from 55 percent to 61 percent, while the number that said they wanted a Republican to win dipped from 40 percent to 33 percent.

Even among those millennial voters that say they would vote for Trump, the enthusiasm is relatively lacking. Fifty-one percent of Trump voters said they were “very enthusiastic” or “somewhat enthusiastic” about supporting their candidate. Yet virtually the same amount, 49 percent, say they “not very enthusiastic” or “not at all enthusiastic.”

Check out Harvard’s full findings—complete with graphics, charts, and questions on all things millennial, from Snapchat to John Oliver—here.

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