Politics

A new poll shows Bernie Sanders leading Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts

The race is still fluid, but the state's primary is just days away.

Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders chat during a break in the Democratic presidential debate Tuesday in South Carolina. Erin Schaff / The New York Times

A new poll released Friday shows Sen. Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic presidential race in Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s home state less than a week away from its primary election.

According to the WBUR/MassINC poll, Sanders is the choice of 25 percent of likely Democratic primary voters in Massachusetts, followed by Warren at 17 percent. Pete Buttigieg and Medford native Michael Bloomberg followed with 14 percent and 13 percent support, respectively, with Joe Biden in fifth at 9 percent.

The poll surveyed 426 likely voters Sunday through Wednesday — and has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.9 percent.

Previous polls released over the past week showed a neck-and-neck race in Massachusetts. And while the Vermont senator’s lead is still within the WBUR survey’s margin of error, the results potentially foreshadow a serious blow for Warren next Tuesday, as her progressive rival’s campaign dials in on Massachusetts.

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Sanders is scheduled to appear at a rally Friday night in Springfield, followed by a Saturday rally in Boston. His campaign has also bought TV advertising, opened several offices, and launched massive canvassing efforts across the state. Sanders even weighed in on a local debate about the Suffolk Downs redevelopment project Thursday.

According to the WBUR poll, his strength in the state is fueled by younger voters, with 47 percent support from those ages 18 to 44; Warren was second with 16 percent, and no one else broke double digits.

Steve Koczela, president of the MassINC Polling Group, cautioned that “numbers can change very quickly.”

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“Think back to New Hampshire, where we saw 50 percent of voters in the Democratic primary who made up their minds just in the last few days,” Koczela told WBUR.

That said, polls in other big Super Tuesday states — like California and Texas — have also recently showed Sanders with a lead. A recent poll even showed him competitive in Minnesota, the home state of fellow 2020 candidate Sen. Amy Klobuchar.

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