Here’s David Epstein’s Fourth of July forecast

The forecast has some good news for your beaching, grilling, and fireworks-viewing plans.

The beach at Farm Point near Bald Rock. David L. Ryan/Globe Staff/File 2018

There’s a chance this week will be one of the nicest of the whole summer.

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A cool pool of air that created the storms this past weekend has pushed off toward the northeast, and we are left with high pressure building into the region. This weather system will remain in control through Friday and perhaps into Saturday.

How nice will it be this week?

Temperatures will be in the 80s to near 90 this week. I expect lots of sunshine in all areas, including northern New England.

Monday is going to be the day with the least humidity. As high pressure pushes offshore, a more humid and warmer flow of air will ensue, and that transition into warmer temperatures could bring a couple of showers Monday night into very early Tuesday.

But that risk is low, and the models predict little to no rainfall. If a shower lingers Tuesday morning, it won’t last very long, so you can still count that as a beach day if you’re off this week.

The odds of measurable rainfall are low this week. The forecast through Wednesday evening features no rain. 

Wednesday and Thursday look fabulous with warm temperatures and moderate humidity.

There shouldn’t be any problems for towns across Massachusetts towns that are holding firework celebrations this week. The first chance of any interruption would be on Friday.

And if you’re heading to the beach on July Fourth, you can expect temperatures well into the 70s across Cape Cod and possibly up into the 90s in towns west of Boston.


Highs On July 4th will be very warm to hot across southern New England.

There’s a chance for popup showers and storms by the end of the week and into the start of the weekend. I don’t think the showers will be as numerous as what we saw this past weekend, but a few towns may not escape entirely dry.

So let’s get back to the original question: Will this be the best week of the summer? It’s impossible to predict such a thing, of course, but this will definitely be one of the better ones.

If you picked this for your week away from work, good choice. If you are going to be in the office, sneak out for a long lunch. You’ll be glad you did.

Have a happy and safe July Fourth.