I love weather and I am often still amazed at how quickly temperatures can change. In the summer a sea breeze can knock readings back 30 degrees in less than an hour. In winter, a switch in wind direction will bring the warmth north and temperatures can respond rapidly.
Temperatures have been rising since last evening and are now above freezing across much of the area. As a low pressure system moves northward, rain will begin.
I think showers will be scattered through the afternoon and then we will have a period of steady rain this evening along with the change of a thunderstorm. The rain will amount to between three-quarters of an inch and just over an inch depending on your location. I pulled up a map which averages a lot of the model data and you can see how much rain your area might receive.
I’ll be updating the forecast on Twitter @growingwisdom.
It’s been a dry month so far, but with the frozen ground and the rain simply running off, I do expect some ponding of the water on roads.
In Foxborough where the Patriots have their game this evening, it will be showery and the showers could be heavy at times especially during the second part of the game. Temperatures will be mild in the 40s. Any snow that is on the ground across the eastern half of southern New England should be gone by Monday morning.
Sunshine returns for Monday with temperatures above freezing. Since there will be adequate time for the roads to dry before temperatures get cold later this week, I don’t expect black ice to be an issue.
Our next chance of snow, which is just a chance, is on Wednesday when a storm will follow the jet stream and move south of New England. The track of the storm might bring some light snow over Cape Cod and perhaps to the Massachusetts Turnpike, but this storm could also just as easily pass so far south we only see a few clouds.
The rest of the week looks dry and chilly with temperatures averaging under 32F during the afternoon, in other words, a return to the deep freeze.
There are signs for cold and perhaps snowier weather next month, but my confidence in the cold is higher than my confidence in the snow.