Wet Saturday, Dry Sunday, Nor’easter Likely Next Week

This morning we find a complex series of low pressure systems to the south of New England. Ahead of this system an area of moisture has brought rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow to much of new England.

The snow has been confined to Maine and New Hampshire as well as some of Vermont. For those of you wanting to get an early jump on the ski season, many of the Maine and northern New Hampshire ski areas will see up to 5 or even 6 inches of snow in the higher elevations before it ends as mixed precipitation.

Across southern New England mild air has changed any frozen precipitation to liquid. There will be a lull of sorts in the rainfall today with more of a drizzle falling this morning. Later this afternoon an area of steadier and heavier rain will push into the area and make for a wet evening.


The radar image below shows where it is likely going to be raining around 4PM. Notice southwest of Boston will be seeing steady rain and even a few downpours. When you add up the rain from earlier and the rain coming through this evening many areas will see about an inch of rain.


Tomorrow today’s rain maker will be east of the area and clearing will ensue. On Sunday, those of you living on Cape Cod may awake to showers and clouds if you are early risers. The clearing line will push south and east and all areas will get into the sunshine for much of the day. Winds will be quite gusty tomorrow, bringing an added chill to the day.


The start of the workweek is dry and cold, but the calm weather won’t last. About a week ago I mentioned the likelihood of a coastal storm for the upcoming week. The storm is still likely although it’s been moved about 24 hours. Tuesday and Wednesday are now the days when a nor’easter is most likely.


Here on Saturday, 3 to 4 days before the storm, it appears enough warm air will be pulled into it for this to be a rain event for southern New England and even coastal areas of northern New England. The ocean temperatures are in the 40s to near 50 and as winds blow over the water it will push any cold air far inland and prevent snow from falling far inland from the coastal plain.

tuesday evening.png

Now, admittedly this storm still hasn’t formed so this scenario could change, but that’s how I see it currently.


Tides during the storm won’t be at their highest of the month, that comes closer to Christmas, but there will be a 10 foot tide in Boston Harbor on Tuesday so we will have to watch this storm as it will be easier for it to cause coastal flooding and beach erosion with tides already astronomically higher than average.

tides tues12614.png

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