What NFL experts had to say following the Jimmy Garoppolo trade

Jimmy Garoppolo Patriots
Jimmy Garoppolo warms up before a game against the Carolina Panthers. –AP Photo/Charles Krupa, File

After retaining him despite multiple offseason trade rumors, the Patriots dealt quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo to the 49ers in a trade that surprised many on Monday night. New England will receive a second-round draft pick — which is projected to be as early as No. 33 or 34 overall — in exchange for the 25-year-old backup passer. The move leaves just one quarterback, albeit a talented one, on the team’s roster,

Tom Brady isn’t retiring any time soon.

NESN’s Doug Kyed: “There’s no way the Patriots pull off this trade without knowing Brady is being serious when he says he wants to keep playing into his mid-40s.”

The Boston Globe‘s Ben Volin: “Trading Garoppolo should end any speculation that Brady could pull a surprise retirement this year or next. No one was twisting their arm to trade Garoppolo or [Jacoby] Brissett.”


The Boston Herald‘s Jeff Howe: “The Garoppolo trade has future ramifications as well. Brady and the Pats have already shared mutual interest in a contract extension, so it’d make sense for those negotiations to accelerate after the season. Brady’s current deal runs through 2019, and they’ve had a history of extending his deals with about two years remaining on the term.”

ESPN’s Mike Reiss: “The Patriots are clearly banking on Brady continuing to play at a high level at age 41, 42 and possibly beyond. Some might say they are leading with their heart, as this move shows that choosing Garoppolo over Brady in 2018 wasn’t a strong consideration, despite media-based speculation otherwise. The connection between Brady, ownership and the coaching staff is a rare one, and this once again shines a spotlight on it.”

Did the Patriots redeem Garoppolo’s full value with a second-round pick?

NESN’s Doug Kyed: “The 49ers are terrible, and Garoppolo can only help them so much. The 49ers undoubtedly will be selecting high in the second round of the 2018 draft, and that pick could fall at No. 33 or 34 overall, which essentially is the same as selecting at the bottom of the first round without the added incentive of a fifth-year bonus.”

The Boston Globe‘s Ben Volin: “The fans are upset that the Patriots didn’t get enough. But a second-round pick for Garoppolo sounds a lot more like his true value than a package of first-round picks. Garoppolo has played 1½ NFL games. He looked great, but we’ve seen a lot of quarterbacks look great in a small sample size. He hasn’t proven that he can lead a team for 16 games or make the playoffs. He hasn’t proven that he can stay healthy. And Patriots quarterbacks have a stigma that they don’t succeed when they leave New England, fair or not.”


“Let’s not forget that Garoppolo also was set to be a free agent this coming offseason. The Patriots could have made it work with a franchise tag between $23 million-$25 million, but they have a budget, and it doesn’t include spending $45 million on two quarterbacks. They could have tried to franchise Garoppolo and trade him, but that high salary would have hurt his trade value. They could have let him walk away in free agency, and received a third-round compensatory draft pick in 2019.”

CBS Boston’s Michael Hurley: “You’ve got to recognize that [the 49ers] are only getting eight games of Jimmy Garoppolo. That’s what the 49ers are giving up a second round pick for. And then the chance to sign him. So the Niners are in a position where they have to decide how much they want to commit to Garoppolo, and whether Garoppolo accepts that. So they’re not getting Garoppolo for three years, they’re only getting him for eight games. That’s a pretty high price to pay, considering he could be a free agent eight games from now.”

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“He doesn’t have enough on his resume right now to get top-of-the-line money or anywhere close to it. I always thought the idea of franchising him would have been an over-pay just given the lack of resume. But if he goes out there and lights it up, then he’s going to make some money.”

As a player, Garoppolo is ready to move on.

ESPN’s Adam Schefter on WEEI: “My guess is the more time goes on, you go into the season, you have hopes, you have excitement. Really, as great as Tom is, you don’t know that he’s not going to show any decline at 40, or what is going to happen there. He seems to get better. It’s just another season. So Jimmy is sitting there, I am putting myself in Jimmy’s shoes and you say, ‘Look, this guy is not falling off. I am going to be waiting a long time. Maybe mentally I can prepare to move on or not sign any deal we’ve discussed.’”


“Again, I think discussions occurred at an extension. I don’t think they got very far or very serious. I think Jimmy recognized the chances were he was going to move on. They recognized they knew he was going to move on. I think they took it as long as they felt they could take it, which is the day before the trade deadline and into their bye week. Why do you think all of a sudden the conversations started occurring yesterday between them and the 49ers? I wasn’t expecting that.”

Sports Illustrated‘s Albert Breer: “As I understand it, the Patriots put potential solutions in front of Garoppolo in the spring and summer to try to extend their window to pass him the torch that Tom Brady has carried for the last 17 seasons. It would have cost them a lot, but they were willing to carry two starting quarterback contracts on their books to do it. Garoppolo, however, made it clear he that wants to be a starter, not just a guy paid like one.”

ESPN’s Mike Reiss: “As of late Monday night, Garoppolo had yet to depart for San Francisco. Those close to him described his emotions as a mix of surprise, excitement and sadness, with the latter a result of leaving behind many close friends from the only NFL team for which he has played.”

So what’s next?

The Boston Herald‘s Jeff Howe: “The most logical fit would be a reunion with quarterback Brian Hoyer, whom the 49ers reportedly released last night after acquiring Garoppolo. Hoyer was Brady’s backup from 2009-12. It should be assumed the 49ers informed the Patriots of Hoyer’s incoming release.”

“Remember, when the Patriots drafted Garoppolo in the second round in 2014, Belichick lambasted the Colts for not having a suitable backup plan for an injured Peyton Manning in 2011. It’d be inconceivable that Belichick would make the same mistake now for his 40-year-old quarterback who is on pace for a career-high 42 sacks and has already dealt with a left shoulder injury, among other bumps and bruises through the first eight games.”

NESN’s Doug Kyed: “It wouldn’t be shocking if the Patriots used another second-round pick — either the 49ers’ or their own — on a quarterback in the 2018 NFL Draft. For now, it seems Brian Hoyer, just released by the 49ers, will be back in a Patriots uniform to serve as the No. 2 to close out 2017.”

ESPN’s Mike Reiss: “Expect veteran Brian Hoyer to return to New England as the other quarterback domino to fall, as he would fill the team’s No. 2 spot behind Brady. Nothing can happen until Hoyer is officially released by the 49ers, but it’s hard to imagine the Patriots would have made the deal without assurance that Hoyer would be coming aboard. Hoyer, who has remained close friends with Brady, isn’t subject to waivers.”

ESPN’s Adam Schefter: