Kason closed

Now that you’re wrapping your head around itself trying to figure out how the Red Sox are going to win the AL East if they receive, as Bill James has foreseen, just 49 wins combined from Josh Beckett, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Tim Wakefield, and Jon Lester, I’d propose it would be a great time to have a guy like, you know, Kason Gabbard on hand.

Gabbard, of course, was 4-0 last summer for the eventual World Champion Red Sox, before being packaged to the Texas Rangers with David Murphy for the disaster that was Eric Gagne. Gabbard went 2-1 for the Rangers with a stellar August and a subpar September. He’s been awful this spring, posting a 9.39 ERA, which is still lower than Clay Buchholz’ spring resume.

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For what it’s worth, James isn’t too keen on the lefty’s projections for this season. He sees Gabbard going just 8-9 with a 4.53 ERA. He is, however, high on Gagne, back in a closer’s role for the Brewers. James figures Gagne to come up with a 4-3 season, a 2.85 ERA, and 35 saves.

In somewhat of a surprise, James seems really high on what Murphy can deliver, projecting the outfielder to hit .302, 10 home runs, and 61 RBI with a .384 OBP. That’s similar to the season James projects for Boston right fielder JD Drew (.278, 20 HR, 78 RBI, .393 OBP) at a savings of $13.6 million this year alone.

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