Some of you reading this today know how dry things are getting in many areas. While we are not enduring a major drought like California, there are sections of southern New England which have quietly slipped into long-term (6 months or more) dryness.
The map below, from the Drought Mitigation Center in Nebraska, shows in yellow the areas experiencing abnormally dry weather. The main issues from this lack of rain are brown lawns heading into fall, water bans continuing, and newly planted landscape plants needing to be hand-watered until the ground freezes or we see some significant rain.
The weather the next couple of days remains rain-free. At times it may look like rain and there could be some drizzle along the coast tonight and early Wednesday, but a general rainfall isn’t going to happen.
We will have a wind off the water which is going to keep temperatures cool along the coast and mild inland. There is a weak weather system to our south with an area of rain and clouds. Cape Cod and the Islands are closest to the storm so they will see the most clouds.
Inland areas, more than about 10 miles from the water, will be milder and see more sunshine, but even there clouds will be prevalent during the day.
Sunshine returns tomorrow, especially after the morning. Highs again will be in the 70s. If you are in a shaded area it will feel cool, but in the strong September sunshine it will be very nice.
Thursday a frontal system approaches the area. This is going to do two things. First, ahead of the front warmer and more humid air will ride north and be with us all day. Secondly, there will be an increase in the risk of showers, especially in the afternoon and evening.
I’ll be updating the shower possibility on Twitter @growingwisdom
A new and chilly air mass for September arrives this weekend. Highs will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s and the air will be crisp.
If we don’t get any rain Thursday from the cold front, it’s going to be a while before we do see rain as this dry pattern is locked in place.
Now, I am not wishing for snow, not for a long time. I would love to see no snow until late December. However, in some parts of North America there is already snow and it’s accumulated. In Calgary Canada there is a snow warning in place for up to 6 inches of snow. With the leaves still on the trees and the ground still warm this won’t last long, but it’s still snow and it’s not even the second half of September.
El Nino is likely to be a major player in this winter’s forecast and ultimate weather. Already we are seeing an increase in sea surface temperatures in the different regions of where El Nino’s take place. The strength of the El Nino and the depth of the warmer water will determine how large or small the impacts to our weather. The chart and the map below show the current status of ocean temperatures in the Pacific region and how far above the average is the anomaly. More on this phenomenon in the coming weeks.