Hold off — for now — on the panic in Boston.
The Red Sox are indeed off to a poor start in defense of their World Series title. They have a 9-13 record and baseball’s third-worst run differential. But after sweeping a three-game series with first-place Tampa Bay, Boston has avoided the worst-case scenario early on.
The reigning champs trail the Rays by five games in the AL East, but the deficit could be bigger. Boston ranks near the bottom of the American League in runs scored and ERA. Aside from J.D. Martinez, none of the team’s big-name hitters have been great. Chris Sale and Rick Porcello are winless, and both have ERAs over 8.00.
There’s still more than a week left in April, though. And there’s plenty of precedent that suggests a good team can recover from a start like this. Here are a few teams since the start of the wild-card era that had even worse records than the Red Sox after 22 games — and still ended up in the postseason:
— The 2015 Rangers started 7-15 and were 8 ½ games out of first place before winning the AL West with an 88-74 record. They were eliminated in the Division Series by Toronto — remember Jose Bautista’s home run and bat flip?
— The 2010 Braves were 8-14 after losing nine straight games in April. About a month later, they made up for that with a nine-game winning streak. They ended up as a 91-win wild card in manager Bobby Cox’s final season.
— The 2006 Padres were 8-14, but they were only 4 ½ games out of first at the time. The NL West remained pretty forgiving that year. In fact, when San Diego and Los Angeles finished 88-74, they tied for the second-best record in the whole National League and both made the playoffs.
— The 2002 Angels won the World Series after starting 8-14. They were actually back at .500 in early May and easily took the wild card with 99 wins.
— The Athletics of the early 2000s had a habit of starting slowly and storming back. The 2002 team featured in “Moneyball” was a good example, but the 2001 team also followed the pattern, starting 8-14 before turning things around and finishing 102-60. Oakland went 58-17 after the All-Star break, and while that wasn’t enough to catch the 116-win Mariners in the division, the A’s made the playoffs with room to spare.
It’s OK to give the Red Sox some benefit of the doubt right now, especially with the rival Yankees dealing with injury issues of their own.